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Montana State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 70-58
34-29 36-29
Position#238
Record8-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#345
Record6-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Montana State v Sacramento State
28 Feb 2026
MONT82
SACR61
30 Jan 2025
MONT70
SACR58
12 Mar 2024
MONT74
SACR71
24 Feb 2024
MONT63
SACR66
23 Feb 2023
MONT60
SACR56
10 Mar 2022
MONT83
SACR61
03 Mar 2022
MONT75
SACR69
06 Mar 2021
MONT73
SACR74
05 Mar 2021
MONT77
SACR75
28 Dec 2019
MONT66
SACR51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#98
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A19/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
48-82
48
82
-34
A22/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A03/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A04/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H12/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A19/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H21/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-41
27-42
25-42
23-40
25-30
39-39
32-31
31-37
39-34
43-49
17-25
41-28
31-35
36-35
28-29
52-42
29-31
45-33
30-42
40-35
140.6Avg total
68.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.870.5142.3+1.338%
Season at home (8)76.860.9137.6+15.975%
Season away (13)68.876.4145.2-7.615%
Last 10 (10)68.672.0140.6-3.430%
Last 5 (5)69.867.0136.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.079.7161.7+2.343%
vs Similar (15)70.473.1143.5-2.740%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)73.261.2134.5+12.062%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
L
45-82
45
82
-37
A18/12
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#514
W
98-47
98
47
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#620
W
78-38
78
38
+40
H30/12
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H10/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A17/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-30
25-52
50-30
48-17
35-16
43-22
25-31
31-22
26-42
41-38
15-35
39-30
23-45
30-32
36-43
28-25
33-32
42-39
34-42
47-45
133.9Avg total
67.1Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)66.967.4134.3-0.530%
Season at home (12)72.264.1136.2+8.142%
Season away (8)59.072.4131.4-13.412%
Last 10 (10)67.166.8133.9+0.340%
Last 5 (5)65.473.6139.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.372.1137.4-6.825%
vs Similar (8)65.571.0136.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (6)76.754.5131.2+22.267%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.1-3.11st half: -4.9-4.92nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +5.2+5.2
Montana StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#98
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A19/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A22/12
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A03/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
17-25
17
25
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A19/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Montana
#53
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A26/01
NCAA
64.9Avg total
30.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.767.9+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.929.866.8+7.162%-
Last 30 away (17)32.236.668.8-4.435%-
Last 10 (10)30.934.064.9-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)27.032.459.4-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.334.768.0-1.443%-
vs Similar (15)32.834.967.7-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.930.568.4+7.462%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#104
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A18/12
NCAA
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#514
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#620
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H30/12
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H10/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
15-35
15
35
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/01
NCAA
64.3Avg total
29.7Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.733.365.0-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.831.665.4+2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)29.435.264.6-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)29.734.664.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)28.239.467.6-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.135.266.4-4.131%-
vs Similar (8)28.135.163.2-7.025%-
vs Weaker (6)38.025.763.7+12.367%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25AMontana70-77
21/01/25HEast. Washington74-64
19/01/25AWeber State80-71
17/01/25AIdaho State67-70
12/01/25HNorthern Arizona58-53
10/01/25HNorthern Colorado82-83
04/01/25AEast. Washington63-68
03/01/25AIdaho64-69
22/12/24ATCU48-82
19/12/24AUC Riverside80-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HWeber State81-87
24/01/25HIdaho State75-71
19/01/25ANorthern Colorado64-68
17/01/25ANorthern Arizona53-77
11/01/25HEast. Washington54-65
10/01/25HIdaho67-80
04/01/25HPortland State56-53
30/12/24HBethesda78-38
22/12/24HCalifornia State-Stanislaus Warriors98-47
18/12/24AOregon State45-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayLLLWL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %38%75%15%
Points / game71.876.868.8
Allowed / game70.560.976.4
Point differential+1.3+15.9-7.6
Avg total142.3137.6145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)33% (3)0% (6)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWLLWL42%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %30%42%12%
Points / game66.972.259.0
Allowed / game67.464.172.4
Point differential-0.5+8.1-13.4
Avg total134.3136.2131.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado2115671%81.474.0+7.4
2 Portland State2013765%78.869.8+8.9
3 Northern Arizona2113862%78.670.5+8.0
4 Montana2113862%74.874.6+0.2
5 Idaho State1881044%74.168.3+5.7
6 Idaho2191243%74.274.5-0.2
7 Weber State2181338%74.971.8+3.0
8 Montana State2181338%71.870.5+1.3
9 Sacramento State2061430%66.967.4-0.5
10 East. Washington2161529%72.675.9-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State343670
Sacramento State292958
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