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Mogi vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 72-85
20-22 15-17 14-22 23-24
Position#16
Record11-23
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record29-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game70.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mogi v Minas
10 Jan 2026
MOGI90
MINA76
26 Apr 2025
MOGI72
MINA85
22 Jan 2025
MOGI68
MINA79
10 Nov 2023
MOGI70
MINA79
08 Feb 2022
MOGI70
MINA73
16 Dec 2020
MOGI74
MINA80
04 Dec 2019
MOGI91
MINA84
21 Jan 2019
MOGI65
MINA64
12 Mar 2018
MOGI76
MINA39
09 Mar 2017
MOGI87
MINA64
03 Mar 2016
MOGI71
MINA64
06 Nov 2014
MOGI60
MINA61
14 Dec 2013
MOGI70
MINA60
16 Mar 2013
MOGI75
MINA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
62-80
62
80
-18
52avg 66
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
75avg 66
H14/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
82-104
82
104
-22
66avg 66
A28/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
66avg 66
A12/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
73-93
73
93
-20
56avg 66
A15/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
66-82
66
82
-16
54avg 66
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-63
75
63
+12
73avg 66
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
75-82 OT
75
82
-7
72avg 66
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
62avg 66
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
90-76
90
76
+14
92avg 66
H16/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
15-22
20-18
16-18
21-28
18-20
24-23
18-20
20-20
25-27
21-24
16-33
16-21
26-26
14-29
21-15
16-22
13-30
20-22
24-19
17-20
20-20
13-19
16-23
16-13
31-15
11-26
17-9
19-23
14-8
18-14
13-19
17-28
25-23
15-21
22-24
27-21
27-14
18-27
18-14
161.8Avg total
76.0Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)74.581.2155.6-6.732%
Season at home (17)74.178.1152.2-4.147%
Season away (17)74.984.2159.1-9.418%
Last 10 (10)76.085.8161.8-9.820%
Last 5 (5)77.079.8156.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)75.282.1157.3-6.928%
vs Similar (5)75.677.8153.4-2.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 76
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
94-70
94
70
+24
94avg 76
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 76
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
92-81
92
81
+11
93avg 76
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 76
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 76
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 76
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
97-59
97
59
+38
98avg 76
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 76
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
74avg 76
A14/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
19-10
10-23
24-14
27-23
20-15
22-21
25-11
28-17
22-18
18-17
20-18
24-23
22-17
27-20
19-21
20-25
29-13
11-9
17-16
21-15
12-17
17-20
25-20
22-15
19-23
16-19
19-12
22-21
21-5
31-22
23-11
11-16
16-11
16-25
24-19
13-17
23-21
21-13
19-15
151.6Avg total
81.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)82.270.9153.1+11.385%
Season at home (17)84.468.9153.4+15.594%
Season away (17)80.172.9152.9+7.276%
Last 10 (10)81.670.0151.6+11.680%
Last 5 (5)78.267.4145.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (3)82.367.0149.3+15.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.872.2152.0+7.680%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
MogiMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H08/02
NBB
Franca
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H14/02
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A28/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A15/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H31/03
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H02/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A09/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A11/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H16/04
NBB
81.7Avg total
39.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.940.177.0-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.438.276.5+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)35.841.577.3-5.824%-
Last 10 (10)39.442.381.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.079.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.940.877.7-3.928%-
vs Similar (5)36.836.473.2+0.460%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Instituto de Cordoba
#6
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H13/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H19/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A01/04
NBB
Pato
#14
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A03/04
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/04
NBB
76.6Avg total
41.2Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.976.8+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.536.677.2+3.963%-
Last 30 away (11)38.637.576.1+1.236%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.476.6+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.268.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (3)44.332.777.0+11.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)39.837.977.7+2.048%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.5
51.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.2
32.2%
33.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.513.4
68.7%
72.7%13.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.218.5
52.6%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.0
37.9%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.711.0
74.8%
72.7%11.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WLLWLLLLLL
Minas
WLWWWWWWWL
#16
League position
#1
-13.5
Net rating
+16.8
103.1
Offensive rating
111.2
116.6
Defensive rating
94.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.2%
3-point %
37.9%
61.4%
Assist %
61.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 111.2Defence116.6 · 94.5Shooting49.9% · 54.5%3-point %32.2% · 37.9%Ball care16.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds27.3% · 32.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Mogi   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mogi wins
10
Minas wins
DateGameScore
22/01/25Mogi v Minas68-79
24/10/24Minas v Mogi91-61
08/02/24Minas v Mogi102-65
10/11/23Mogi v Minas70-79
08/02/22Mogi v Minas70-73
03/11/21Minas v Mogi109-75
14/03/21Minas v Mogi85-80
15/01/21Minas v Mogi96-71
16/12/20Mogi v Minas74-80
11/02/20Minas v Mogi87-71
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25HPato90-76
11/04/25AUniao Corinthians79-96
09/04/25ACaxias do Sul75-82 OT
02/04/25HCearense75-63
31/03/25HUnifacisa66-82
15/03/25ACorinthians Paulista73-93
12/03/25APinheiros77-91
28/02/25AVasco82-104
14/02/25HFranca81-91
08/02/25HBauru62-80
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/25APaulistano76-66
12/04/25ASao Paulo67-71
09/04/25HBotafogo97-59
07/04/25HVasco76-69
03/04/25APato75-72
01/04/25ABrasilia77-63
29/03/25HUniao Corinthians92-81
26/03/25HCaxias do Sul88-70
19/03/25HFlamengo94-70
13/03/25HInstituto de Cordoba74-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW32%
HomeLLLWW47%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %32%47%18%
Points / game74.574.174.9
Allowed / game81.278.184.2
Point differential-6.7-4.1-9.4
Avg total155.6152.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)62% (8)50% (2)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWLW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %85%94%76%
Points / game82.284.480.1
Allowed / game70.968.972.9
Point differential+11.3+15.5+7.2
Avg total153.1153.4152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3429585%82.270.9+11.3
2 Flamengo3527877%85.175.4+9.7
3 Franca3526974%84.976.1+8.9
4 Pinheiros36201656%76.674.2+2.3
5 Vasco36201656%77.076.3+0.8
6 Bauru36201656%78.878.5+0.3
7 Brasilia35191654%80.679.9+0.7
8 Corinthians Paulista35181751%82.180.1+2.0
9 Uniao Corinthians35181751%78.580.9-2.4
10 Sao Jose36171947%78.278.6-0.4
11 Unifacisa36171947%74.875.3-0.4
12 Paulistano36162044%77.876.4+1.4
13 Sao Paulo35142140%76.179.2-3.1
14 Pato35132237%81.883.7-1.9
15 Mogi34112332%74.581.2-6.7
16 Caxias do Sul35112431%73.781.6-7.9
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi2015142372
Minas2217222485
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