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Gorica vs Mladost Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-69
20-18 18-21 14-20 32-10
Position#4
Record13-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game75.2
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#11
Record5-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game86.1
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 20· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Gorica v Mladost
01 Apr 2026
GORI78
MLAD71
16 Nov 2024
GORI75
MLAD92
24 Feb 2024
GORI84
MLAD69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mladost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 78
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-59
68
59
+9
62avg 78
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
71-94
71
94
-23
61avg 78
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
91avg 78
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
76avg 78
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 78
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
88-71
88
71
+17
85avg 78
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 78
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
84-89
84
89
-5
80avg 78
A17/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
20-31
14-19
20-13
21-16
13-17
16-17
18-9
10-29
24-22
16-25
21-18
26-11
23-20
23-17
15-21
27-29
17-20
24-13
20-15
25-20
18-17
21-14
9-22
32-24
24-27
24-19
23-24
26-13
16-20
24-13
22-25
22-18
20-13
16-14
25-14
25-29
15-23
18-17
26-20
160.7Avg total
82.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.775.2156.9+6.568%
Season at home (9)84.672.9157.4+11.789%
Season away (10)79.177.3156.4+1.850%
Last 10 (10)82.977.8160.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)88.278.8167.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.079.0156.0-2.033%
vs Similar (16)83.684.4168.0-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)82.872.0154.8+10.880%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
66-87
66
87
-21
60avg 69
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
67-72
67
72
-5
52avg 69
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 69
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
85-90
85
90
-5
73avg 69
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 69
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
78avg 69
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
70-101
70
101
-31
68avg 69
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
92-113
92
113
-21
84avg 69
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
52avg 69
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 69
H18/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
21-22
25-26
9-16
24-18
26-19
6-19
11-16
29-16
14-22
22-8
15-20
21-14
19-27
23-22
22-27
12-17
17-29
30-12
18-27
25-21
23-19
9-13
25-20
19-22
19-30
16-31
16-18
21-31
28-36
26-25
17-21
16-32
10-14
22-13
18-25
28-23
33-22
14-18
17-22
163.3Avg total
77.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.686.1164.7-7.428%
Season at home (9)76.784.7161.3-8.033%
Season away (9)80.687.4168.0-6.922%
Last 10 (10)77.785.6163.3-7.930%
Last 5 (5)80.491.2171.6-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.093.9169.9-17.90%
vs Similar (11)85.585.9171.5-0.445%
vs Weaker (8)93.177.9171.0+15.288%
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
GoricaMladost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H16/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A23/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H21/01
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A24/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H27/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A03/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/02
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A17/02
Prva Liga
84.5Avg total
42.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.980.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.839.381.1+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)40.538.579.0+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)42.442.184.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.885.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.735.775.3+4.067%-
vs Similar (16)42.839.882.6+2.969%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.936.977.8+4.050%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kvarner
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H02/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A10/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/12
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H21/01
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A24/01
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A06/02
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/02
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
61-45
61
45
+16
H18/02
Prva Liga
87.3Avg total
41.6Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.988.4+0.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.342.386.7+2.067%-
Last 30 away (15)44.645.590.1-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.787.3-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.450.094.4-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.548.386.8-9.727%-
vs Similar (11)45.643.789.4+1.973%-
vs Weaker (8)51.038.189.1+12.9100%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.7
56.1%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.9
33.3%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.013.7
68.5%
71.2%13.7
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.9
50.5%
52.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.7
27.8%
32.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.213.8
71.9%
71.2%13.8
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWWWWWWLWL
Mladost
WLLLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#11
+4.4
Net rating
-9.8
105.2
Offensive rating
99.0
100.7
Defensive rating
108.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
47.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
27.8%
56.8%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 99.0Defence100.7 · 108.8Shooting53.8% · 47.3%3-point %33.3% · 27.8%Ball care18.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds24.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Gorica   ■ Mladost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Gorica wins
0
Mladost wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Mladost v Gorica63-82
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AHermes84-89
10/02/24HOsijek83-59
03/02/24ACrikvenica88-71
27/01/24HJazine103-94
24/01/24AKK Zagreb83-81 OT
21/01/24HMarsonia88-77
13/01/24HPodstrana87-69
23/12/23AKvarner71-94
16/12/23HOmis68-59
10/12/23ASamobor74-85
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HStoja92-85
10/02/24AKastela66-84
06/02/24ASamobor92-113
24/01/24AOsijek70-101
21/01/24HCrikvenica82-73
14/01/24HJazine77-85
23/12/23AKK Zagreb85-90
16/12/23HMarsonia80-66
10/12/23APodstrana67-72
02/12/23HKvarner66-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL68%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%89%50%
Points / game81.784.679.1
Allowed / game75.272.977.3
Point differential+6.5+11.7+1.8
Avg total156.9157.4156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Mladost
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW28%
HomeLWLWW33%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %28%33%22%
Points / game78.676.780.6
Allowed / game86.184.787.4
Point differential-7.4-8.0-6.9
Avg total164.7161.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1918195%91.272.7+18.4
2 Osijek1917289%87.475.1+12.4
3 Gorica1913668%81.775.2+6.5
4 KK Zagreb1912763%80.672.3+8.3
5 Samobor1912763%84.282.8+1.4
6 Kastela1911858%80.673.9+6.7
7 Jazine1911858%88.485.7+2.6
8 Omis1991047%77.479.5-2.2
9 Hermes1881044%90.590.4+0.1
10 Marsonia1961332%79.185.5-6.4
11 Mladost1851328%78.686.1-7.4
12 Podstrana1941521%71.686.1-14.5
13 Stoja1931616%78.390.9-12.6
14 Crikvenica1931616%73.486.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica2018143284
Mladost1821201069
← all games of the day
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