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Montana vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 68-61
32-29 36-32
Position#65
Record17-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game71.7
Montana 🏆
USA
vs
Sacramento State
USA
Position#329
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Montana v Sacramento State
26 Feb 2026
MONT81
SACR73
01 Feb 2025
MONT87
SACR59
22 Feb 2024
MONT68
SACR61
25 Feb 2023
MONT74
SACR72
05 Mar 2022
MONT71
SACR72
30 Dec 2019
MONT52
SACR50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
W
90-47
90
47
+43
H14/01
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H23/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
46-72
46
72
-26
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A28/01
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H02/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
94-66
94
66
+28
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A10/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
47-24
43-23
38-36
49-41
36-30
41-32
31-42
15-30
39-41
31-26
37-40
36-30
30-33
35-45
50-32
44-34
29-47
42-40
40-30
48-39
145.6Avg total
76.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.271.7148.9+5.565%
Season at home (13)82.767.8150.5+14.977%
Season away (13)71.875.6147.4-3.854%
Last 10 (10)76.169.5145.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)78.274.0152.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.079.0123.0-35.00%
vs Similar (13)72.575.2147.7-2.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.468.2149.6+13.186%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A20/01
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H26/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
42-37
27-31
34-39
29-40
33-30
41-39
26-31
29-24
22-34
20-37
25-24
16-33
24-35
22-30
31-28
31-32
27-41
32-27
43-53
127.2Avg total
58.7Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)65.870.5136.3-4.722%
Season at home (14)70.968.3139.2+2.636%
Season away (13)60.372.9133.2-12.68%
Last 10 (10)58.768.5127.2-9.80%
Last 5 (5)54.268.0122.2-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.474.0138.4-9.620%
vs Similar (11)61.568.9130.4-7.518%
vs Weaker (3)73.062.7135.7+10.333%
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: -5.3-5.32nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
MontanaSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H14/01
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A10/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H18/02
NCAA
73.2Avg total
37.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.170.8+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.931.671.6+8.369%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.069.9-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.573.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.473.6+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)14.041.055.0-27.00%-
vs Similar (13)33.535.869.4-2.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.732.972.6+6.857%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#132
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A19/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A20/01
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H26/01
NCAA
Montana
#65
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/01
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A04/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#279
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H17/02
NCAA
61.3Avg total
28.0Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.335.067.3-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.033.169.1+2.957%-
Last 30 away (16)29.136.765.8-7.612%-
Last 10 (10)28.033.361.3-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)24.231.856.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.036.667.6-5.633%-
vs Similar (11)29.836.165.9-6.327%-
vs Weaker (3)37.325.362.7+12.033%-
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Montana wins
3
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
28/01/24Sacramento State v Montana67-70
26/02/23Montana v Sacramento State74-72
27/01/23Sacramento State v Montana67-48
06/03/22Montana v Sacramento State71-72
03/12/21Sacramento State v Montana58-65
23/01/21Sacramento State v Montana89-83 OT
22/01/21Sacramento State v Montana66-78
01/03/20Sacramento State v Montana71-79
31/12/19Montana v Sacramento State52-50
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HMontana State88-69
10/02/24ANorthern Colorado71-87
09/02/24ANorthern Arizona94-66
04/02/24HEast. Washington65-78
02/02/24HIdaho73-70
28/01/24ASacramento State70-67
26/01/24APortland State46-72
23/01/24HWeber State77-62
21/01/24AMontana State87-77
14/01/24HNorthern Arizona90-47
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HNorthern Colorado75-80
16/02/24HNorthern Arizona58-73
11/02/24AWeber State53-58
09/02/24AIdaho State40-68
06/02/24HIdaho45-61
04/02/24APortland State51-58
28/01/24HMontana67-70
26/01/24HMontana State62-70
20/01/24ANorthern Arizona61-70
19/01/24ANorthern Colorado75-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWLW77%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%77%54%
Points / game77.282.771.8
Allowed / game71.767.875.6
Point differential+5.5+14.9-3.8
Avg total148.9150.5147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%69%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %22%36%8%
Points / game65.870.960.3
Allowed / game70.568.372.9
Point differential-4.7+2.6-12.6
Avg total136.3139.2133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)38% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State2718967%75.465.7+9.7
2 Montana2617965%77.271.7+5.5
3 East. Washington27171063%79.473.6+5.9
4 Northern Colorado27171063%80.477.2+3.2
5 Portland State27161159%72.171.4+0.7
6 Northern Arizona28131546%68.075.7-7.7
7 Montana State26111542%74.174.7-0.6
8 Idaho State27111641%69.568.9+0.6
9 Idaho27101737%68.871.0-2.1
10 Sacramento State2762122%65.870.5-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana323668
Sacramento State293261
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