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Montenegro vs Greece Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-79
18-22 17-22 18-13 12-22
Position#51
Record2-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Greece 🏆
Position#39
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game66.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Moraca Sports Center
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontenegro
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
no box
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
76-106
76
106
-30
71avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
66avg 73
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 73
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 73
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
83-89
83
89
-6
83avg 73
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
62-83
62
83
-21
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
80-75
80
75
+5
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
67-65
67
65
+2
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
21-24
13-25
25-20
14-20
19-12
18-21
21-19
20-24
23-22
12-33
21-27
15-26
13-21
17-19
22-28
23-23
14-24
15-20
13-18
18-15
22-19
24-31
23-16
26-25
16-23
21-20
20-21
21-14
11-25
11-25
19-19
26-17
23-17
16-22
15-19
19-17
21-21
15-14
12-13
160.5Avg total
74.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)69.774.3144.0-4.767%
Season at home (1)62.083.0145.0-21.00%
Season away (2)73.570.0143.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.685.9160.5-11.330%
Last 5 (5)75.878.6154.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.883.8155.6-12.133%
vs Similar (9)76.275.8152.0+0.456%
vs Weaker (9)83.374.0157.3+9.367%
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 76
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 76
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 76
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 76
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 76
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 76
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 76
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
26-12
19-17
23-15
23-20
24-17
13-19
19-13
20-19
17-19
21-21
14-15
13-12
158.0Avg total
82.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.366.3143.7+11.067%
Season at home (2)78.065.5143.5+12.550%
Season away (1)76.068.0144.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.475.6158.0+6.870%
Last 5 (5)78.476.4154.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.083.2155.2-11.233%
vs Similar (12)83.075.0158.0+8.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.872.7155.5+10.283%
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.4+0.4
MontenegroGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontenegroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H20/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A29/08
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/02
World Cup
79.7Avg total
38.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.977.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.479.9+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)37.038.575.5-1.556%-
Last 10 (10)38.241.579.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.842.978.7-7.233%-
vs Similar (9)38.938.076.9+0.944%-
vs Weaker (9)42.134.676.7+7.678%-
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/02
World Cup
80.2Avg total
42.7Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.176.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.037.574.5-0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)42.436.679.1+5.871%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.580.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.677.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.872.5-7.217%-
vs Similar (12)41.736.878.4+4.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.836.176.9+4.858%-
This opponent (Montenegro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
-39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.0
33.9%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
-16.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro
WWLLWLLLLL
Greece
LWWWLWWWLW
#51
League position
#39
-6.0
Net rating
+11.6
106.5
Offensive rating
111.6
112.5
Defensive rating
100.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.9%
3-point %
37.2%
58.5%
Assist %
65.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Montenegro   ■ Greece
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Montenegro wins
1
Greece wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Greece v Montenegro65-67
03/09/23Greece v Montenegro69-73
01/09/19Greece v Montenegro85-60
Montenegrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26AGreece67-65
30/11/25ARomania80-75
27/11/25HPortugal62-83
03/09/25HGreat Britain83-89
01/09/25ASweden87-81
30/08/25HFinland65-85
29/08/25ALithuania67-94
27/08/25HGermany76-106
23/02/25ASweden83-86 OT
20/02/25HGermany76-95
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HMontenegro65-67
30/11/25APortugal76-68
27/11/25HRomania91-64
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game69.762.073.5
Allowed / game74.383.070.0
Point differential-4.7-21.0+3.5
Avg total144.0145.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game77.378.076.0
Allowed / game66.365.568.0
Point differential+11.0+12.5+8.0
Avg total143.7143.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
5 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
6 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
7 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
8 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
14 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
15 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
16 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
17 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
18 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
19 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
20 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
21 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
26 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
29 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
30 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
31 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
32 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
33 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
36 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
37 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
38 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
39 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
40 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
41 Romania127558%78.278.4-0.2
42 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
43 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
44 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
45 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
46 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
47 Lithuania42250%88.584.5+4.0
48 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
49 Georgia42250%79.578.2+1.2
50 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
51 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
52 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
55 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
56 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
57 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
58 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
63 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
64 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
65 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
66 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
67 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
75 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
76 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
77 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
81 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
88 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
89 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montenegro1817181265
Greece2222132279
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