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Montenegro vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 76-106
20-24 23-22 12-33 21-27
Position#19
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Montenegro
vs
Germany 🏆
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Nokia Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Montenegro v Germany
27 Aug 2025
MONT76
GERM106
20 Feb 2025
MONT76
GERM95
22 Feb 2021
MONT82
GERM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Mexico
#26
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
61-85
61
85
-24
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
81avg 74
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
84avg 74
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
57avg 74
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
66avg 74
A23/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
29-20
20-19
23-13
27-17
24-20
19-19
19-18
27-26
13-22
10-18
21-25
19-14
17-16
14-12
23-27
10-28
20-19
20-11
11-27
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
20-16
24-11
21-25
20-10
22-21
19-27
25-19
24-19
17-26
21-24
13-25
25-20
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
160.3Avg total
81.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.478.9160.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)85.879.8165.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.679.9150.4-9.329%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (14)82.572.1154.6+10.479%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
62-67
62
67
-5
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
72-73
72
73
-1
57avg 79
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
80-61
80
61
+19
78avg 79
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
95-76
95
76
+19
99avg 79
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
88avg 79
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
60avg 79
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 79
H16/08
DBB Supercup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
23-18
26-25
19-20
23-26
24-21
22-10
14-20
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
19-7
8-21
18-11
17-28
18-26
19-11
19-18
16-18
23-19
18-12
19-17
20-13
26-17
24-21
25-13
20-25
28-21
34-14
13-22
19-28
17-25
11-10
21-16
24-20
15-18
17-20
23-32
26-21
154.7Avg total
80.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.674.1154.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)84.676.8161.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.585.0167.5-2.550%
vs Similar (7)89.784.6174.3+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.073.8162.8+15.279%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
MontenegroGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico
#26
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A25/08
World Cup
Egypt
#27
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H27/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H29/08
World Cup
Greece
#25
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/09
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A22/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
80.6Avg total
41.1Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.075.5+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.036.176.1+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)37.237.875.0-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.580.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.042.775.7-9.729%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (14)41.033.674.6+7.479%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A25/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A20/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H16/08
DBB Supercup
76.0Avg total
40.7Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.280.8+6.370%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.936.580.3+7.470%-
Last 30 away (10)43.038.781.7+4.370%-
Last 10 (10)40.735.376.0+5.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.478.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.040.880.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.534.278.6+10.384%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.3
54.0%
52.4%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.3%
33.4%22.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.3
74.8%
73.1%18.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.617.3
54.7%
52.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.3
32.0%
33.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.217.2
77.5%
73.1%17.2
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
LLWWWLWLWW
Germany
LWWWWLLWWW
#19
League position
#1
+1.4
Net rating
+14.7
111.9
Offensive rating
115.4
110.5
Defensive rating
100.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.4%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
44.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.3%
3-point %
32.0%
45.2%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 115.4Defence110.5 · 100.8Shooting52.5% · 51.2%3-point %33.3% · 32.0%Ball care17.5% · 17.4%Off. rebounds32.3% · 44.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Montenegro   ■ Germany
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Montenegro wins
3
Germany wins
DateGameScore
20/02/25Montenegro v Germany76-95
22/02/24Germany v Montenegro85-61
10/09/22Germany v Montenegro85-79
22/02/21Montenegro v Germany82-75
27/11/20Germany v Montenegro74-80
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT
20/02/25HGermany76-95
25/11/24ABulgaria90-86
22/11/24HBulgaria85-62
25/02/24HSweden95-70
22/02/24AGermany61-85
03/09/23AGreece73-69
29/08/23HLithuania71-91
27/08/23HEgypt89-74
25/08/23AMexico91-71
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25HSerbia81-91
15/08/25HTurkey73-71
23/02/25HBulgaria94-85
20/02/25AMontenegro95-76
25/11/24HSweden80-61
22/11/24ASweden72-73
25/02/24ABulgaria62-67
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61
10/09/23HSerbia83-77
06/09/23HLatvia81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Germany
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lithuania110100%94.070.0+24.0
2 Portugal110100%62.050.0+12.0
3 Czech Republic1010%50.062.0-12.0
4 Great Britain1010%70.094.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro2023122176
Germany24223327106
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