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Monferrato vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-80
14-15 18-21 24-25 23-19
Position#24
Record6-19
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Verona 🏆
Italy
Position#8
Record16-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game72.8
ItalySerie A2Round 26· PalaFerraris
Other2023-24
Meetings · Monferrato v Verona
03 Mar 2024
MONF79
VER80
16 Dec 2020
MONF93
VER87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
62avg 69
A23/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 69
H30/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
no box
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 69
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 69
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 69
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 69
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 69
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 69
A24/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
20-19
13-20
18-18
11-27
22-26
20-21
14-12
22-23
23-26
22-23
22-17
25-24
13-21
17-13
16-24
24-19
29-19
22-26
28-30
17-21
16-26
20-21
18-24
14-19
18-27
19-20
24-26
17-16
20-24
19-17
17-22
12-21
16-18
33-10
28-18
18-18
20-22
17-21
21-28
166.2Avg total
79.9Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.684.4164.0-4.824%
Season at home (12)78.079.5157.5-1.542%
Season away (13)81.189.0170.1-7.98%
Last 10 (10)79.986.3166.2-6.420%
Last 5 (5)76.883.8160.6-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.986.5166.4-6.620%
vs Similar (20)79.581.2160.7-1.835%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 69
H22/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 69
A30/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
70-49
70
49
+21
68avg 69
H07/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 69
A13/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
70-64
70
64
+6
66avg 69
H20/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
69-57
69
57
+12
68avg 69
A28/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
no box
H04/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 69
H12/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 69
A17/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 69
H25/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
32-16
17-21
21-31
23-23
25-20
20-20
17-25
25-16
16-19
9-5
20-9
12-21
22-14
21-20
13-21
20-13
17-20
16-15
17-16
18-15
21-13
19-12
11-17
23-17
11-23
16-21
16-5
17-20
23-10
11-24
17-13
26-24
24-16
6-28
25-21
21-11
13-30
21-23
20-20
146.9Avg total
74.5Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.872.8148.6+3.064%
Season at home (13)78.272.5150.7+5.677%
Season away (12)73.273.1146.2+0.150%
Last 10 (10)74.572.4146.9+2.160%
Last 5 (5)73.273.4146.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.778.7150.3-7.033%
vs Similar (17)77.475.2152.6+2.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)73.768.7142.4+5.071%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
MonferratoVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H30/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/02
Serie A2
80.8Avg total
37.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.379.3-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.740.777.4-4.029%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.880.9-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.743.180.8-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.476.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.845.483.2-7.620%-
vs Similar (20)38.139.277.3-1.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H22/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A13/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A28/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H12/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A17/02
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/02
Serie A2
75.8Avg total
40.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.675.0-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.677.2+0.044%-
Last 30 away (14)35.936.572.4-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.375.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.875.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.541.874.3-9.317%-
vs Similar (17)38.638.076.6+0.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.433.171.6+5.371%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.5
50.1%
50.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.6
32.5%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.112.4
77.0%
74.2%12.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.7
50.0%
50.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.8
33.2%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.313.8
79.8%
74.2%13.8
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monferrato
LWLLLWLLLL
Verona
LLWWWWLWLW
#24
League position
#8
-10.3
Net rating
+0.7
102.3
Offensive rating
102.3
112.7
Defensive rating
101.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
33.2%
51.3%
Assist %
55.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 102.3Defence112.7 · 101.6Shooting49.5% · 49.9%3-point %32.5% · 33.2%Ball care16.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds24.8% · 24.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Monferrato   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Monferrato wins
0
Verona wins
DateGameScore
24/01/21Verona v Monferrato64-68
16/12/20Monferrato v Verona93-87
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza76-89
18/02/24HFortitudo Bologna89-67
10/02/24ACento73-79
04/02/24AUrania Milano75-92
26/01/24HCantu71-92
21/01/24ALatina103-94
14/01/24HBasket Torino71-82
06/01/24AJuVi Cremona103-110 OT
30/12/23HTreviglio67-86
23/12/23ASebastiani Rieti71-72
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24HVigevano75-84
17/02/24ATrapani81-89
12/02/24HTreviglio68-67
04/02/24HFortitudo Bologna73-70 OT
28/01/24ANardo69-57
20/01/24HAssigeco Piacenza70-64
13/01/24AForli68-76
07/01/24HChiusi70-49
30/12/23ATrieste85-88
22/12/23HOrzinuovi86-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL24%
HomeWLLLW42%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %24%42%8%
Points / game79.678.081.1
Allowed / game84.479.589.0
Point differential-4.8-1.5-7.9
Avg total164.0157.5170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Verona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeWWWWL77%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%77%50%
Points / game75.878.273.2
Allowed / game72.872.573.1
Point differential+3.0+5.6+0.1
Avg total148.6150.7146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2422292%90.277.0+13.2
2 Forli2521484%79.772.4+7.2
3 Cantu2519676%88.580.2+8.2
4 Fortitudo Bologna2418675%76.871.8+5.0
5 Udine2417771%79.370.0+9.4
6 Basket Torino2417771%85.581.8+3.7
7 Verona2516964%75.872.8+3.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti26161062%81.378.1+3.2
9 Trieste25151060%80.078.2+1.8
10 JuVi Cremona24121250%86.486.0+0.4
11 Urania Milano26131350%82.083.3-1.2
12 Treviglio24111346%80.280.6-0.4
13 Cento24111346%74.478.3-3.9
14 Assigeco Piacenza25111444%76.875.8+1.0
15 Rimini24101442%77.376.8+0.5
16 Vigevano25101540%78.281.3-3.2
17 Nardo26101638%74.380.8-6.5
18 Cividale2491538%74.277.2-3.0
19 Luiss Roma2491538%79.085.1-6.1
20 Orzinuovi2681831%74.176.9-2.8
21 Monferrato2561924%79.684.4-4.8
22 Agrigento2662023%73.880.5-6.7
23 Chiusi2451921%65.174.2-9.0
24 Latina2341917%78.487.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monferrato1418242379
Verona1521251980
← all games of the day
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