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Portugal vs Romania Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-82
25-12 29-34 21-15 24-21
Position#37
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#34
Record6-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 3
Other2027
Meetings · Portugal v Romania
27 Feb 2026
PORT99
ROMA82
13 Nov 2022
PORT92
ROMA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Romania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
no box
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 58
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 58
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 58
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 58
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
68-65
68
65
+3
61avg 58
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
45avg 58
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
83-62
83
62
+21
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
21-23
7-27
15-15
19-13
14-14
13-18
20-13
21-20
12-17
20-14
19-21
7-33
14-21
25-11
25-11
19-19
17-24
19-13
13-19
19-20
142.5Avg total
66.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.569.0144.5+6.550%
Season at home (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Season away (1)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)66.276.3142.5-10.130%
Last 5 (5)67.873.2141.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.080.2143.2-17.218%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.679.6158.1-1.029%
vs Weaker (12)77.869.2147.1+8.675%
This opponent (Romania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRomania
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#70
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
no box
H22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
A21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
64-91
64
91
-27
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
19-10
16-11
12-29
26-20
17-18
12-12
20-12
23-12
23-19
19-18
19-29
23-22
18-20
22-15
22-14
17-18
14-14
24-25
25-15
13-21
19-11
22-16
22-16
26-19
19-15
14-15
20-17
18-19
20-21
5-26
23-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
20-23
17-26
17-23
22-16
19-15
150.2Avg total
75.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.674.6150.2+1.060%
Season at home (5)77.471.4148.8+6.060%
Season away (5)73.877.8151.6-4.060%
Last 10 (10)75.674.6150.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.077.4149.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.386.3153.6-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.978.4146.2-10.512%
vs Weaker (15)78.769.9148.7+8.887%
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
PortugalRomania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A06/09
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#51
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A27/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H30/11
World Cup
71.1Avg total
31.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.176.1-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.138.677.7+0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)36.937.774.6-0.856%-
Last 10 (10)31.839.371.1-7.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.468.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.938.870.7-6.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.940.781.6+0.129%-
vs Weaker (12)41.836.077.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Romania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#70
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/11
World Cup
74.8Avg total
37.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.176.5-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.239.874.0-5.620%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.579.0-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.837.074.8+0.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.075.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.347.378.6-16.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.138.571.6-5.40%-
vs Weaker (15)40.537.778.1+2.860%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 66.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.216.7
43.7%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.87.3
25.3%
-21.9
🏀 Free throws16.111.0
68.3%
-11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.2
49.4%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
-12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
LWLWLLLWLL
Romania
LLLWWWWWWL
#37
League position
#34
-15.3
Net rating
-6.7
89.8
Offensive rating
94.2
105.1
Defensive rating
100.9
41.3%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
19.3%
Turnover %
21.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
25.3%
3-point %
28.8%
67.9%
Assist %
76.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Portugal   ■ Romania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Portugal wins
0
Romania wins
DateGameScore
13/11/22Portugal v Romania92-62
25/08/22Romania v Portugal59-75
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HGreece68-76
27/11/25AMontenegro83-62
06/09/25AGermany58-85
03/09/25AEstonia68-65
01/09/25HLatvia62-78
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
24/02/25HUkraine60-88
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HMontenegro75-80
27/11/25AGreece64-91
16/08/25AHungary66-86
13/08/25HNorth Macedonia79-66
06/08/25HHungary76-64
02/08/25ANorth Macedonia80-72
23/02/25HNorway85-71
24/11/24ALuxembourg84-78
21/11/24ANorway75-62
22/02/24HLuxembourg72-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game75.568.083.0
Allowed / game69.076.062.0
Point differential+6.5-8.0+21.0
Avg total144.5144.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Romania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game75.677.473.8
Allowed / game74.671.477.8
Point differential+1.0+6.0-4.0
Avg total150.2148.8151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
3 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
4 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
6 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
7 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
8 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
9 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
10 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
11 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
12 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
13 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
14 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
15 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
16 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
17 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
18 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
19 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
20 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
21 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
22 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
23 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
24 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
25 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
28 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
29 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
30 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
31 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
32 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
33 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
36 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
37 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
38 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
39 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
40 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
43 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
44 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
45 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
46 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
47 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
48 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
49 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
50 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
55 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
56 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
57 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
58 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
59 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
60 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
61 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
62 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
63 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
64 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
65 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
66 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
67 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
68 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
69 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
70 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
71 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
72 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
73 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
74 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
75 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
76 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
77 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
78 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
79 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
80 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
81 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
82 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
83 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
84 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
85 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
86 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
87 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal2529212499
Romania1234152182
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