PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Missouri vs Kentucky Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 72-78
29-38 43-40
Position#111
Record20-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.3
Missouri
USA
vs
Kentucky 🏆
USA
Position#107
Record20-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Missouri v Kentucky
09 Jan 2027
MISS v KENT
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MISS72
KENT78
08 Mar 2025
MISS83
KENT91
28 Dec 2022
MISS89
KENT75
03 Feb 2021
MISS75
KENT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MissouriUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H31/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A07/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
88-64
88
64
+24
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-35
42-44
34-30
44-29
41-46
45-39
31-33
37-52
36-30
45-50
41-47
45-47
26-29
47-40
54-23
34-41
26-35
38-45
36-39
38-35
157.5Avg total
79.2Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.975.3155.2+4.665%
Season at home (18)85.173.6158.7+11.583%
Season away (13)72.777.5150.2-4.838%
Last 10 (10)79.278.3157.5+0.960%
Last 5 (5)79.079.0158.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.082.5155.5-9.538%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.177.5154.6-0.458%
vs Weaker (10)88.067.6155.6+20.490%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
83-92
83
92
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-32
51-46
33-47
41-24
34-43
49-49
34-39
44-47
39-35
35-40
28-21
44-42
46-31
45-46
33-45
52-51
32-49
45-35
46-43
41-39
161.9Avg total
81.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.474.0155.4+7.462%
Season at home (22)83.470.3153.7+13.073%
Season away (10)77.182.0159.1-4.940%
Last 10 (10)81.580.4161.9+1.150%
Last 5 (5)82.480.4162.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.186.6160.7-12.414%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.276.8155.0+1.460%
vs Weaker (8)91.162.4153.5+28.8100%
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +2.8+2.8
MissouriKentucky
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MissouriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H31/01
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
54-23
54
23
+31
A28/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A04/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/03
NCAA
71.4Avg total
36.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.073.1+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.734.174.7+6.661%-
Last 30 away (12)34.236.370.6-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.771.4+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.671.2+2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.237.069.2-4.812%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.036.071.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker (10)46.532.178.6+14.4100%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#154
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H08/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/02
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/03
NCAA
75.3Avg total
36.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.136.973.0-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)37.635.072.7+2.650%-
Last 30 away (10)33.240.573.7-7.330%-
Last 10 (10)36.838.575.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.874.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.643.776.3-11.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.538.773.2-4.327%-
vs Weaker (8)42.427.469.8+15.0100%-
This opponent (Missouri) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Missouri wins
4
Kentucky wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Kentucky v Missouri68-73
08/03/25Missouri v Kentucky83-91
10/01/24Kentucky v Missouri90-77
29/12/22Missouri v Kentucky89-75
30/12/21Kentucky v Missouri83-56
04/02/21Missouri v Kentucky75-70
04/01/20Kentucky v Missouri71-59
Missourilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HArkansas84-88 OT
04/03/26AOklahoma64-80
28/02/26AMississippi St.88-64
25/02/26HTennessee73-69
21/02/26AArkansas86-94
19/02/26HVanderbilt81-80
15/02/26HTexas68-85
12/02/26ATexas A&M86-85
07/02/26ASouth Carolina78-59
31/01/26HMississippi St.84-79
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26HLSU87-82
07/03/26HFlorida77-84
04/03/26ATexas A&M85-96
28/02/26HVanderbilt91-77
25/02/26ASouth Carolina72-63
22/02/26AAuburn74-75
18/02/26HGeorgia78-86
14/02/26AFlorida83-92
08/02/26HTennessee74-71
05/02/26HOklahoma94-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL65%
HomeWLWWL83%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %65%83%38%
Points / game79.985.172.7
Allowed / game75.373.677.5
Point differential+4.6+11.5-4.8
Avg total155.2158.7150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%44%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)75% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWLWLW73%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322210
Win %62%73%40%
Points / game81.483.477.1
Allowed / game74.070.382.0
Point differential+7.4+13.0-4.9
Avg total155.4153.7159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida3125681%87.771.7+16.0
2 Vanderbilt3124777%86.975.1+11.8
3 Arkansas3123874%90.280.0+10.3
4 Alabama3123874%92.183.6+8.5
5 Georgia3122971%90.479.3+11.1
6 Tennessee31211068%80.169.4+10.6
7 Texas A&M31211068%88.579.5+9.1
8 Missouri31201165%79.975.3+4.6
9 Kentucky32201262%81.474.0+7.4
10 Texas32181456%83.876.8+7.0
11 Oklahoma32181456%82.877.4+5.5
12 Auburn32171553%83.479.6+3.8
13 LSU32151747%81.478.5+2.9
14 Mississippi St.32141844%78.181.3-3.2
15 Ole Miss32131941%75.375.6-0.3
16 South Carolina32131941%74.976.5-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri294372
Kentucky384078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.