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MKKS Koszalin vs Starogard Gdanski Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-82
14-26 14-18 23-21 23-17
Position#15
Record12-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.7
MKKS Koszalin
Poland
vs
Starogard Gdanski 🏆
Poland
Position#10
Record13-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.7
Poland1 LigaRound 30· Hala ZOS - Gwardia
Other2024-25
Meetings · MKKS Koszalin v Starogard Gdanski
12 Mar 2025
MKKS74
STAR82
14 Apr 2024
MKKS78
STAR102
28 Jan 2023
MKKS84
STAR59
30 Mar 2022
MKKS71
STAR49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MKKS Koszalin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Starogard Gdanski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MKKS KoszalinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKoszalin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
82avg 71
A15/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 71
H19/01
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
68-86
68
86
-18
53avg 71
A26/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
83-75
83
75
+8
73avg 71
H02/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
70-69
70
69
+1
71avg 71
A05/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 71
H08/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
85-93
85
93
-8
70avg 71
A15/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
105-94 OT
105
94
+11
58avg 71
H26/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 71
A04/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 71
A08/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
19-26
20-19
16-17
20-21
22-14
23-21
22-27
19-28
16-24
18-12
15-22
18-20
28-16
18-13
19-26
11-17
16-19
19-22
24-11
17-24
19-20
14-14
16-16
25-31
20-21
19-24
21-17
18-28
23-22
17-15
20-13
18-14
12-27
24-20
25-23
19-24
18-16
26-23
19-27
164.7Avg total
81.3Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.784.7165.4-4.041%
Season at home (15)79.983.2163.1-3.340%
Season away (14)81.686.4167.9-4.843%
Last 10 (10)81.383.4164.7-2.150%
Last 5 (5)83.487.0170.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.983.6166.4-0.744%
vs Similar ◀ (21)79.786.0165.7-6.438%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGdanski
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
74-58
74
58
+16
64avg 78
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 78
H22/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
no box
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
84-98
84
98
-14
70avg 78
H01/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 78
A05/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
81-62
81
62
+19
76avg 78
H08/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 78
A16/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
116-86
116
86
+30
116avg 78
H26/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 78
A01/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 78
H07/03
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
14-13
13-12
20-14
16-21
18-18
19-13
17-21
18-16
19-18
24-21
24-18
26-28
17-27
16-26
25-17
8-22
14-25
25-12
21-18
26-10
14-21
18-11
23-20
27-23
13-16
21-26
28-31
28-28
31-21
37-12
20-25
22-24
19-13
5-18
22-29
23-15
18-15
22-19
17-25
159.6Avg total
81.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.180.7162.8+1.545%
Season at home (16)84.679.9164.5+4.656%
Season away (13)79.281.5160.7-2.431%
Last 10 (10)81.578.1159.6+3.450%
Last 5 (5)86.880.4167.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.082.4156.4-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (19)81.780.4162.1+1.347%
vs Weaker (6)91.581.2172.7+10.367%
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
MKKS KoszalinStarogard Gdanski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MKKS KoszalinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poznan
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H19/01
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A26/01
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H02/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A05/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A15/02
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H26/02
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A04/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/03
1 Liga
81.3Avg total
38.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.783.4-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.143.883.8-3.738%-
Last 30 away (14)39.243.682.9-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.081.3-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.845.483.2-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.340.980.2-1.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.844.984.7-5.129%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Starogard Gdanski) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Starogard GdanskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/01
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/01
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A25/01
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H01/02
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A05/02
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H08/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/02
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H26/02
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A01/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H07/03
1 Liga
79.1Avg total
39.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.080.9+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.740.282.9+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)38.539.878.2-1.362%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.379.1+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.281.4+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.040.380.3-0.358%-
vs Weaker (6)45.839.285.0+6.783%-
This opponent (MKKS Koszalin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
MKKS Koszalintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MKKS Koszalin: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.4
49.2%
51.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.716.7
70.5%
70.2%16.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Starogard Gdanskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Starogard Gdanski: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.4
53.7%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.4
34.3%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.113.7
68.2%
70.2%13.7
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
MKKS Koszalin
LLWLLWWLWW
Starogard Gdanski
WLWLWLLWLW
#15
League position
#10
-3.0
Net rating
+4.8
105.0
Offensive rating
111.9
108.0
Defensive rating
107.1
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.1%
3-point %
34.3%
65.2%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 111.9Defence108.0 · 107.1Shooting49.4% · 52.8%3-point %33.1% · 34.3%Ball care18.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ MKKS Koszalin   ■ Starogard Gdanski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
MKKS Koszalin wins
2
Starogard Gdanski wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Starogard Gdanski v MKKS Koszalin87-91
14/04/24MKKS Koszalin v Starogard Gdanski78-102
29/12/23Starogard Gdanski v MKKS Koszalin83-85
28/01/23MKKS Koszalin v Starogard Gdanski84-59
20/10/22Starogard Gdanski v MKKS Koszalin91-76
30/03/22MKKS Koszalin v Starogard Gdanski71-49
15/12/21Starogard Gdanski v MKKS Koszalin75-82
MKKS Koszalinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25ASlask Wroclaw II82-90
04/03/25ALancut79-84
26/02/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg105-94 OT
15/02/25AInowroclaw85-93
08/02/25HHydroTruck Radom66-74
05/02/25AWKK Wroclaw70-69
02/02/25HPoli. Opolska83-75
26/01/25APelplin68-86
19/01/25HLKS Lodz87-83
15/01/25APoznan88-86 OT
Starogard Gdanskilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg80-74
01/03/25AInowroclaw68-84
26/02/25HHydroTruck Radom116-86
16/02/25AWKK Wroclaw89-96
08/02/25HPoli. Opolska81-62
05/02/25APelplin68-77
01/02/25HLKS Lodz84-98
25/01/25APoznan85-73
22/01/25HKrosno70-73
15/01/25ATrefl Sopot II74-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

MKKS Koszalin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLWWLW40%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%40%43%
Points / game80.779.981.6
Allowed / game84.783.286.4
Point differential-4.0-3.3-4.8
Avg total165.4163.1167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Starogard Gdanski
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayWWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %45%56%31%
Points / game82.184.679.2
Allowed / game80.779.981.5
Point differential+1.5+4.6-2.4
Avg total162.8164.5160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%44%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno2922776%85.779.4+6.3
2 Bydgoszcz2921872%84.377.6+6.7
3 Kotwica Kolobrzeg30181260%82.075.5+6.5
4 Inowroclaw29171259%80.380.6-0.2
5 Lancut30171357%84.581.9+2.6
6 WKK Wroclaw30171357%81.980.9+1.0
7 LKS Lodz29161355%86.384.2+2.1
8 Pelplin29161355%82.282.3-0.1
9 GKS Tychy29151452%82.079.2+2.8
10 Poznan29141548%83.682.1+1.5
11 Polonia Warszawa30141647%81.581.0+0.5
12 Starogard Gdanski29131645%82.180.7+1.5
13 R. Rzeszow30131743%78.885.8-7.0
14 MKKS Koszalin29121741%80.784.7-4.0
15 Slask Wroclaw II30121840%76.380.6-4.2
16 Poli. Opolska29111838%79.883.3-3.5
17 Trefl Sopot II2982128%82.688.1-5.5
18 HydroTruck Radom2982128%76.183.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MKKS Koszalin1414232374
Starogard Gdanski2618211782
← all games of the day
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