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Missouri vs Kentucky Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#145
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#138
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Missouri v Kentucky
09 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MISS72
KENT78
08 Mar 2025
MISS83
KENT91
28 Dec 2022
MISS89
KENT75
03 Feb 2021
MISS75
KENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
96-58
96
58
+38
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-47
45-47
26-29
47-40
54-23
34-41
26-35
38-45
36-39
38-35
29-38
43-40
26-27
40-53
56-18
55-32
38-49
46-41
48-24
48-34
157.5Avg total
82.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season at home (3)97.066.0163.0+31.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.475.1157.5+7.340%
Last 5 (5)85.871.2157.0+14.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.282.2154.4-10.033%
vs Similar (11)74.480.1154.5-5.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)87.964.8152.7+23.190%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-49
45-35
46-43
41-39
38-29
40-43
28-37
35-34
29-31
44-42
30-31
33-51
48-22
37-35
39-39
50-41
36-46
33-43
45-37
33-40
155.6Avg total
77.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season at home (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.877.8155.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)76.877.0153.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.682.1153.7-10.614%
vs Similar (16)79.877.6157.3+2.269%
vs Weaker (7)83.970.4154.3+13.4100%
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.1+5.11st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -1.2-1.2
MissouriKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#36
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H12/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A21/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#246
W
56-18
56
18
+38
H04/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#14
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H07/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#256
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H10/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
38.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.870.8+3.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.632.572.1+7.153%-
Last 30 away (13)33.635.669.2-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)38.032.970.9+5.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.270.6+8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.635.967.4-4.311%-
vs Similar (11)32.737.470.1-4.618%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.628.174.7+18.5100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.072.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.736.774.4+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)31.837.469.2-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.473.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.740.072.7-7.314%-
vs Similar (16)34.638.172.7-3.631%-
vs Weaker (7)39.931.371.1+8.686%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri wins
5
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
12/03/26Missouri v Kentucky72-78
08/01/26Kentucky v Missouri68-73
08/03/25Missouri v Kentucky83-91
10/01/24Kentucky v Missouri90-77
29/12/22Missouri v Kentucky89-75
30/12/21Kentucky v Missouri83-56
04/02/21Missouri v Kentucky75-70
04/01/20Kentucky v Missouri71-59
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSiu Edwardsville96-58
07/11/26HSt. Louis Billikens84-90
04/11/26HCleveland State111-50
21/03/26AMiami (FL)66-80
12/03/26HKentucky72-78
07/03/26HArkansas84-88 OT
04/03/26AOklahoma64-80
28/02/26AMississippi St.88-64
25/02/26HTennessee73-69
21/02/26AArkansas86-94
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Arizona78-77
11/11/26HKansas69-89
07/11/26HJames Madison89-80
04/11/26HManhattan85-57
22/03/26AIowa State63-82
20/03/26HSanta Clara89-84 OT
13/03/26AFlorida63-71
12/03/26AMissouri78-72
11/03/26HLSU87-82
07/03/26HFlorida77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game97.097.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game80.280.2-
Allowed / game75.875.8-
Point differential+4.5+4.5-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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