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Osijek vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 101-70
22-19 30-19 31-16 18-16
Position#2
Record13-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game76.5
Osijek 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record4-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 15· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2023-24
Meetings · Osijek v Mladost
11 Oct 2025
OSIJ56
MLAD93
24 Jan 2024
OSIJ101
MLAD70
20 Jan 2023
OSIJ85
MLAD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osijek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsijekCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsijek
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
63avg 86
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
88avg 86
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
90avg 86
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 86
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
99-60
99
60
+39
110avg 86
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
75-69
75
69
+6
68avg 86
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 86
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 86
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
96-77
96
77
+19
107avg 86
H13/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
116-107 OT
116
107
+9
no box
A21/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
16-24
12-16
30-15
21-24
25-20
16-26
29-13
26-12
20-22
30-15
16-25
28-24
18-18
19-17
16-19
23-17
24-11
24-8
28-24
18-21
18-16
18-11
21-21
26-16
17-24
28-28
20-17
21-14
25-14
16-23
18-15
23-25
31-16
20-18
22-18
20-23
28-18
23-31
28-27
167.2Avg total
89.5Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.376.5166.8+13.893%
Season at home (6)93.575.2168.7+18.3100%
Season away (8)87.977.5165.4+10.488%
Last 10 (10)89.577.7167.2+11.890%
Last 5 (5)91.680.8172.4+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.383.3157.7-9.033%
vs Similar (4)72.270.2142.5+2.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.375.1162.5+12.282%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
L
76-98
76
98
-22
67avg 68
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 68
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
47avg 68
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 68
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
60avg 68
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 68
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 68
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 68
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 68
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 68
H21/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
17-22
14-25
15-28
28-19
21-18
24-15
21-16
11-17
23-16
9-24
20-25
22-17
17-17
12-21
23-23
11-23
21-22
25-26
9-16
24-18
26-19
6-19
11-16
29-16
14-22
22-8
15-20
21-14
19-27
23-22
22-27
12-17
17-29
30-12
18-27
25-21
23-19
9-13
25-20
156.3Avg total
76.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.283.3161.5-5.129%
Season at home (8)74.884.6159.4-9.925%
Season away (6)82.881.5164.3+1.333%
Last 10 (10)76.479.9156.3-3.530%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.289.1163.3-14.90%
vs Similar (10)84.986.0170.9-1.140%
vs Weaker (9)94.177.9172.0+16.289%
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -3.9-3.9
OsijekMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsijekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/11
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/11
Prva Liga
Alkar
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Marsonia
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H03/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A09/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A22/12
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H13/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/01
Prva Liga
82.6Avg total
44.4Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.037.580.5+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.236.380.5+7.993%-
Last 30 away (15)41.738.780.4+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.282.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.482.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.743.782.3-5.067%-
vs Similar (4)37.833.571.2+4.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.437.281.5+7.282%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Prva Liga
80.7Avg total
41.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.942.386.2+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.342.285.5+1.162%-
Last 30 away (14)44.542.587.0+2.064%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.680.7+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.482.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.944.582.4-6.527%-
vs Similar (10)44.143.687.7+0.570%-
vs Weaker (9)50.938.389.2+12.6100%-
This opponent (Osijek) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osijektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osijek: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.625.4
59.6%
52.9%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.6
29.9%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
71.2%12.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.7
51.3%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
32.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.212.9
67.2%
71.2%12.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osijek
WWWWWWWWWL
Mladost
WLLWLLLLWL
#2
League position
#11
+15.3
Net rating
-3.0
109.1
Offensive rating
99.4
93.9
Defensive rating
102.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
28.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.9%
3-point %
29.2%
75.2%
Assist %
54.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 99.4Defence93.9 · 102.3Shooting54.1% · 48.6%3-point %29.9% · 29.2%Ball care15.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds23.2% · 28.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Osijek   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Osijek wins
1
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Mladost v Osijek72-97
20/01/23Osijek v Mladost85-81
24/10/22Mladost v Osijek83-80
Osijeklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AHermes116-107 OT
13/01/24HSamobor96-77
22/12/23ACrikvenica80-66
16/12/23HJazine91-85
09/12/23AKK Zagreb75-69
03/12/23HMarsonia99-60
29/11/23HAlkar81-78
26/11/23APodstrana92-74
18/11/23HKvarner91-83
11/11/23AOmis74-78
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HCrikvenica82-73
14/01/24HJazine77-85
23/12/23AKK Zagreb85-90
16/12/23HMarsonia80-66
10/12/23APodstrana67-72
02/12/23HKvarner66-87
25/11/23AOmis74-78
19/11/23HGorica63-82
11/11/23AStoja94-68
04/11/23HKastela76-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osijek
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game90.393.587.9
Allowed / game76.575.277.5
Point differential+13.8+18.3+10.4
Avg total166.8168.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %14%17%12%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLLWLW25%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game78.274.882.8
Allowed / game83.384.681.5
Point differential-5.1-9.9+1.3
Avg total161.5159.4164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1413193%91.375.4+15.9
2 Osijek1413193%90.376.5+13.8
3 KK Zagreb1410471%82.471.1+11.3
4 Gorica149564%79.473.9+5.4
5 Jazine159660%87.086.9+0.1
6 Kastela148657%80.476.1+4.3
7 Hermes147750%92.690.0+2.6
8 Samobor147750%80.583.7-3.2
9 Omis157847%78.579.2-0.7
10 Marsonia1551033%80.985.9-4.9
11 Mladost1441029%78.283.3-5.1
12 Podstrana1441029%73.484.1-10.8
13 Crikvenica1421214%73.488.6-15.3
14 Stoja1521313%78.790.8-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osijek22303118101
Mladost1919161670
← all games of the day
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