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Montenegro vs Portugal Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 62-83
21-14 11-25 11-25 19-19
Position#51
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#37
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Gedvilas G.
Other2027
Meetings · Montenegro v Portugal
27 Nov 2025
MONT62
PORT83
29 Nov 2021
MONT83
PORT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
W
95-70
95
70
+25
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
85-62
85
62
+23
no box
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
57avg 71
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
66avg 71
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
76-106
76
106
-30
71avg 71
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
66avg 71
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 71
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 71
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
83-89
83
89
-6
83avg 71
H03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
23-13
25-20
20-13
20-16
24-11
21-25
20-10
22-21
19-27
25-19
24-19
17-26
21-24
13-25
25-20
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
20-24
23-22
12-33
21-27
15-26
13-21
17-19
22-28
23-23
14-24
15-20
13-18
18-15
22-19
24-31
23-16
26-25
16-23
21-20
20-21
166.1Avg total
80.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.785.4166.1-4.740%
Last 5 (5)75.691.0166.6-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)72.285.2157.4-13.030%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (11)82.874.2157.0+8.664%
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 57
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
42avg 57
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 57
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 57
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 57
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 57
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 57
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
45avg 57
A06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
27-14
15-24
18-26
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
21-23
7-27
15-15
19-13
14-14
13-18
20-13
21-20
12-17
20-14
19-21
7-33
145.7Avg total
67.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)67.578.2145.7-10.730%
Last 5 (5)62.280.6142.8-18.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)64.078.2142.2-14.225%
vs Similar (6)80.380.2160.5+0.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)77.968.4146.3+9.575%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
MontenegroPortugal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H25/02
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#13
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A25/11
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
81.2Avg total
39.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.676.9-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.979.1+1.247%-
Last 30 away (15)36.538.374.8-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.681.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.044.482.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.143.577.6-9.430%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (11)41.734.676.4+7.173%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
73.3Avg total
34.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.375.6+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.337.676.9+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.337.174.4+0.256%-
Last 10 (10)34.139.273.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.441.470.8-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)32.537.570.0-5.042%-
vs Similar (6)41.741.383.0+0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.235.277.4+7.175%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
-16.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.7
43.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.3
25.3%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
-11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
LWLLLLLWWW
Portugal
LWLLLWLLLW
#51
League position
#37
-6.0
Net rating
-15.3
106.5
Offensive rating
89.8
112.5
Defensive rating
105.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
41.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.3%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.9%
3-point %
25.3%
58.5%
Assist %
67.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Montenegro   ■ Portugal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Montenegro wins
0
Portugal wins
DateGameScore
04/07/22Portugal v Montenegro62-77
29/11/21Montenegro v Portugal83-69
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/25HGreat Britain83-89
01/09/25ASweden87-81
30/08/25HFinland65-85
29/08/25ALithuania67-94
27/08/25HGermany76-106
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT
20/02/25HGermany76-95
25/11/24ABulgaria90-86
22/11/24HBulgaria85-62
25/02/24HSweden95-70
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/25AGermany58-85
03/09/25AEstonia68-65
01/09/25HLatvia62-78
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
24/02/25HUkraine60-88
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
22/11/24HSlovenia82-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Portugal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
2 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
3 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
4 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
6 South Sudan110100%79.055.0+24.0
7 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
8 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
9 Cape Verde110100%82.077.0+5.0
10 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
11 Switzerland108280%75.962.3+13.6
12 Ukraine43175%78.871.8+7.0
13 Netherlands43175%78.271.8+6.5
14 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
15 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
16 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
17 Hungary42250%80.270.5+9.8
18 Denmark42250%78.880.0-1.2
19 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
20 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
21 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
22 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
23 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
24 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
25 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
26 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
27 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
28 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
29 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
30 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
31 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
32 Cameroon1010%77.082.0-5.0
33 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
34 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
35 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
36 Libya1010%55.079.0-24.0
37 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 37 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro2111111962
Portugal1425251983
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