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Montana vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 87-59
38-26 49-33
Position#53
Record14-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.7
Montana 🏆
USA
vs
Position#345
Record6-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Montana v Sacramento State
26 Feb 2026
MONT81
SACR73
01 Feb 2025
MONT87
SACR59
22 Feb 2024
MONT68
SACR61
25 Feb 2023
MONT74
SACR72
05 Mar 2022
MONT71
SACR72
30 Dec 2019
MONT52
SACR50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#45
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A21/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A03/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A04/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
57-81
57
81
-24
H11/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A17/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
41-35
40-40
52-41
29-32
44-39
46-41
35-35
26-43
31-38
29-32
34-27
44-36
18-50
37-31
35-36
42-30
35-40
44-33
48-45
147.6Avg total
73.6Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.574.7150.3+0.864%
Season at home (12)80.068.2148.2+11.892%
Season away (10)70.282.6152.8-12.430%
Last 10 (10)73.674.0147.6-0.470%
Last 5 (5)73.272.0145.2+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.384.2154.5-13.817%
vs Similar (10)71.677.9149.5-6.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.268.0147.2+11.291%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#514
W
98-47
98
47
+51
H22/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#620
W
78-38
78
38
+40
H30/12
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H10/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A17/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H25/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-30
48-17
35-16
43-22
25-31
31-22
26-42
41-38
15-35
39-30
23-45
30-32
36-43
28-25
33-32
42-39
34-42
47-45
29-34
29-36
134.0Avg total
68.4Scored
65.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.567.5134.0-1.029%
Season at home (12)72.264.1136.2+8.142%
Season away (9)58.972.1131.0-13.211%
Last 10 (10)68.465.6134.0+2.840%
Last 5 (5)66.274.6140.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.672.9138.5-7.225%
vs Similar (8)65.571.0136.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (6)76.754.5131.2+22.267%
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +7.2+7.2
MontanaSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#45
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A03/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H11/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H21/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Portland State
#129
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H31/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
36.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.070.9+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.830.969.7+7.889%-
Last 30 away (12)34.138.772.8-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)36.335.471.7+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.471.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.040.274.2-6.217%-
vs Similar (10)36.436.572.9-0.160%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)37.829.367.1+8.582%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California State-Stanislaus Warriors
#514
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#620
W
35-16
35
16
+19
H30/12
NCAA
Portland State
#129
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H10/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#325
L
15-35
15
35
-20
H11/01
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A19/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Weber State
#317
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H25/01
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A31/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.6Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.465.4-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.831.665.4+2.144%-
Last 30 away (14)29.935.565.4-5.629%-
Last 10 (10)30.635.065.6-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.039.270.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.635.567.1-3.931%-
vs Similar (8)28.135.163.2-7.025%-
vs Weaker (6)38.025.763.7+12.367%-
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Montana wins
3
Sacramento State wins
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25HPortland State92-78
26/01/25HMontana State77-70
21/01/25HIdaho72-67
19/01/25AIdaho State62-86
17/01/25AWeber State63-59
11/01/25HNorthern Colorado57-81
10/01/25HNorthern Arizona81-76
04/01/25AIdaho73-71
03/01/25AEast. Washington92-81
21/12/24ASan Francisco67-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25AMontana State58-70
25/01/25HWeber State81-87
24/01/25HIdaho State75-71
19/01/25ANorthern Colorado64-68
17/01/25ANorthern Arizona53-77
11/01/25HEast. Washington54-65
10/01/25HIdaho67-80
04/01/25HPortland State56-53
30/12/24HBethesda78-38
22/12/24HCalifornia State-Stanislaus Warriors98-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWLWWW92%
AwayLWWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%92%30%
Points / game75.580.070.2
Allowed / game74.768.282.6
Point differential+0.8+11.8-12.4
Avg total150.3148.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLLWL42%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %29%42%11%
Points / game66.572.258.9
Allowed / game67.564.172.1
Point differential-1.0+8.1-13.2
Avg total134.0136.2131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado2216673%81.673.7+7.9
2 Montana2214864%75.574.7+0.8
3 Portland State2113862%78.770.9+7.8
4 Northern Arizona2213959%78.171.3+6.9
5 Idaho State20101050%74.968.5+6.3
6 Idaho23101343%74.475.0-0.6
7 Montana State2291341%71.769.9+1.8
8 Weber State2381535%73.772.3+1.4
9 East. Washington2371630%72.574.8-2.3
10 Sacramento State2161529%66.567.5-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana384987
Sacramento State263359
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