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Missouri vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-75
42-30 47-45
Position#56
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#86
Record8-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game64.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Missouri v Kentucky
09 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MISS72
KENT78
08 Mar 2025
MISS83
KENT91
28 Dec 2022
MISS89
KENT75
03 Feb 2021
MISS75
KENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
W
82-53
82
53
+29
H13/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
105-80
105
80
+25
H16/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H24/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
105-69
105
69
+36
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
96-89
96
89
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
67-95
67
95
-28
H10/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
42-28
52-31
53-49
40-37
43-25
45-32
44-19
54-30
51-39
43-36
32-39
50-40
46-49
33-50
34-45
35-36
33-30
51-27
42-44
159.6Avg total
87.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.874.7163.4+14.192%
Season at home (10)90.974.6165.5+16.390%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.672.0159.6+15.690%
Last 5 (5)82.481.0163.4+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.568.5132.0-4.924%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.281.1168.3+6.189%
vs Weaker (4)89.858.8148.5+31.0100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#104
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H12/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
106-63
106
63
+43
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-22
39-30
34-36
28-26
49-30
57-33
25-41
47-47
54-23
42-33
21-21
39-20
37-36
36-33
33-27
36-32
27-35
26-28
42-32
46-36
141.6Avg total
77.1Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.764.4143.1+14.473%
Season at home (9)79.759.3139.0+20.389%
Season away (2)74.587.0161.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)77.164.5141.6+12.670%
Last 5 (5)68.660.0128.6+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.770.0134.7-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.771.0146.7+4.756%
vs Weaker (18)80.566.3146.8+14.289%
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +7.8+7.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.9+9.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +7.8+7.8
MissouriKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H13/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H16/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H26/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H10/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H23/12
NCAA
78.7Avg total
44.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.569.2+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.634.272.8+4.453%-
Last 30 away (11)30.732.363.0-1.536%-
Last 10 (10)44.334.478.7+9.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)29.932.262.1-2.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.737.079.7+5.756%-
vs Weaker (4)44.831.075.8+13.8100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duquesne
#104
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/12
NCAA
66.3Avg total
36.0Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.868.7+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.930.869.8+8.178%-
Last 30 away (12)33.833.367.2+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)36.030.366.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.262.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.334.362.7-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.833.669.3+2.256%-
vs Weaker (18)38.930.669.4+8.378%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Missouri wins
2
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
30/12/21Kentucky v Missouri83-56
04/02/21Missouri v Kentucky75-70
04/01/20Kentucky v Missouri71-59
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/22HIllinois93-71
17/12/22AUCF Knights68-66
10/12/22HKansas67-95
04/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State96-89
30/11/22AWichita State88-84 OT
26/11/22HHouston Christian105-69
24/11/22HCoastal Carolina89-51
21/11/22HMiss. Valley St.83-62
16/11/22HSiu Edwardsville105-80
13/11/22HLindenwood82-53
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22HFlorida A&M88-68
17/12/22HUCLA53-63
10/12/22HYale69-59
04/12/22HMichigan73-69
30/11/22HBellarmine60-41
23/11/22HNorth Florida96-56
21/11/22AGonzaga72-88
18/11/22HSouth Carolina St106-63
16/11/22AMichigan State77-86 OT
12/11/22HDuquesne77-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %92%90%100%
Points / game88.890.978.0
Allowed / game74.774.675.0
Point differential+14.1+16.3+3.0
Avg total163.4165.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %8%0%50%
Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %73%89%0%
Points / game78.779.774.5
Allowed / game64.459.387.0
Point differential+14.4+20.3-12.5
Avg total143.1139.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%78%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas1211192%83.862.2+21.6
2 Arkansas1211192%79.461.9+17.5
3 Missouri1211192%88.874.7+14.1
4 LSU1211192%73.063.9+9.1
5 Tennessee1311285%73.853.2+20.5
6 Mississippi St.1210283%66.754.2+12.5
7 Alabama1210283%83.772.1+11.6
8 Auburn1210283%73.762.1+11.6
9 Oklahoma129375%69.060.7+8.3
10 Georgia129375%70.863.3+7.4
11 Kentucky118373%78.764.4+14.4
12 Ole Miss138562%69.263.5+5.7
13 Florida127558%76.567.2+9.3
14 Texas A&M127558%74.868.8+6.0
15 Vanderbilt126650%67.966.8+1.1
16 South Carolina126650%64.169.5-5.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri424789
Kentucky304575
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