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Montenegro vs Romania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 65-64
17-14 11-15 27-21 10-14
Position#51
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#34
Record8-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· Moraca Sports Center
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Romania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Germany
#1
L
76-106
76
106
-30
71avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
66avg 73
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 73
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 73
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
83-89
83
89
-6
83avg 73
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
62-83
62
83
-21
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
23-22
12-33
21-27
15-26
13-21
17-19
22-28
23-23
14-24
15-20
13-18
18-15
22-19
24-31
23-16
26-25
16-23
21-20
20-21
21-14
11-25
11-25
19-19
26-17
23-17
16-22
15-19
19-17
21-21
15-14
12-13
18-22
17-22
18-13
12-22
23-13
13-8
13-20
23-27
154.9Avg total
72.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.274.0143.2-4.860%
Season at home (2)63.581.0144.5-17.50%
Season away (3)73.069.3142.3+3.7100%
Last 10 (10)72.482.5154.9-10.140%
Last 5 (5)69.274.0143.2-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.382.4153.6-11.136%
vs Similar (8)76.674.0150.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (8)82.874.6157.4+8.162%
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRomania
Date
Competition
Norway
#75
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
101-96
101
96
+5
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
18-20
22-15
22-14
17-18
14-14
24-25
25-15
13-21
19-11
22-16
22-16
26-19
19-15
14-15
20-17
18-19
20-21
5-26
23-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
20-23
17-26
17-23
22-16
19-15
12-25
34-29
15-21
21-24
27-22
23-31
26-20
25-23
16-18
19-20
16-20
22-8
157.2Avg total
78.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.877.5155.3+0.462%
Season at home (7)80.174.1154.3+6.071%
Season away (6)75.281.3156.5-6.250%
Last 10 (10)78.179.1157.2-1.060%
Last 5 (5)79.086.4165.4-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.683.4149.0-17.80%
vs Similar (10)71.880.0151.8-8.230%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)78.769.9148.7+8.887%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
MontenegroRomania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/02
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/03
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A02/07
World Cup
78.0Avg total
38.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.977.3-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.040.780.7-0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)37.037.474.4-0.462%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.435.273.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.741.477.1-5.736%-
vs Similar (8)39.237.977.1+1.450%-
vs Weaker (8)42.235.677.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Romania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#75
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H02/03
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/07
World Cup
80.0Avg total
38.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.977.2-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.139.175.2-2.920%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.779.2-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.980.0-3.810%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.886.6-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.645.878.4-13.220%-
vs Similar (10)34.940.375.2-5.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.537.778.1+2.860%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
-16.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.2
49.4%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
-12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
WLWWLLWLLL
Romania
WWLLLLWWWW
#51
League position
#34
-6.0
Net rating
-6.7
106.5
Offensive rating
94.2
112.5
Defensive rating
100.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
19.9%
Turnover %
21.2%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
28.8%
58.5%
Assist %
76.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Montenegro   ■ Romania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Montenegro wins
0
Romania wins
DateGameScore
30/11/25Romania v Montenegro75-80
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26APortugal72-68
02/03/26HGreece65-79
27/02/26AGreece67-65
30/11/25ARomania80-75
27/11/25HPortugal62-83
03/09/25HGreat Britain83-89
01/09/25ASweden87-81
30/08/25HFinland65-85
29/08/25ALithuania67-94
27/08/25HGermany76-106
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HGreece73-66
02/03/26HPortugal101-96
27/02/26APortugal82-99
30/11/25HMontenegro75-80
27/11/25AGreece64-91
16/08/25AHungary66-86
13/08/25HNorth Macedonia79-66
06/08/25HHungary76-64
02/08/25ANorth Macedonia80-72
23/02/25HNorway85-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%0%100%
Points / game69.263.573.0
Allowed / game74.081.069.3
Point differential-4.8-17.5+3.7
Avg total143.2144.5142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Romania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game77.880.175.2
Allowed / game77.574.181.3
Point differential+0.4+6.0-6.2
Avg total155.3154.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
8 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
9 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
12 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
13 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
14 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
15 Mali65183%80.774.3+6.3
16 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
17 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
18 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
19 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
20 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
21 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
22 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
23 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
24 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
25 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
26 Angola64267%84.772.5+12.2
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
29 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
30 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
31 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
32 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
33 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
34 Estonia53260%87.281.6+5.6
35 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
36 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
37 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
38 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
39 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
40 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
46 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
47 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
50 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
51 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
52 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
53 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
54 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
55 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
56 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
57 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
58 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
59 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
60 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
61 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
62 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
63 Czech Republic52340%82.688.8-6.2
64 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
65 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
66 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
67 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
68 D.R. Congo62433%66.382.5-16.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
87 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro1711271065
Romania1415211464
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