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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-81
17-27 33-17 15-19 19-18
Position#12
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game81.8
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game89.8
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
68-80
68
80
-12
96avg 107
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
80-81
80
81
-1
112avg 107
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
91-110
91
110
-19
112avg 107
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
83-79
83
79
+4
112avg 107
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
76-84
76
84
-8
102avg 107
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
86-90
86
90
-4
105avg 107
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
69-61
69
61
+8
98avg 107
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
101avg 107
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
111avg 107
A30/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
17-15
11-23
18-23
14-24
22-19
17-22
15-15
22-21
19-22
23-23
16-15
19-23
24-24
24-28
24-35
27-21
15-18
18-28
23-12
21-24
23-16
21-22
11-22
19-24
25-18
20-27
22-21
15-31
24-7
17-12
13-11
20-13
19-21
15-21
20-22
29-24
16-16
18-27
19-16
159.4Avg total
76.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.881.8162.5-1.025%
Season at home (2)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
Season away (2)83.085.5168.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)76.882.6159.4-5.820%
Last 5 (5)77.479.0156.4-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.383.4161.6-5.127%
vs Similar (12)74.574.4148.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.377.5161.8+6.883%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
W
80-72 OT
80
72
+8
no box
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
106avg 105
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
109avg 105
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
101avg 105
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
104avg 105
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-112
81
112
-31
107avg 105
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
103avg 105
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-97
62
97
-35
no box
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
105avg 105
H28/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
16-19
16-24
10-12
25-31
23-28
13-25
20-19
18-23
16-28
18-16
30-24
18-16
13-19
24-13
20-22
20-21
18-16
22-16
17-21
14-28
22-29
24-30
21-25
18-23
21-20
18-15
26-19
22-20
10-22
18-22
23-24
9-27
19-25
14-28
20-17
20-31
14-19
27-24
21-23
165.7Avg total
77.6Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.089.8164.8-14.825%
Season at home (2)82.587.0169.5-4.550%
Season away (2)67.592.5160.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)77.688.1165.7-10.540%
Last 5 (5)76.294.2170.4-18.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.487.5162.9-12.017%
vs Similar (5)81.880.6162.4+1.260%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A29/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Monaco
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/10
Eurocup
Varese
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A10/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H14/10
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/10
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/10
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H24/10
Eurocup
Avellino
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/10
Lega A
Ulm
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A30/10
Eurocup
80.4Avg total
40.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.478.3-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.438.678.0+0.862%-
Last 30 away (17)38.539.978.5-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.180.4+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.142.983.0-2.855%-
vs Similar (12)36.437.473.8-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.237.580.7+5.767%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/10
Lega A
82.2Avg total
36.3Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.344.480.7-8.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.942.679.5-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)35.646.281.8-10.613%-
Last 10 (10)36.345.982.2-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)33.848.882.6-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.745.080.7-9.217%-
vs Similar (5)41.243.484.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.2
48.3%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.4
34.7%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.016.4
78.1%
72.3%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.520.9
49.2%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.1
27.7%
35.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
72.3%15.1
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWLLWLLLL
Pesaro
LLLWLWWLLW
#12
League position
#15
-4.5
Net rating
-18.5
103.7
Offensive rating
98.8
108.2
Defensive rating
117.3
49.8%
Effective FG%
46.6%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
27.7%
58.3%
Assist %
47.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 98.8Defence108.2 · 117.3Shooting49.8% · 46.6%3-point %34.7% · 27.7%Ball care17.9% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brescia wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/18AUlm82-83
27/10/18HAvellino74-77
24/10/18HCrvena zvezda69-61
21/10/18ATrieste86-90
16/10/18AGalatasaray76-84
14/10/18HReggiana83-79
10/10/18AMoraBanc Andorra91-110
07/10/18AVarese80-81
03/10/18HMonaco68-80
29/09/18AOlimpia Milano59-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18HOlimpia Milano82-97
21/10/18AVenezia62-97
14/10/18ABrindisi73-88
07/10/18HPistoia83-77
09/05/18ASassari81-112
06/05/18HVenezia77-74
29/04/18AOlimpia Milano75-70
22/04/18HCantu82-91
15/04/18AAvellino81-103
08/04/18HPistoia80-72 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.878.583.0
Allowed / game81.878.085.5
Point differential-1.0+0.5-2.5
Avg total162.5156.5168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game75.082.567.5
Allowed / game89.887.092.5
Point differential-14.8-4.5-25.0
Avg total164.8169.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia440100%89.267.5+21.8
2 Olimpia Milano440100%98.884.0+14.8
3 Sassari43175%83.577.8+5.8
4 Cantu43175%90.586.0+4.5
5 Cremona43175%90.287.2+3.0
6 Avellino53260%92.683.4+9.2
7 Varese53260%76.075.2+0.8
8 Brindisi42250%88.585.0+3.5
9 Torino42250%85.282.8+2.5
10 Virtus Bologna42250%83.287.5-4.2
11 Reggiana52340%83.685.4-1.8
12 Brescia41325%80.881.8-1.0
13 Trieste41325%79.585.5-6.0
14 Pesaro41325%75.089.8-14.8
15 Trento5050%78.495.6-17.2
16 Pistoia4040%75.894.2-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1733151984
Pesaro2717191881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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