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Missouri vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-70
40-27 35-43
Position#111
Record11-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#273
Record5-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Missouri v Kentucky
09 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MISS72
KENT78
08 Mar 2025
MISS83
KENT91
28 Dec 2022
MISS89
KENT75
03 Feb 2021
MISS75
KENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#21
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
53-73
53
73
-20
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A02/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A16/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A27/01
NCAA
TCU
#212
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-41
32-37
21-19
33-34
25-38
28-35
33-30
48-38
39-27
24-51
27-24
41-28
45-34
36-36
40-34
33-30
35-39
47-49
38-43
51-46
146.0Avg total
73.8Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.270.2145.4+5.079%
Season at home (7)75.970.9146.7+5.086%
Season away (7)74.669.6144.1+5.071%
Last 10 (10)73.872.2146.0+1.670%
Last 5 (5)81.274.4155.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.371.5140.7-2.255%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.070.8139.8-1.847%
vs Weaker (4)78.068.0146.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#105
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H19/12
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A26/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
78-73 OT
78
73
+5
A02/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A09/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
65-85
65
85
-20
H13/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
62-63
62
63
-1
A21/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H23/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
25-41
27-28
32-34
30-35
31-26
33-40
44-34
35-29
41-29
30-42
35-43
25-21
34-45
27-30
35-33
49-36
33-33
32-35
27-35
137.5Avg total
68.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)67.568.3135.7-0.833%
Season at home (8)69.669.1138.8+0.538%
Season away (7)65.067.3132.3-2.329%
Last 10 (10)68.069.5137.5-1.540%
Last 5 (5)65.470.6136.0-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.270.5137.8-3.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.567.7137.2+1.862%
vs Weaker (9)75.267.8143.0+7.489%
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.6-1.6
MissouriKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois
#21
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H13/12
NCAA
Bradley
#234
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H23/12
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
L
25-38
25
38
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#20
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A06/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#222
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A16/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#75
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A24/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/01
NCAA
TCU
#212
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H30/01
NCAA
68.1Avg total
35.2Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.266.5+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.132.766.8+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)32.533.766.2-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)35.232.968.1+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.871.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.734.569.3+0.255%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.932.564.4-0.753%-
vs Weaker (4)34.232.266.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#105
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H19/12
NCAA
Louisville
#94
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A26/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#179
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/01
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#274
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/01
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia
#156
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A21/01
NCAA
LSU
#80
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H23/01
NCAA
Alabama
#19
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A27/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
32.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.365.5+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.133.568.5+1.660%-
Last 30 away (15)31.331.262.5+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)32.633.065.6-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.632.865.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.033.069.0+3.062%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.133.564.5-2.446%-
vs Weaker (9)33.730.163.8+3.667%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Missouri wins
1
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
04/01/20Kentucky v Missouri71-59
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/21HTCU102-98 OT
27/01/21AAuburn82-88
24/01/21ATennessee73-64
20/01/21HSouth Carolina81-70
16/01/21ATexas A&M68-52
06/01/21AMississippi St.63-78
02/01/21AArkansas81-68
31/12/20HTennessee53-73
23/12/20HBradley54-53
13/12/20HIllinois81-78
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21AAlabama59-70
23/01/21HLSU82-69
21/01/21AGeorgia62-63
16/01/21AAuburn59-66
13/01/21HAlabama65-85
09/01/21AFlorida76-58
06/01/21HVanderbilt77-74
02/01/21AMississippi St.78-73 OT
26/12/20ALouisville59-62
19/12/20HNorth Carolina63-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%86%71%
Points / game75.275.974.6
Allowed / game70.270.969.6
Point differential+5.0+5.0+5.0
Avg total145.4146.7144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%29%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %7%14%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game67.569.665.0
Allowed / game68.369.167.3
Point differential-0.8+0.5-2.3
Avg total135.7138.8132.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1411379%75.270.2+5.0
2 Alabama1814478%79.969.7+10.2
3 Tennessee1612475%71.858.9+12.8
4 Arkansas1914574%82.769.4+13.4
5 Texas1511473%75.967.3+8.6
6 LSU1611569%82.974.1+8.8
7 Oklahoma1611569%75.366.7+8.6
8 Florida1510567%77.571.1+6.5
9 Georgia1711665%77.975.4+2.5
10 Texas A&M158753%63.565.1-1.6
11 Ole Miss179853%68.162.2+5.9
12 Mississippi St.1910953%70.665.6+5.0
13 Auburn1910953%78.875.7+3.1
14 South Carolina115645%75.175.5-0.5
15 Vanderbilt135838%74.074.5-0.5
16 Kentucky1551033%67.568.3-0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri403575
Kentucky274370
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