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Brescia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-77
20-13 19-21 15-21 20-22
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#9
Record1-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game90.3
ItalyLega ARound 4
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Avellino
27 Oct 2018
BRE74
AVE77
08 Oct 2017
BRE96
AVE75
26 Feb 2017
BRE91
AVE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H24/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-19
17-22
19-22
16-25
17-17
21-15
16-19
13-20
17-15
11-23
18-23
14-24
22-19
17-22
15-15
22-21
19-22
23-23
16-15
19-23
24-24
24-28
24-35
27-21
15-18
18-28
23-12
21-24
23-16
21-22
11-22
19-24
25-18
20-27
22-21
15-31
24-7
17-12
13-11
157.8Avg total
75.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.083.3166.3-0.333%
Season at home (1)83.079.0162.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)83.085.5168.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)75.682.2157.8-6.620%
Last 5 (5)81.084.8165.8-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.983.4161.3-5.530%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.376.3150.7-2.050%
vs Weaker (6)84.377.5161.8+6.883%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
A09/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A14/10
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
96-77
96
77
+19
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
H23/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
21-17
20-13
19-31
24-15
20-18
16-10
20-16
21-17
20-20
17-19
22-32
20-21
17-21
19-24
12-18
32-20
26-26
22-19
18-16
23-19
17-22
17-11
18-23
23-26
21-16
25-26
19-26
24-15
23-16
24-23
25-23
25-26
21-22
24-18
20-30
28-26
23-23
24-24
19-21
173.5Avg total
88.2Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.090.3182.3+1.733%
Season at home (2)94.088.5182.5+5.550%
Season away (1)88.094.0182.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)88.285.3173.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)95.892.4188.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.093.5187.5+0.550%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.679.1157.7-0.542%
vs Weaker (8)88.075.2163.2+12.875%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
BresciaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H28/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/10
Eurocup
79.5Avg total
39.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.279.2-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.938.878.8+1.162%-
Last 30 away (17)38.241.379.5-3.141%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.579.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.283.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.643.282.8-3.650%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.439.876.2-3.442%-
vs Weaker (6)43.237.580.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H13/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H15/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A19/05
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H06/10
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A09/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A14/10
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#43
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A17/10
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H21/10
Lega A
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/10
Champions League
85.0Avg total
44.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.078.4+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.281.2+6.775%-
Last 30 away (14)38.636.675.2+1.964%-
Last 10 (10)44.640.485.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.287.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.041.583.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.237.576.6+1.763%-
vs Weaker (8)46.935.282.1+11.688%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.7
48.7%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.1
33.1%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.0
76.1%
72.3%15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.4
57.4%
51.0%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.3
34.6%
35.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.612.5
80.1%
72.3%12.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLWLLLLLL
Avellino
WLWLWWLLWL
#12
League position
#9
-7.7
Net rating
+0.4
103.8
Offensive rating
104.5
111.5
Defensive rating
104.1
49.0%
Effective FG%
55.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.7%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.1%
3-point %
34.6%
59.3%
Assist %
64.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 104.5Defence111.5 · 104.1Shooting49.0% · 55.5%3-point %33.1% · 34.6%Ball care17.8% · 20.7%Off. rebounds31.2% · 22.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Brescia   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
1
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
28/01/18Avellino v Brescia95-96 OT
08/10/17Brescia v Avellino96-75
26/02/17Brescia v Avellino91-87
30/10/16Avellino v Brescia92-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/18HCrvena zvezda69-61
21/10/18ATrieste86-90
16/10/18AGalatasaray76-84
14/10/18HReggiana83-79
10/10/18AMoraBanc Andorra91-110
07/10/18AVarese80-81
03/10/18HMonaco68-80
29/09/18AOlimpia Milano59-81
30/05/18HOlimpia Milano70-76
28/05/18HOlimpia Milano74-80
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/18HAnwil Wloclawek105-102 OT
21/10/18HVirtus Bologna90-96
17/10/18ALudwigsburg96-77
14/10/18ACremona88-94
09/10/18ANizhny Novgorod100-93 OT
06/10/18HCantu98-81
19/05/18ATrento68-84
17/05/18ATrento80-88
15/05/18HTrento80-59
13/05/18HTrento77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game83.083.083.0
Allowed / game83.379.085.5
Point differential-0.3+4.0-2.5
Avg total166.3162.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game92.094.088.0
Allowed / game90.388.594.0
Point differential+1.7+5.5-6.0
Avg total182.3182.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia440100%89.267.5+21.8
2 Olimpia Milano330100%99.384.7+14.7
3 Torino32167%86.378.3+8.0
4 Cantu32167%87.083.0+4.0
5 Sassari32167%79.376.3+3.0
6 Virtus Bologna32167%89.088.7+0.3
7 Varese32167%78.078.7-0.7
8 Cremona32167%92.394.3-2.0
9 Avellino31233%92.090.3+1.7
10 Brescia31233%83.083.3-0.3
11 Brindisi31233%88.088.7-0.7
12 Reggiana31233%83.086.0-3.0
13 Trieste31233%84.088.0-4.0
14 Pesaro31233%72.787.3-14.7
15 Trento4040%80.092.0-12.0
16 Pistoia3030%76.395.7-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2019152074
Avellino1321212277
← all games of the day
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