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Missouri vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 81-86 (OT)
35-31 38-42 8-13
Position#111
Record13-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#20
Record15-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Missouri v Arkansas
07 Mar 2026
MISS84
ARKA88
18 Jan 2025
MISS83
ARKA65
31 Jan 2024
MISS84
ARKA91
18 Jan 2023
MISS79
ARKA76
15 Feb 2022
MISS57
ARKA76
13 Feb 2021
MISS81
ARKA86
08 Feb 2020
MISS83
ARKA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#20
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A02/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A16/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A27/01
NCAA
TCU
#212
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Alabama
#19
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-30
48-38
39-27
24-51
27-24
41-28
45-34
36-36
40-34
33-30
35-39
47-49
38-43
51-46
40-27
35-43
44-28
24-37
37-42
22-38
148.5Avg total
75.2Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.870.5144.3+3.476%
Season at home (9)74.970.1145.0+4.889%
Season away (8)72.670.9143.5+1.862%
Last 10 (10)75.273.3148.5+1.970%
Last 5 (5)77.280.2157.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.371.6141.9-1.258%
vs Similar (14)69.469.9139.3-0.457%
vs Weaker (4)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#75
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
99-69
99
69
+30
H09/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-90
59
90
-31
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
92-71
92
71
+21
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H03/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A10/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
34-46
43-37
56-32
31-51
45-41
19-42
40-48
31-43
44-30
45-35
47-36
37-25
37-34
34-38
43-43
28-22
33-23
36-35
45-45
150.7Avg total
76.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.769.9152.6+12.875%
Season at home (13)84.463.1147.5+21.392%
Season away (7)79.482.6162.0-3.143%
Last 10 (10)76.873.9150.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.067.2144.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.072.0157.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (10)74.176.6150.7-2.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.771.2155.9+13.674%
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: +4.6+4.6
MissouriArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A16/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/01
NCAA
TCU
#212
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Alabama
#19
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
37.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.232.766.9+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.332.467.7+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)33.132.966.1+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.870.6+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.874.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.934.271.1+2.858%-
vs Similar (14)31.931.563.4+0.457%-
vs Weaker (4)34.232.266.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#75
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A07/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H09/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A14/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
19-42
19
42
-23
A16/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H21/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Ole Miss
#124
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#58
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#273
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A10/02
NCAA
70.5Avg total
34.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.334.171.4+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.931.171.0+8.878%-
Last 30 away (12)33.338.772.0-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.170.5-1.760%-
Last 5 (5)36.031.067.0+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.031.078.0+16.0100%-
vs Similar (10)33.834.568.3-0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.634.172.7+4.563%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Missouri wins
1
Arkansas wins
DateGameScore
02/01/21Arkansas v Missouri68-81
22/02/20Arkansas v Missouri78-68
08/02/20Missouri v Arkansas83-79 OT
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21AOle Miss59-80
06/02/21HAlabama68-65
04/02/21HKentucky75-70
30/01/21HTCU102-98 OT
27/01/21AAuburn82-88
24/01/21ATennessee73-64
20/01/21HSouth Carolina81-70
16/01/21ATexas A&M68-52
06/01/21AMississippi St.63-78
02/01/21AArkansas81-68
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/21AKentucky81-80
03/02/21HMississippi St.61-45
30/01/21AOklahoma State77-81
28/01/21HOle Miss74-59
23/01/21AVanderbilt92-71
21/01/21HAuburn75-73
16/01/21AAlabama59-90
14/01/21ALSU76-92
09/01/21HGeorgia99-69
07/01/21ATennessee74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL76%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game73.874.972.6
Allowed / game70.570.170.9
Point differential+3.4+4.8+1.8
Avg total144.3145.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%22%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (5)-
Overtime %6%11%0%
Arkansas
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %75%92%43%
Points / game82.784.479.4
Allowed / game69.963.182.6
Point differential+12.8+21.3-3.1
Avg total152.6147.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%85%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama2217577%80.870.1+10.7
2 Missouri1713476%73.870.5+3.4
3 Arkansas2015575%82.769.9+12.8
4 Tennessee1914574%72.861.7+11.1
5 Oklahoma1813572%76.468.3+8.1
6 Texas1813572%75.367.6+7.7
7 LSU1913668%82.074.1+7.9
8 Florida1510567%77.571.1+6.5
9 Georgia2012860%78.077.8+0.2
10 Ole Miss1911858%69.763.2+6.5
11 Texas A&M158753%63.565.1-1.6
12 Mississippi St.22111150%70.366.9+3.5
13 Auburn22111150%78.876.0+2.8
14 South Carolina135838%74.175.9-1.8
15 Vanderbilt1661038%73.272.8+0.4
16 Kentucky1961332%69.270.6-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Missouri3538881
Arkansas31421386
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