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Monaco vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 80-86
26-19 24-20 16-21 14-26
Position#8
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Brescia 🏆
Position#19
Record1-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#19
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A03/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H07/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H10/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A13/10
LNB
Ulm
#10
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A16/10
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#13
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H20/10
LNB
Galatasaray
#20
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A24/10
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A27/10
LNB
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H31/10
Eurocup
Limoges
#7
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H03/11
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
19-22
22-17
15-15
15-22
22-15
23-18
15-8
6-17
18-12
20-8
19-29
23-17
10-21
19-13
13-23
24-15
22-17
13-11
16-22
22-20
14-18
21-5
26-16
22-25
19-16
24-21
21-23
18-18
15-15
26-17
19-29
18-19
26-25
17-12
20-17
24-18
23-21
14-11
26-18
147.3Avg total
77.3Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.071.4148.4+5.680%
Season at home (2)72.069.5141.5+2.550%
Season away (3)80.372.7153.0+7.7100%
Last 10 (10)77.370.0147.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)83.072.8155.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)75.171.9147.0+3.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.178.6161.7+4.563%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A30/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
22-19
17-22
15-15
22-21
19-22
23-23
16-15
19-23
24-24
24-28
24-35
27-21
15-18
18-28
23-12
21-24
23-16
21-22
11-22
19-24
25-18
20-27
22-21
15-31
24-7
17-12
13-11
20-13
19-21
15-21
20-22
29-24
16-16
18-27
19-16
17-27
33-17
15-19
19-18
161.9Avg total
79.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.283.6160.8-6.420%
Season at home (2)68.570.5139.0-2.050%
Season away (3)83.092.3175.3-9.30%
Last 10 (10)79.382.6161.9-3.330%
Last 5 (5)79.078.4157.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.383.4161.6-5.127%
vs Similar (11)73.473.7147.1-0.445%
vs Weaker (7)84.378.0162.3+6.386%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.5-0.5
MonacoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A03/10
Eurocup
Nanterre
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H07/10
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
24-29
24
29
-5
H10/10
Eurocup
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A13/10
LNB
Ulm
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A16/10
Eurocup
Chalons-Reims
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/10
LNB
Galatasaray
#20
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Eurocup
Chalon/Saone
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A27/10
LNB
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H31/10
Eurocup
Limoges
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H03/11
LNB
75.1Avg total
38.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.278.3+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.238.378.5+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.038.178.1+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.436.775.1+1.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.079.2+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)37.536.373.7+1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.639.380.9+2.358%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A30/10
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
Lega A
83.3Avg total
42.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.578.7-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.079.1+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.078.2-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.083.3+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.683.0+3.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.142.983.0-2.855%-
vs Similar (11)35.837.373.1-1.545%-
vs Weaker (7)44.138.482.6+5.771%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.2
55.2%
51.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.66.6
32.0%
36.6%19.8
🏀 Free throws11.68.4
72.4%
74.9%8.4
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.5
49.9%
51.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
36.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
74.9%16.3
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLWWWLLWW
Brescia
WLLWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#19
+6.6
Net rating
-3.5
111.5
Offensive rating
104.3
104.9
Defensive rating
107.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.0%
3-point %
34.4%
51.1%
Assist %
58.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 104.3Defence104.9 · 107.8Shooting52.7% · 50.6%3-point %32.0% · 34.4%Ball care13.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.4%Free throws0.20 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Monaco   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco wins
0
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
03/10/18Brescia v Monaco68-80
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/18HLimoges87-68
31/10/18HMoraBanc Andorra81-73
27/10/18AChalon/Saone78-79
24/10/18AGalatasaray86-85
20/10/18HChalons-Reims83-59
16/10/18AUlm75-65
13/10/18AGravelines-Dunkerque65-74
10/10/18HCrvena zvezda63-66
07/10/18HNanterre75-63
03/10/18ABrescia80-68
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18HPesaro84-81
30/10/18AUlm82-83
27/10/18HAvellino74-77
24/10/18HCrvena zvezda69-61
21/10/18ATrieste86-90
16/10/18AGalatasaray76-84
14/10/18HReggiana83-79
10/10/18AMoraBanc Andorra91-110
07/10/18AVarese80-81
03/10/18HMonaco68-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game77.072.080.3
Allowed / game71.469.572.7
Point differential+5.6+2.5+7.7
Avg total148.4141.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game77.268.583.0
Allowed / game83.670.592.3
Point differential-6.4-2.0-9.3
Avg total160.8139.0175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lokomotiv Kuban65183%85.574.2+11.3
2 Unics Kazan65183%88.076.7+11.3
3 Alba Berlin65183%92.283.8+8.3
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne65183%78.770.5+8.2
5 Unicaja54180%89.282.6+6.6
6 Monaco54180%77.071.4+5.6
7 Valencia64267%80.773.8+6.8
8 Crvena zvezda64267%77.872.7+5.2
9 Frankfurt64267%80.878.3+2.5
10 Rytas53260%78.475.2+3.2
11 Zenit Petersburg63350%85.582.0+3.5
12 Cedevita63350%80.377.7+2.7
13 Ulm63350%85.786.7-1.0
14 Turk Telekom63350%74.878.5-3.7
15 MoraBanc Andorra52340%87.687.2+0.4
16 Galatasaray52340%80.485.0-4.6
17 Partizan62433%76.580.0-3.5
18 Tofas62433%89.294.2-5.0
19 Limoges62433%79.585.2-5.7
20 Brescia51420%77.283.6-6.4
21 Trento61517%69.580.8-11.3
22 Gdynia61517%73.385.0-11.7
23 Mornar Bar61517%76.792.2-15.5
24 Torino6060%83.590.0-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2624161480
Brescia1920212686
← all games of the day
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