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Monaco vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-80
22-14 21-23 19-26 19-17
Position#10
Record16-14
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game86.3
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#1
Record20-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 31· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2025
Meetings · Monaco v Olympiacos
05 May 2026
MCO82
OLY105
12 Mar 2026
MCO81
OLY80
04 Dec 2024
MCO80
OLY89
30 Nov 2023
MCO85
OLY77
10 Jan 2023
MCO64
OLY60
29 Apr 2022
MCO78
OLY77
27 Apr 2022
MCO83
OLY87
23 Mar 2022
MCO92
OLY72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
87-104
87
104
-17
82avg 89
A03/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 89
A05/02
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
92-78
92
78
+14
90avg 89
A08/02
LNB
Baskonia
#18
W
102-92
102
92
+10
97avg 89
H13/02
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 89
A15/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 89
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 89
H26/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
70-88
70
88
-18
64avg 89
A05/03
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 89
H07/03
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
88-83
88
83
+5
79avg 89
A10/03
French Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-35
20-21
22-20
27-28
23-24
16-24
24-20
19-23
17-14
28-20
24-21
23-23
29-24
17-26
28-23
28-19
17-24
28-14
23-18
13-20
22-18
24-24
25-23
27-30
17-30
23-19
23-19
23-23
15-20
21-24
16-22
18-22
24-17
25-29
19-14
21-19
24-19
21-20
26-22
17-22
175.2Avg total
87.5Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)90.186.3176.4+3.853%
Season at home (14)96.687.4183.9+9.264%
Season away (16)84.485.4169.9-1.044%
Last 10 (10)87.587.7175.2-0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.287.2173.4-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)93.089.0182.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (12)89.690.6180.2-1.050%
vs Weaker (16)94.481.9176.2+12.581%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
94-71
94
71
+23
95avg 89
H31/01
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
98-108 OT
98
108
-10
91avg 89
A03/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
109-77
109
77
+32
113avg 89
H06/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
112avg 89
H08/02
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 89
H12/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 89
A14/02
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
88avg 89
A25/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 89
H06/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 89
H08/03
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
104-87
104
87
+17
106avg 89
A10/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
20-11
23-10
27-23
17-26
23-26
30-22
25-21
24-23
37-11
28-16
20-27
32-13
25-25
26-24
19-25
24-20
25-25
23-23
20-18
23-11
19-25
32-20
21-14
18-18
21-19
21-14
13-22
20-13
20-16
18-27
28-24
25-11
16-22
28-15
31-25
33-22
30-33
24-16
17-16
181.2Avg total
97.4Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)90.584.2174.7+6.267%
Season at home (15)90.380.5170.8+9.780%
Season away (15)90.787.9178.6+2.753%
Last 10 (10)97.483.8181.2+13.680%
Last 5 (5)95.881.8177.6+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)92.099.0191.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)96.083.3179.3+12.783%
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
MonacoOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A03/02
Euroleague
Bayern
#14
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A05/02
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#9
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A08/02
LNB
Baskonia
#18
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/02
Euroleague
Nanterre
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A15/02
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A17/02
French Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H26/02
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A05/03
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H07/03
LNB
Nanterre
#3
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/03
French Cup
87.5Avg total
42.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.442.188.5+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.343.091.3+5.379%-
Last 30 away (16)44.741.486.1+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)42.944.687.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.244.087.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)45.540.586.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (12)43.543.887.3-0.358%-
vs Weaker (16)48.641.189.7+7.681%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H31/01
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H06/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H08/02
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/02
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H06/03
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/03
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A10/03
Euroleague
87.3Avg total
47.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.539.787.2+7.883%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.638.688.2+11.193%-
Last 30 away (16)45.640.786.3+4.975%-
Last 10 (10)47.639.787.3+7.990%-
Last 5 (5)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.539.486.9+8.186%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.519.5
61.9%
60.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
78.2%16.3
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.217.3
63.6%
60.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.412.3
40.5%
35.9%36.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.1
77.1%
78.2%13.1
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WWLLWWWWLL
Olympiacos
WWWLWWWWLW
#10
League position
#1
+2.6
Net rating
+15.4
89.1
Offensive rating
90.2
86.5
Defensive rating
74.7
56.7%
Effective FG%
62.1%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.5%
3-point %
40.5%
73.9%
Assist %
87.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 90.2Defence86.5 · 74.7Shooting56.7% · 62.1%3-point %33.5% · 40.5%Ball care15.5% · 16.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Monaco   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Monaco wins
4
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Olympiacos v Monaco87-92
23/05/25Olympiacos v Monaco68-78
27/03/25Olympiacos v Monaco77-80
04/12/24Monaco v Olympiacos80-89
04/01/24Olympiacos v Monaco75-73
30/11/23Monaco v Olympiacos85-77
19/05/23Olympiacos v Monaco76-62
10/01/23Monaco v Olympiacos64-60
27/10/22Olympiacos v Monaco76-81
04/05/22Olympiacos v Monaco94-88
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26ANanterre88-83
07/03/26HCholet89-79
05/03/26AFenerbahce70-88
26/02/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-91
17/02/26ALyon-Villeurbanne98-95
15/02/26ANanterre81-76
13/02/26HBaskonia102-92
08/02/26AChalon/Saone92-78
05/02/26ABayern82-91
03/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas87-104
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AParis104-87
08/03/26HPAOK100-73
06/03/26HPanathinaikos86-80
25/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas94-99 OT
14/02/26AIraklis95-70
12/02/26HCrvena zvezda92-86
08/02/26HPromitheas102-87
06/02/26HVirtus Bologna109-77
03/02/26ADubai98-108 OT
31/01/26HPeristeri94-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL53%
HomeWLLWL64%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %53%64%44%
Points / game90.196.684.4
Allowed / game86.387.485.4
Point differential+3.8+9.2-1.0
Avg total176.4183.9169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)20% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%7%6%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWWLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%80%53%
Points / game90.590.390.7
Allowed / game84.280.587.9
Point differential+6.2+9.7+2.7
Avg total174.7170.8178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2922776%82.778.9+3.8
2 Olympiacos30201067%90.584.2+6.2
3 Valencia30201067%91.085.9+5.1
4 Real Madrid30191163%87.582.8+4.7
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv28171161%86.583.4+3.1
6 Zalgiris Kaunas30171357%89.083.8+5.1
7 Crvena zvezda30171357%87.185.5+1.7
8 Barcelona30171357%86.084.9+1.0
9 Monaco30161453%90.186.3+3.8
10 Panathinaikos30161453%85.584.3+1.1
11 Dubai29151452%88.087.6+0.4
12 Olimpia Milano30151550%85.486.2-0.8
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv29141548%89.691.7-2.2
14 Bayern30131743%80.683.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna31131842%81.584.6-3.1
16 Paris30111937%89.791.9-2.3
17 Partizan30102033%80.387.6-7.4
18 Anadolu Efes3092130%80.484.2-3.8
19 Baskonia3092130%86.892.4-5.6
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne3082227%78.986.3-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2221191981
Olympiacos1423261780
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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