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Olympiacos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 100-73
25-11 16-22 28-15 31-25
Position#1
Record18-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game78.8
Olympiacos 🏆
Greece
vs
PAOK
Greece
Position#3
Record11-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.2
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 20· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olympiacos v PAOK
13 Dec 2026
OLY v PAK
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
OLY100
PAK73
10 Feb 2025
OLY86
PAK60
27 Jan 2024
OLY77
PAK62
28 May 2023
OLY75
PAK54
13 May 2023
OLY83
PAK65
26 Mar 2023
OLY100
PAK70
14 Nov 2021
OLY86
PAK68
13 Apr 2019
OLY80
PAK59
05 May 2018
OLY96
PAK77
02 Apr 2017
OLY84
PAK59
23 Nov 2014
OLY80
PAK55
11 Nov 2013
OLY78
PAK70
14 Oct 2012
OLY89
PAK64
19 Apr 2012
OLY81
PAK53
18 Feb 2012
OLY87
PAK52
14 Jan 2012
OLY90
PAK60
09 Feb 2011
OLY89
PAK61
05 Dec 2010
OLY89
PAK82
17 Feb 2010
OLY92
PAK72
02 Nov 2008
OLY80
PAK71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
98-85
98
85
+13
106avg 89
A25/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
81avg 89
H29/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
94-71
94
71
+23
95avg 89
H31/01
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
98-108 OT
98
108
-10
91avg 89
A03/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
109-77
109
77
+32
113avg 89
H06/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
112avg 89
H08/02
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 89
H12/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
95-70
95
70
+25
92avg 89
A14/02
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
88avg 89
A25/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
86-80
86
80
+6
86avg 89
H06/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
16-30
34-17
21-22
27-13
19-24
13-27
28-11
24-27
20-11
23-10
27-23
17-26
23-26
30-22
25-21
24-23
37-11
28-16
20-27
32-13
25-25
26-24
19-25
24-20
25-25
23-23
20-18
23-11
19-25
32-20
21-14
18-18
21-19
21-14
13-22
20-13
20-16
18-27
28-24
179.3Avg total
95.5Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)97.878.8176.6+18.9100%
Season at home (9)97.383.0180.3+14.3100%
Season away (9)98.274.7172.9+23.6100%
Last 10 (10)95.583.8179.3+11.780%
Last 5 (5)93.884.4178.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)92.099.0191.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)95.483.0178.4+12.483%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
W
72-68
72
68
+4
67avg 78
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
94-101 OT
94
101
-7
81avg 78
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
73-95
73
95
-22
66avg 78
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
no box
H18/01
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
87-67
87
67
+20
81avg 78
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
W
70-67
70
67
+3
67avg 78
A24/01
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
101-67
101
67
+34
105avg 78
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
88avg 78
A07/02
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
87-88
87
88
-1
80avg 78
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#4
L
71-88
71
88
-17
57avg 78
H14/02
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
15-22
16-8
24-20
21-26
23-20
20-16
21-23
16-31
23-18
15-25
19-21
9-28
18-15
31-12
11-19
18-10
24-19
18-23
27-15
14-15
16-23
20-11
20-18
28-17
26-8
24-21
23-21
15-22
29-14
21-23
25-19
30-24
20-18
25-22
12-24
21-14
14-23
20-25
16-26
160.7Avg total
81.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.380.2162.5+2.169%
Season at home (7)82.981.0163.9+1.957%
Season away (9)81.979.6161.4+2.378%
Last 10 (10)81.479.3160.7+2.150%
Last 5 (5)83.877.6161.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)78.688.4167.0-9.80%
vs Similar (9)83.685.1168.7-1.667%
vs Weaker (15)86.175.3161.3+10.893%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
OlympiacosPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A25/01
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H29/01
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H31/01
Basket League
Dubai
#11
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A03/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H06/02
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H08/02
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/02
Euroleague
Iraklis
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A14/02
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A25/02
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H06/03
Euroleague
85.3Avg total
46.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.539.286.6+8.383%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.939.790.6+11.193%-
Last 30 away (16)44.538.783.2+5.875%-
Last 10 (10)46.139.285.3+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)45.437.082.4+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)47.049.096.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)47.538.886.3+8.786%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AS Karditsas
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A28/12
Basket League
Mykonos
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A03/01
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A13/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panathinaikos
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H18/01
Basket League
BC Prievidza
#22
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Panionios
#13
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A24/01
Basket League
Sporting CP
#24
W
54-25
54
25
+29
H04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/02
Basket League
Bilbao
#1
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Athens
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/02
Basket League
78.2Avg total
39.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.181.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.238.683.9+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.479.8-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.738.578.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.678.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.646.684.2-9.020%-
vs Similar (9)41.141.282.3-0.156%-
vs Weaker (15)43.037.980.9+5.160%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.720.2
63.7%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.9
37.5%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.3
75.7%
74.4%15.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.919.1
56.3%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.1
35.8%
34.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
74.4%13.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWWWWLWWW
PAOK
LLWWWWLLLW
#1
League position
#3
+14.3
Net rating
+5.1
95.3
Offensive rating
103.4
81.0
Defensive rating
98.3
60.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.5%
3-point %
35.8%
82.3%
Assist %
62.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 103.4Defence81.0 · 98.3Shooting60.1% · 55.1%3-point %37.5% · 35.8%Ball care15.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds- · 32.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25PAOK v Olympiacos81-92
14/02/25PAOK v Olympiacos75-94
10/02/25Olympiacos v PAOK86-60
17/11/24PAOK v Olympiacos60-90
27/01/24Olympiacos v PAOK77-62
05/11/23PAOK v Olympiacos63-77
28/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK75-54
25/05/23PAOK v Olympiacos77-97
13/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK83-65
26/03/23Olympiacos v PAOK100-70
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HPanathinaikos86-80
25/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas94-99 OT
14/02/26AIraklis95-70
12/02/26HCrvena zvezda92-86
08/02/26HPromitheas102-87
06/02/26HVirtus Bologna109-77
03/02/26ADubai98-108 OT
31/01/26HPeristeri94-71
29/01/26HBarcelona87-75
25/01/26AKolossos Rhodes98-85
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HAEK Athens71-88
11/02/26HBilbao87-88
07/02/26AKolossos Rhodes90-78
04/02/26HSporting CP101-67
24/01/26APanionios70-67
21/01/26ABC Prievidza87-67
18/01/26HPanathinaikos69-74
13/01/26ABilbao73-95
03/01/26AMykonos94-101 OT
28/12/25AAS Karditsas72-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.897.398.2
Allowed / game78.883.074.7
Point differential+18.9+14.3+23.6
Avg total176.6180.3172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%78%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL69%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%57%78%
Points / game82.382.981.9
Allowed / game80.281.079.6
Point differential+2.1+1.9+2.3
Avg total162.5163.9161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos18180100%97.878.8+18.9
2 Panathinaikos1815383%91.077.9+13.1
3 AEK Athens1814478%85.178.2+6.8
4 PAOK1611569%82.380.2+2.1
5 Aris1710759%85.382.2+3.1
6 Peristeri189950%78.280.9-2.7
7 Iraklis1771041%80.481.8-1.5
8 Mykonos1871139%77.383.9-6.6
9 Promitheas1861233%85.188.9-3.8
10 Kolossos Rhodes1851328%79.184.7-5.6
11 Panionios1851328%79.287.9-8.8
12 AS Karditsas1951426%78.585.3-6.8
13 Maroussi1941521%85.392.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos25162831100
PAOK1122152573
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