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Mogi vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 70-87
15-23 16-25 24-18 15-21
Position#14
Record0-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game65.5
Allowed / game73.5
Mogi
Brazil
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#12
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game78.5
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos (Mogi das Cruzes)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mogi v Pato
27 Dec 2026
MOGI v PATO
upcoming
17 Nov 2025
MOGI86
PATO58
16 Apr 2025
MOGI90
PATO76
08 Nov 2023
MOGI70
PATO87
10 Jan 2022
MOGI68
PATO72
06 Jan 2021
MOGI78
PATO63
18 Nov 2019
MOGI73
PATO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
no box
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A04/03
NBB
Pato
#11
L
70-79
70
79
-9
no box
A11/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
no box
H16/03
NBB
Bauru
#6
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
no box
A24/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
63-65
63
65
-2
54avg 58
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-82
68
82
-14
62avg 58
H27/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
30-30
9-19
23-21
18-18
19-25
21-21
17-18
12-18
16-22
28-19
14-20
18-30
17-15
20-26
18-19
20-20
24-23
20-22
22-21
19-20
28-15
17-16
21-24
14-12
22-11
24-23
26-19
29-16
18-8
15-15
28-30
20-15
19-22
15-13
9-15
19-21
19-22
15-14
15-25
160.0Avg total
79.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.573.5139.0-8.00%
Season at home (2)65.573.5139.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.580.5160.0-1.030%
Last 5 (5)78.471.2149.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.186.9163.0-10.86%
vs Similar (14)76.974.5151.4+2.457%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 66
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 66
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 66
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
83-65
83
65
+18
74avg 66
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 66
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 66
A06/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-21
23-23
28-21
14-11
24-13
18-25
26-21
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
23-22
19-18
11-13
9-18
24-16
18-15
16-22
25-12
15-20
25-22
17-12
21-26
14-22
15-25
16-28
24-25
157.1Avg total
75.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.778.5152.2-4.833%
Season at home (2)80.572.5153.0+8.050%
Season away (4)70.281.5151.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)75.781.4157.1-5.740%
Last 5 (5)74.277.4151.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.784.7158.4-11.018%
vs Similar (8)79.878.5158.2+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.690.2181.8+1.460%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
MogiPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#5
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#15
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/03
NBB
Pato
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A11/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#4
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/03
NBB
Bauru
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A24/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#12
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#8
W
47-24
47
24
+23
A11/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H27/10
NBB
78.5Avg total
40.1Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.237.574.8-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.235.873.0+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)37.239.676.8-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.478.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.432.473.8+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.241.178.3-3.838%-
vs Similar (14)37.233.570.7+3.764%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A06/11
NBB
77.1Avg total
38.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.680.6-2.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.838.279.0+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)37.644.181.8-6.518%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.777.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.477.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.940.678.6-2.729%-
vs Similar (8)38.240.478.6-2.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.846.690.4-2.820%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.514.0
45.9%
51.8%28.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.010.0
43.5%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws13.57.5
55.6%
72.6%7.5
They take 53.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.3
52.1%
51.8%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.0
31.9%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.39.7
63.0%
72.6%9.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/6 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mogi
LLWWWLLLLL
Pato
LLWLWLLLWW
#14
League position
#12
-8.8
Net rating
-7.6
96.0
Offensive rating
100.2
104.8
Defensive rating
107.9
54.2%
Effective FG%
50.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
22.6%
Turnover %
18.3%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
43.5%
3-point %
31.9%
72.9%
Assist %
68.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 100.2Defence104.8 · 107.9Shooting54.2% · 50.0%3-point %43.5% · 31.9%Ball care22.6% · 18.3%Off. rebounds21.0% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Mogi   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mogi wins
3
Pato wins
DateGameScore
11/03/22Pato v Mogi79-70
10/01/22Mogi v Pato68-72
04/04/21Pato v Mogi73-62
06/01/21Mogi v Pato78-63
18/11/19Mogi v Pato73-64
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HUnifacisa68-82
25/10/23HCearense63-65
11/04/22APinheiros90-69
06/04/22HCaxias do Sul86-65
04/04/22HUniao Corinthians85-75
24/03/22ABauru103-107 OT
16/03/22HSao Paulo73-90
11/03/22APato70-79
04/03/22ACearense75-82
02/03/22AUnifacisa82-91
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23ASao Jose69-100
03/11/23HBrasilia78-80
31/10/23HCerrado83-65
27/10/23AVasco62-71
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
18/04/23HPaulistano82-70
10/04/23HCerrado98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogi
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game65.565.5-
Allowed / game73.573.5-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total139.0139.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game73.780.570.2
Allowed / game78.572.581.5
Point differential-4.8+8.0-11.2
Avg total152.2153.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca330100%94.076.7+17.3
2 Minas440100%83.068.2+14.8
3 Vasco54180%70.464.8+5.6
4 Cearense54180%77.273.6+3.6
5 Unifacisa43175%73.563.8+9.8
6 Flamengo32167%82.075.7+6.3
7 Corinthians Paulista32167%79.774.3+5.3
8 Brasilia32167%82.079.3+2.7
9 Paulistano53260%67.868.8-1.0
10 Bauru42250%74.276.5-2.2
11 Uniao Corinthians42250%74.078.0-4.0
12 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
13 Caxias do Sul31233%67.772.3-4.7
14 Pato62433%73.778.5-4.8
15 Sao Jose41325%76.874.0+2.8
16 Cerrado41325%69.871.5-1.8
17 Mogi2020%65.573.5-8.0
18 Botafogo6060%70.583.7-13.2
19 Sao Paulo4040%70.086.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogi1516241570
Pato2325182187
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