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Mogi vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-79
13-23 21-19 20-17 14-20
Position#16
Record8-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game71.4
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mogi v Minas
10 Jan 2026
MOGI90
MINA76
26 Apr 2025
MOGI72
MINA85
22 Jan 2025
MOGI68
MINA79
10 Nov 2023
MOGI70
MINA79
08 Feb 2022
MOGI70
MINA73
16 Dec 2020
MOGI74
MINA80
04 Dec 2019
MOGI91
MINA84
21 Jan 2019
MOGI65
MINA64
12 Mar 2018
MOGI76
MINA39
09 Mar 2017
MOGI87
MINA64
03 Mar 2016
MOGI71
MINA64
06 Nov 2014
MOGI60
MINA61
14 Dec 2013
MOGI70
MINA60
16 Mar 2013
MOGI75
MINA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
53-73
53
73
-20
30avg 64
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
69-76
69
76
-7
57avg 64
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
60avg 64
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 64
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 64
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
85-97
85
97
-12
81avg 64
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
60-81
60
81
-21
50avg 64
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
63-76
63
76
-13
55avg 64
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
89-71
89
71
+18
90avg 64
H13/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
79avg 64
A17/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
11-14
9-19
17-20
14-18
19-22
19-18
17-18
17-20
7-17
22-10
24-19
21-14
16-11
15-18
18-29
30-28
26-20
21-20
29-22
16-25
15-22
25-22
29-28
11-19
17-21
17-23
15-18
9-25
17-14
17-19
20-18
28-17
17-25
27-14
17-15
26-14
19-20
24-15
11-20
151.6Avg total
74.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.078.6151.7-5.636%
Season at home (10)72.076.4148.4-4.450%
Season away (12)73.980.5154.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)74.577.1151.6-2.640%
Last 5 (5)75.478.8154.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)71.579.3150.8-7.836%
vs Similar (5)73.676.2149.8-2.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
60avg 80
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
73-60
73
60
+13
65avg 80
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
76avg 80
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
82avg 80
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
60avg 80
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
83avg 80
H27/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
92-73
92
73
+19
91avg 80
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 80
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
80-69
80
69
+11
70avg 80
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
83avg 80
A20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
9-13
21-21
20-24
17-18
20-9
22-16
14-17
21-31
18-14
20-17
25-11
24-27
18-20
21-20
23-15
14-21
13-19
24-13
26-10
28-27
22-16
18-10
15-20
23-16
28-16
22-15
19-26
25-11
23-21
17-16
20-29
21-21
19-16
28-20
12-12
20-29
21-19
19-31
28-19
156.1Avg total
81.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.571.4154.9+12.185%
Season at home (10)85.569.2154.7+16.3100%
Season away (10)81.673.6155.2+8.070%
Last 10 (10)81.274.9156.1+6.380%
Last 5 (5)85.678.0163.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)79.179.2158.4-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.770.4154.1+13.391%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
MogiMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H02/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A06/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A09/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H17/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A21/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/01
NBB
73.8Avg total
35.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.139.373.4-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.936.671.5-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)33.541.675.1-8.119%-
Last 10 (10)35.238.673.8-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.040.475.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.239.673.8-5.428%-
vs Similar (5)33.837.471.2-3.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A09/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/12
Champions League Americas
Paulistano
#12
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H23/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H27/12
NBB
Franca
#2
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H29/12
NBB
Bigua
#10
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/01
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#9
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H13/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A20/01
NBB
78.5Avg total
39.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.935.875.7+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.836.578.3+5.371%-
Last 30 away (16)38.335.273.5+3.169%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.778.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.484.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.837.174.9+0.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)40.735.376.0+5.473%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.116.0
45.6%
50.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.5
36.7%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.712.8
68.4%
72.7%12.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.6
50.9%
50.9%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.1
33.6%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.712.7
64.5%
72.7%12.7
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
WWLLLWLWLL
Minas
LWWWWWWWWL
#16
League position
#1
-4.3
Net rating
+8.3
99.3
Offensive rating
105.4
103.6
Defensive rating
97.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
33.6%
62.7%
Assist %
62.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 105.4Defence103.6 · 97.1Shooting49.6% · 50.8%3-point %36.7% · 33.6%Ball care19.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds26.0% · 36.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Mogi   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mogi wins
9
Minas wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Minas v Mogi91-61
08/02/24Minas v Mogi102-65
10/11/23Mogi v Minas70-79
08/02/22Mogi v Minas70-73
03/11/21Minas v Mogi109-75
14/03/21Minas v Mogi85-80
15/01/21Minas v Mogi96-71
16/12/20Mogi v Minas74-80
11/02/20Minas v Mogi87-71
04/12/19Mogi v Minas91-84
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/25ASao Paulo80-69
13/01/25HBrasilia89-71
10/01/25APaulistano63-76
29/12/24AFlamengo60-81
27/12/24ABotafogo85-97
21/12/24APato106-90
17/12/24HCorinthians Paulista70-72
09/12/24AUnifacisa70-66
06/12/24ACearense69-76
02/12/24HPinheiros53-73
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25ASao Jose88-98
13/01/25HQuimsa80-69
12/01/25ABigua85-77
29/12/24HFranca92-73
27/12/24HBauru83-73
23/12/24HSao Paulo77-63
20/12/24HPaulistano86-82
15/12/24AQuimsa84-73
14/12/24ABigua73-60
09/12/24AVasco64-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW36%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%50%25%
Points / game73.072.073.9
Allowed / game78.676.480.5
Point differential-5.6-4.4-6.6
Avg total151.7148.4154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)57% (7)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%100%70%
Points / game83.585.581.6
Allowed / game71.469.273.6
Point differential+12.2+16.3+8.0
Avg total154.9154.7155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%70%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2017385%83.571.4+12.2
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2113862%83.081.9+1.1
4 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Uniao Corinthians2112957%78.178.6-0.5
7 Vasco22121055%74.474.3+0.1
8 Paulistano21111052%78.575.3+3.1
9 Sao Jose21111052%77.676.0+1.7
10 Bauru21111052%77.879.7-2.0
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Corinthians Paulista21101148%81.581.1+0.4
13 Sao Paulo21101148%77.378.1-0.8
14 Pato2391439%81.483.5-2.1
15 Mogi2281436%73.078.6-5.6
16 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
17 Botafogo2261627%72.881.0-8.1
18 Caxias do Sul2151624%72.079.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1321201468
Minas2319172079
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