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Mogi vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-79
10-21 22-21 15-14 23-23
Position#14
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game78.0
Mogi
Brazil
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#3
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game68.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos (Mogi das Cruzes)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Minas
10 Jan 2026
MOGI90
MINA76
26 Apr 2025
MOGI72
MINA85
22 Jan 2025
MOGI68
MINA79
10 Nov 2023
MOGI70
MINA79
08 Feb 2022
MOGI70
MINA73
16 Dec 2020
MOGI74
MINA80
04 Dec 2019
MOGI91
MINA84
21 Jan 2019
MOGI65
MINA64
12 Mar 2018
MOGI76
MINA39
09 Mar 2017
MOGI87
MINA64
03 Mar 2016
MOGI71
MINA64
06 Nov 2014
MOGI60
MINA61
14 Dec 2013
MOGI70
MINA60
16 Mar 2013
MOGI75
MINA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Cearense
#15
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A04/03
NBB
Pato
#11
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
A11/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H16/03
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
A24/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
63-65
63
65
-2
54avg 60
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
62avg 60
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
63avg 60
H08/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-25
21-21
17-18
12-18
16-22
28-19
14-20
18-30
17-15
20-26
18-19
20-20
24-23
20-22
22-21
19-20
28-15
17-16
21-24
14-12
22-11
24-23
26-19
29-16
18-8
15-15
28-30
20-15
19-22
15-13
9-15
19-21
19-22
15-14
15-25
15-23
16-25
24-18
15-21
158.4Avg total
78.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.078.0145.0-11.00%
Season at home (3)67.078.0145.0-11.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.380.1158.4-1.830%
Last 5 (5)75.473.6149.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.886.9162.6-11.16%
vs Similar (13)77.975.6153.5+2.354%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
W
71-67
71
67
+4
no box
H09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
98-112
98
112
-14
no box
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
103-89
103
89
+14
no box
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 81
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-76
96
76
+20
101avg 81
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
72-60
72
60
+12
64avg 81
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 81
A08/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
16-22
15-7
22-26
31-29
22-26
17-23
28-34
29-18
28-28
21-24
25-19
23-24
25-16
23-28
20-27
19-27
27-19
26-23
21-21
19-29
25-22
23-25
12-17
26-27
27-14
21-18
13-11
33-25
21-12
21-10
21-29
16-18
18-17
26-14
12-11
19-14
18-28
25-9
15-16
168.6Avg total
86.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.068.2151.2+14.8100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)83.068.2151.2+14.8100%
Last 10 (10)86.781.9168.6+4.870%
Last 5 (5)82.273.2155.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.491.5179.9-3.125%
vs Similar (8)82.074.5156.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.478.0167.4+11.486%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
MogiMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/03
NBB
Pato
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A11/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/03
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H27/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H08/11
NBB
76.3Avg total
38.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.275.4-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.237.074.2+0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.239.676.8-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.176.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.073.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.941.578.4-4.635%-
vs Similar (13)37.633.971.5+3.762%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NBB
88.7Avg total
46.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.885.1+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.938.084.9+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)44.041.385.3+2.744%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.788.7+3.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.285.6+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.246.893.0-0.525%-
vs Similar (8)40.935.276.1+5.688%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.438.485.7+9.064%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.012.7
42.2%
51.8%25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.011.0
40.7%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws13.38.7
65.0%
72.6%8.7
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.2
56.6%
51.8%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.8
34.2%
33.9%29.2
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.3%
72.6%13.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/4 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLLWWWLLLL
Minas
WWWWLWLWLW
#14
League position
#3
-13.0
Net rating
+18.0
96.9
Offensive rating
111.0
109.9
Defensive rating
92.9
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
21.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.7%
3-point %
34.2%
76.1%
Assist %
73.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 111.0Defence109.9 · 92.9Shooting51.2% · 54.2%3-point %40.7% · 34.2%Ball care21.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds24.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Mogi   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mogi wins
6
Minas wins
DateGameScore
08/02/22Mogi v Minas70-73
03/11/21Minas v Mogi109-75
14/03/21Minas v Mogi85-80
15/01/21Minas v Mogi96-71
16/12/20Mogi v Minas74-80
11/02/20Minas v Mogi87-71
04/12/19Mogi v Minas91-84
21/01/19Mogi v Minas65-64
13/11/18Minas v Mogi97-99
12/03/18Mogi v Minas76-39
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HPato70-87
27/10/23HUnifacisa68-82
25/10/23HCearense63-65
11/04/22APinheiros90-69
06/04/22HCaxias do Sul86-65
04/04/22HUniao Corinthians85-75
24/03/22ABauru103-107 OT
16/03/22HSao Paulo73-90
11/03/22APato70-79
04/03/22ACearense75-82
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23ASao Jose77-67
23/10/23AVasco72-60
21/10/23ABotafogo96-76
13/10/23AFlamengo87-70
23/05/23AFranca79-93
21/05/23AFranca93-90
18/05/23HFranca91-95
16/05/23HFranca103-89
13/05/23AFranca98-112
09/05/23HPaulistano71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game67.067.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential-11.0-11.0-
Avg total145.0145.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game68.2-68.2
Point differential+14.8-+14.8
Avg total151.2-151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca330100%94.076.7+17.3
2 Minas440100%83.068.2+14.8
3 Cearense54180%77.273.6+3.6
4 Flamengo43175%78.573.0+5.5
5 Vasco64267%69.565.3+4.2
6 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
7 Unifacisa53260%76.069.8+6.2
8 Bauru53260%75.476.0-0.6
9 Uniao Corinthians53260%77.678.8-1.2
10 Corinthians Paulista42250%78.275.8+2.5
11 Brasilia42250%82.082.5-0.5
12 Caxias do Sul42250%71.573.5-2.0
13 Pato73443%75.677.3-1.7
14 Pinheiros31233%71.076.0-5.0
15 Sao Jose41325%76.874.0+2.8
16 Cerrado51420%71.273.8-2.6
17 Sao Paulo51420%74.886.0-11.2
18 Mogi3030%67.078.0-11.0
19 Botafogo6060%70.583.7-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1022152370
Minas2121142379
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