PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Montana vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 81-73
0-0 42-32 0-0 39-41
Position#186
Record14-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game74.0
Montana 🏆
USA
vs
Position#324
Record9-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game83.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Montana v Sacramento State
26 Feb 2026
MONT81
SACR73
01 Feb 2025
MONT87
SACR59
22 Feb 2024
MONT68
SACR61
25 Feb 2023
MONT74
SACR72
05 Mar 2022
MONT71
SACR72
30 Dec 2019
MONT52
SACR50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontanaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H15/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
50-36
0-0
48-36
0-0
36-43
0-0
45-22
0-0
35-30
0-0
34-30
0-0
33-28
0-0
31-32
0-0
32-49
0-0
47-37
0-0
36-34
0-0
38-48
0-0
19-29
0-0
54-39
0-0
37-38
0-0
34-44
0-0
37-39
0-0
32-34
0-0
32-45
0-0
40-47
149.0Avg total
75.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.874.0151.8+3.950%
Season at home (15)80.168.9149.1+11.260%
Season away (13)75.279.8154.9-4.638%
Last 10 (10)75.074.0149.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)71.879.4151.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.885.8158.6-13.020%
vs Similar (15)75.577.7153.2-2.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.168.3152.4+15.971%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
104-90
104
90
+14
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-53
0-0
38-33
0-0
33-38
0-0
34-37
0-0
45-38
0-0
38-42
0-0
49-32
0-0
37-47
0-0
53-32
0-0
51-58
0-0
31-32
0-0
42-42
0-0
37-51
0-0
42-44
0-0
25-38
0-0
49-41
0-0
39-57
0-0
55-45
0-0
40-42
0-0
40-44
166.2Avg total
81.6Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.583.2162.7-3.733%
Season at home (13)86.978.8165.7+8.269%
Season away (14)72.687.3159.9-14.70%
Last 10 (10)81.684.6166.2-3.030%
Last 5 (5)80.087.2167.2-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.485.2160.6-9.919%
vs Similar (6)77.780.7158.3-3.033%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
MontanaSacramento State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#335
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A20/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Portland State
#87
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A01/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H07/02
NCAA
Montana State
#144
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/02
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A22/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
34.7Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.269.7+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.930.366.1+5.647%-
Last 30 away (15)35.238.173.3-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)34.737.171.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.069.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.440.072.4-7.620%-
vs Similar (15)33.634.768.3-1.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.333.473.7+6.957%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#136
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A23/01
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H01/02
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/02
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A15/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#261
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H20/02
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H22/02
NCAA
80.3Avg total
39.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.740.777.4-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.538.377.8+1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)34.242.877.0-8.612%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.380.3-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.444.078.4-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.341.879.0-4.524%-
vs Similar (6)31.741.573.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Montana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Montana wins
4
Sacramento State wins
Montanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AWeber State72-92
20/02/26AIdaho State69-73
15/02/26HMontana State71-82
07/02/26HIdaho73-68
06/02/26HEast. Washington74-82
01/02/26ASacramento State79-86
30/01/26APortland State64-60
24/01/26HIdaho State69-60
23/01/26HWeber State81-65
20/01/26ANorthern Arizona98-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HIdaho80-86
20/02/26HEast. Washington94-102
15/02/26ANorthern Arizona74-79
13/02/26ANorthern Colorado79-95
08/02/26HPortland State73-74
03/02/26HWeber State104-90
01/02/26HMontana86-79
30/01/26HMontana State83-80
24/01/26AEast. Washington67-75
23/01/26AIdaho76-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game77.880.175.2
Allowed / game74.068.979.8
Point differential+3.9+11.2-4.6
Avg total151.8149.1154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLLL69%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%69%0%
Points / game79.586.972.6
Allowed / game83.278.887.3
Point differential-3.7+8.2-14.7
Avg total162.7165.7159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State2618869%76.869.5+7.3
2 Northern Colorado28181064%82.876.7+6.1
3 Montana State28151354%77.871.9+5.9
4 Idaho28151354%79.274.0+5.2
5 Weber State29151452%81.977.0+4.9
6 Montana28141450%77.874.0+3.9
7 Idaho State29121741%74.875.8-0.9
8 East. Washington28111739%77.679.7-2.1
9 Northern Arizona28101836%72.876.1-3.3
10 Sacramento State2791833%79.583.2-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montana04203981
Sacramento State03204173
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.