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Samobor vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 113-92
31-21 36-28 25-26 21-17
Position#5
Record9-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game82.6
Samobor 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record4-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game84.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 17· Sportska dvorana Samobor
Other2023-24
Meetings · Samobor v Mladost
07 May 2025
SAMO96
MLAD86
02 Nov 2024
SAMO99
MLAD91
06 Feb 2024
SAMO113
MLAD92
25 Mar 2023
SAMO75
MLAD109
03 Dec 2022
SAMO73
MLAD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Samobor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
88-77
88
77
+11
84avg 74
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 74
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
61avg 74
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
74avg 74
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
95-79
95
79
+16
89avg 74
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
102-89
102
89
+13
96avg 74
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 74
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
82-86
82
86
-4
82avg 74
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
91-85
91
85
+6
83avg 74
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-65
99
65
+34
80avg 74
H27/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
18-14
23-25
19-22
24-23
25-24
13-20
23-21
13-22
28-21
20-27
16-21
22-20
31-20
19-14
13-20
24-24
25-7
22-18
24-30
23-22
19-13
25-28
35-26
25-23
16-31
18-20
18-22
21-22
22-14
20-25
19-25
20-23
23-23
32-24
16-15
28-18
17-17
25-16
29-14
171.1Avg total
88.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.382.6164.9-0.356%
Season at home (7)83.380.6163.9+2.757%
Season away (9)81.684.2165.8-2.756%
Last 10 (10)88.183.0171.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)90.284.2174.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.691.5172.1-10.97%
vs Similar (5)76.084.6160.6-8.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.778.0168.7+12.790%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
94-68
94
68
+26
92avg 68
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
47avg 68
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
L
74-78
74
78
-4
68avg 68
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
60avg 68
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 68
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 68
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 68
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 68
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 68
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-101
70
101
-31
68avg 68
A24/01
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
21-18
24-15
21-16
11-17
23-16
9-24
20-25
22-17
17-17
12-21
23-23
11-23
21-22
25-26
9-16
24-18
26-19
6-19
11-16
29-16
14-22
22-8
15-20
21-14
19-27
23-22
22-27
12-17
17-29
30-12
18-27
25-21
23-19
9-13
25-20
19-22
19-30
16-31
16-18
156.0Avg total
75.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.784.5162.1-6.827%
Season at home (8)74.884.6159.4-9.925%
Season away (7)81.084.3165.3-3.329%
Last 10 (10)75.880.2156.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)78.883.0161.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.491.9167.3-16.50%
vs Similar (10)84.986.0170.9-1.140%
vs Weaker (9)94.177.9172.0+16.289%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
SamoborMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H26/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#7
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A02/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H10/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A16/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A13/01
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/01
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/01
Prva Liga
84.9Avg total
45.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.643.484.0-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.481.3-1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.245.286.4-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)45.239.784.9+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.284.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.647.086.6-7.429%-
vs Similar (5)36.646.483.0-9.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.236.679.8+6.670%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stoja
#13
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H19/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A25/11
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/01
Prva Liga
80.5Avg total
40.2Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.987.1+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.342.285.5+1.162%-
Last 30 away (14)45.143.788.9+1.464%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.380.5-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.483.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.746.084.7-7.327%-
vs Similar (10)44.143.687.7+0.570%-
vs Weaker (9)50.938.389.2+12.6100%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.0
53.7%
52.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.2
36.8%
32.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.811.4
77.0%
71.2%11.4
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.7
50.9%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.6
28.0%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.612.5
67.2%
71.2%12.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Samobor
WWLLWWWLLW
Mladost
LWLLWLLLLW
#5
League position
#11
+6.2
Net rating
-5.3
111.6
Offensive rating
97.0
105.3
Defensive rating
102.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
47.7%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
28.0%
60.5%
Assist %
56.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 97.0Defence105.3 · 102.2Shooting54.3% · 47.7%3-point %36.8% · 28.0%Ball care16.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds28.1% · 29.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Samobor   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Samobor wins
4
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
27/10/23Mladost v Samobor82-89
26/04/23Mladost v Samobor111-99
25/03/23Samobor v Mladost75-109
08/03/23Mladost v Samobor99-76
03/12/22Samobor v Mladost73-79
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HPodstrana99-65
24/01/24AHermes91-85
21/01/24HKvarner82-86
13/01/24AOsijek77-96
23/12/23HOmis102-89
16/12/23ACrikvenica95-79
10/12/23HGorica85-74
02/12/23AJazine77-91
29/11/23AKvarner85-88
26/11/23HStoja88-77
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24AOsijek70-101
21/01/24HCrikvenica82-73
14/01/24HJazine77-85
23/12/23AKK Zagreb85-90
16/12/23HMarsonia80-66
10/12/23APodstrana67-72
02/12/23HKvarner66-87
25/11/23AOmis74-78
19/11/23HGorica63-82
11/11/23AStoja94-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game82.383.381.6
Allowed / game82.680.684.2
Point differential-0.3+2.7-2.7
Avg total164.9163.9165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL27%
HomeLLWLW25%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%25%29%
Points / game77.774.881.0
Allowed / game84.584.684.3
Point differential-6.8-9.9-3.3
Avg total162.1159.4165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1716194%91.172.7+18.4
2 Osijek1716194%89.874.8+15.0
3 Gorica1712571%81.575.4+6.1
4 KK Zagreb1710759%81.073.2+7.8
5 Kastela1710759%80.974.5+6.5
6 Jazine1710759%88.686.3+2.4
7 Samobor169756%82.382.6-0.3
8 Omis178947%77.580.6-3.1
9 Hermes167944%90.890.6+0.2
10 Marsonia1761135%79.685.7-6.1
11 Mladost1541127%77.784.5-6.8
12 Podstrana1741324%71.885.3-13.5
13 Crikvenica1731418%73.787.1-13.4
14 Stoja1721512%77.091.1-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Samobor31362521113
Mladost2128261792
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