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Mladost vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 94-88
22-22 31-31 21-19 20-16
Position#2
Record12-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game76.3
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#1
Record15-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game80.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 17· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mladost v Samobor
10 May 2025
MLAD74
SAMO86
16 Feb 2025
MLAD94
SAMO88
27 Oct 2023
MLAD82
SAMO89
26 Apr 2023
MLAD111
SAMO99
08 Mar 2023
MLAD99
SAMO76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 75
H20/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 75
A01/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
87-67
87
67
+20
93avg 75
H08/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 75
H14/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
75avg 75
H22/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 75
A12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
94-93
94
93
+1
77avg 75
H19/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
91-54
91
54
+37
89avg 75
A25/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
63avg 75
H01/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
100-77
100
77
+23
102avg 75
A08/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
18-12
17-15
17-19
15-28
18-23
26-23
23-9
18-13
20-17
17-14
32-23
19-20
20-21
18-16
23-19
21-23
26-15
14-22
28-20
20-18
14-21
20-21
12-19
24-29
21-28
20-18
29-18
17-14
18-12
28-12
28-16
10-28
24-21
22-12
13-15
20-17
22-21
32-20
26-19
158.6Avg total
83.1Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.876.3160.1+7.475%
Season at home (9)82.776.1158.8+6.689%
Season away (7)85.176.6161.7+8.657%
Last 10 (10)83.175.5158.6+7.670%
Last 5 (5)84.075.8159.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.389.5167.8-11.225%
vs Similar (6)80.077.3157.3+2.750%
vs Weaker (12)84.873.3158.2+11.592%
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
56avg 82
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 82
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
77-65
77
65
+12
80avg 82
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
55-87
55
87
-32
39avg 82
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 82
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
96-88
96
88
+8
94avg 82
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
100-80
100
80
+20
102avg 82
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 82
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
100-94
100
94
+6
98avg 82
A01/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
95-64
95
64
+31
89avg 82
H08/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
21-23
18-26
13-33
19-16
17-22
17-9
31-15
25-9
20-23
19-10
13-23
22-20
19-26
6-26
8-15
22-27
28-17
23-18
27-32
23-19
35-17
22-30
16-22
22-24
25-24
28-7
25-25
29-16
22-21
14-15
19-27
23-24
26-17
23-23
28-30
23-20
22-13
32-17
18-14
167.8Avg total
86.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)90.080.2170.2+9.894%
Season at home (9)88.875.0163.8+13.8100%
Season away (7)91.687.0178.6+4.686%
Last 10 (10)86.381.5167.8+4.880%
Last 5 (5)95.081.0176.0+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.280.2153.5-7.025%
vs Similar (6)88.788.7177.3+0.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.679.0171.6+13.6100%
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
MladostSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A01/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H22/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A12/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H19/01
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A25/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H01/02
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/02
Prva Liga
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.883.8-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.741.184.8+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)37.944.782.6-6.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.879.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.849.287.9-10.425%-
vs Similar (6)40.539.880.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker (12)43.437.981.3+5.575%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/12
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H05/12
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H13/12
Prva Liga
Zadar
#5
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H16/12
Croatian Cup
Jazine
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A11/01
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H19/01
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H25/01
Prva Liga
Hermes
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A01/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H08/02
Prva Liga
86.1Avg total
46.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.641.388.0+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.739.887.5+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)45.043.788.7+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)46.339.886.1+6.560%-
Last 5 (5)50.039.089.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.238.880.0+2.550%-
vs Similar (6)44.841.286.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)48.641.790.3+6.968%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.922.8
54.4%
52.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.0
27.5%
33.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.415.9
82.0%
70.4%15.9
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.122.0
54.9%
52.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.4
36.9%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
70.4%11.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
WLWWLWWWLW
Samobor
WWWWWWLWWL
#2
League position
#1
+10.6
Net rating
+7.6
106.8
Offensive rating
110.3
96.1
Defensive rating
102.8
49.4%
Effective FG%
55.1%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
27.5%
3-point %
36.9%
54.7%
Assist %
66.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 110.3Defence96.1 · 102.8Shooting49.4% · 55.1%3-point %27.5% · 36.9%Ball care18.9% · 17.8%Off. rebounds34.3% · 28.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Mladost   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mladost wins
3
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Samobor v Mladost99-91
06/02/24Samobor v Mladost113-92
27/10/23Mladost v Samobor82-89
26/04/23Mladost v Samobor111-99
25/03/23Samobor v Mladost75-109
08/03/23Mladost v Samobor99-76
03/12/22Samobor v Mladost73-79
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25AOmis100-77
01/02/25HSonik Puntamika69-76
25/01/25ACrikvenica91-54
19/01/25HKastela94-93
12/01/25AKK Zagreb66-79
22/12/24HHermes89-80
14/12/24HDakovo80-76
08/12/24HMarsonia87-67
01/12/24AJazine82-83
20/11/24HSkrljevo73-70
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HKK Zagreb95-64
01/02/25AHermes100-94
25/01/25HDakovo84-79
19/01/25HMarsonia100-80
15/01/25HSkrljevo96-88
11/01/25AJazine100-94
16/12/24HZadar55-87
13/12/24HGorica77-65
05/12/24HBosco84-62
01/12/24AKastela72-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%89%57%
Points / game83.882.785.1
Allowed / game76.376.176.6
Point differential+7.4+6.6+8.6
Avg total160.1158.8161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%22%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %94%100%86%
Points / game90.088.891.6
Allowed / game80.275.087.0
Point differential+9.8+13.8+4.6
Avg total170.2163.8178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor1615194%90.080.2+9.8
2 Jazine1612475%94.683.2+11.4
3 Mladost1612475%83.876.3+7.4
4 Kastela1611569%85.972.1+13.8
5 Skrljevo1711665%90.580.5+10.0
6 Marsonia1610662%87.483.6+3.8
7 Gorica179853%79.683.4-3.8
8 KK Zagreb178947%75.375.5-0.2
9 Sonik Puntamika167944%74.173.6+0.4
10 Omis1761135%75.178.4-3.2
11 Crikvenica1751229%66.677.6-11.1
12 Dakovo1741324%77.486.1-8.7
13 Bosco1731418%74.587.9-13.4
14 Hermes1731418%76.790.2-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2231212094
Samobor2231191688
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