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Arkansas vs Missouri Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 74-68
27-34 47-34
Position#112
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game61.8
Arkansas 🏆
USA
vs
Missouri
USA
Position#56
Record12-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas v Missouri
02 Jan 2027
ARKA v MISS
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ARKA94
MISS86
22 Feb 2025
ARKA92
MISS85
24 Feb 2024
ARKA88
MISS73
04 Jan 2023
ARKA74
MISS68
12 Jan 2022
ARKA87
MISS43
12 Mar 2021
ARKA70
MISS64
02 Jan 2021
ARKA68
MISS81
22 Feb 2020
ARKA78
MISS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A24/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H29/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
99-58
99
58
+41
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H17/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
85-51
85
51
+34
H22/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
44-26
34-40
53-50
26-35
41-32
31-33
43-28
40-35
59-23
21-26
44-32
43-40
45-38
37-25
39-32
44-24
41-27
19-24
38-36
143.0Avg total
78.9Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.761.8139.5+15.985%
Season at home (11)79.560.8140.4+18.791%
Season away (2)67.567.0134.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)78.964.1143.0+14.880%
Last 5 (5)74.260.8135.0+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.272.5145.8+0.875%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.165.2138.2+7.981%
vs Weaker (10)79.063.0142.0+16.080%
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
105-80
105
80
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H24/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
105-69
105
69
+36
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
67-95
67
95
-28
H10/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
52-31
53-49
40-37
43-25
45-32
44-19
54-30
51-39
43-36
32-39
50-40
46-49
33-50
34-45
35-36
33-30
51-27
42-44
42-30
47-45
162.5Avg total
88.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)88.874.7163.5+14.192%
Season at home (11)90.774.6165.4+16.191%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.374.2162.5+14.190%
Last 5 (5)82.679.2161.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)63.568.6132.1-5.125%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.480.5167.9+6.990%
vs Weaker (4)89.858.8148.5+31.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +12.3+12.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +9.6+9.62nd half2nd half: +12.3+12.32nd half: +4.1+4.1
ArkansasMissouri
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#367
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Creighton
#83
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H29/11
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H22/12
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
19-24
19
24
-5
A29/12
NCAA
64.1Avg total
33.1Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.964.1+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.928.561.3+4.471%-
Last 30 away (9)34.136.470.6-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)33.131.064.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.827.860.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.232.265.5+1.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.129.759.8+0.450%-
vs Weaker (10)38.232.270.4+6.080%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H16/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H10/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H23/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#86
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H29/12
NCAA
79.4Avg total
44.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.033.769.7+2.347%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.034.573.5+4.553%-
Last 30 away (11)30.732.363.0-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)44.534.979.4+9.680%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.678.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.632.862.4-3.125%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.636.378.9+6.360%-
vs Weaker (4)44.831.075.8+13.8100%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Arkansas wins
2
Missouri wins
DateGameScore
16/02/22Missouri v Arkansas57-76
13/01/22Arkansas v Missouri87-43
13/03/21Arkansas v Missouri70-64
13/02/21Missouri v Arkansas81-86 OT
02/01/21Arkansas v Missouri68-81
22/02/20Arkansas v Missouri78-68
08/02/20Missouri v Arkansas83-79 OT
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22ALSU57-60
22/12/22HUNC Asheville85-51
17/12/22HBradley76-57
10/12/22HOklahoma88-78
07/12/22HNC Greensboro65-58
03/12/22HSan Jose State99-58
29/11/22HTroy74-61
24/11/22ASan Diego State78-74 OT
23/11/22HCreighton87-90
21/11/22HLouisville80-54
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HKentucky89-75
23/12/22HIllinois93-71
17/12/22AUCF Knights68-66
10/12/22HKansas67-95
04/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State96-89
30/11/22AWichita State88-84 OT
26/11/22HHouston Christian105-69
24/11/22HCoastal Carolina89-51
21/11/22HMiss. Valley St.83-62
16/11/22HSiu Edwardsville105-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %85%91%50%
Points / game77.779.567.5
Allowed / game61.860.867.0
Point differential+15.9+18.7+0.5
Avg total139.5140.4134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%82%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%50%
Missouri
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW92%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %92%91%100%
Points / game88.890.778.0
Allowed / game74.774.675.0
Point differential+14.1+16.1+3.0
Avg total163.5165.4153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1312192%88.874.7+14.1
2 Tennessee1412286%74.753.2+21.5
3 Texas1412286%84.166.5+17.6
4 Alabama1412286%83.371.0+12.3
5 LSU1412286%71.964.1+7.8
6 Arkansas1311285%77.761.8+15.9
7 Auburn1411379%72.162.8+9.3
8 Georgia1411379%71.664.0+7.6
9 Kentucky1410471%78.666.5+12.1
10 Mississippi St.1410471%65.758.2+7.5
11 Oklahoma149564%68.461.5+6.9
12 Texas A&M149564%75.068.2+6.8
13 Vanderbilt148657%70.966.9+4.0
14 Ole Miss148657%68.664.9+3.7
15 Florida147750%74.266.6+7.6
16 South Carolina147750%65.970.1-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas274774
Missouri343468
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