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Greece vs Romania Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 91-64
26-12 19-17 23-15 23-20
Position#39
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Greece 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record6-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game71.9
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Castillo L.
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Romania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 75
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 75
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 75
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 75
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 75
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 75
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 75
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 75
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 75
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 75
H14/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
22-12
14-20
20-13
19-21
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
28-22
22-19
17-18
17-20
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
157.1Avg total
82.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.674.5157.1+8.180%
Last 5 (5)84.284.8169.0-0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.083.2155.2-11.233%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.677.8161.4+5.875%
vs Weaker (12)85.273.5158.7+11.792%
This opponent (Romania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRomania
Date
Competition
Albania
#39
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
H29/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
58-83
58
83
-25
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
no box
H22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
A21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
A24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A16/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-23
26-16
20-16
16-8
13-19
18-19
16-23
11-22
20-17
19-10
16-11
12-29
26-20
17-18
12-12
20-12
23-12
23-19
19-18
19-29
23-22
18-20
22-15
22-14
17-18
14-14
24-25
25-15
13-21
19-11
22-16
22-16
26-19
19-15
14-15
20-17
18-19
20-21
5-26
23-20
146.8Avg total
74.7Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.171.9149.0+5.275%
Season at home (4)78.069.2147.2+8.875%
Season away (4)76.274.5150.8+1.875%
Last 10 (10)74.772.1146.8+2.670%
Last 5 (5)77.271.8149.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.087.2151.2-23.20%
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.578.4145.9-10.912%
vs Weaker (14)79.069.2148.2+9.893%
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
GreeceRomania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
77.6Avg total
42.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.477.5+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.138.175.1-1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)43.336.779.9+6.673%-
Last 10 (10)42.035.677.6+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.739.872.5-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.637.279.8+5.475%-
vs Weaker (12)41.536.377.8+5.267%-
This opponent (Romania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albania
#39
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H29/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/08
EuroBasket
Luxembourg
#70
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/02
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A24/11
World Cup
Norway
#75
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A02/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/08
World Cup
73.5Avg total
38.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.840.075.8-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.539.573.1-6.020%-
Last 30 away (15)38.040.578.5-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.373.5+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.047.077.0-17.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.538.571.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (14)40.936.977.8+4.164%-
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.2
49.4%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
-12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
WLWWWLWWWW
Romania
LWWWWWWLLW
#39
League position
#34
+11.6
Net rating
-6.7
111.6
Offensive rating
94.2
100.0
Defensive rating
100.9
55.9%
Effective FG%
46.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
18.7%
Turnover %
21.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.2%
3-point %
28.8%
65.6%
Assist %
76.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Greece   ■ Romania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Greece wins
0
Romania wins
No previous meetings.
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
07/09/25HIsrael84-79
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
28/08/25HItaly75-66
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25AHungary66-86
13/08/25HNorth Macedonia79-66
06/08/25HHungary76-64
02/08/25ANorth Macedonia80-72
23/02/25HNorway85-71
24/11/24ALuxembourg84-78
21/11/24ANorway75-62
22/02/24HLuxembourg72-76 OT
02/08/23ASlovakia58-83
29/07/23HAlbania72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Romania
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL75%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game77.178.076.2
Allowed / game71.969.274.5
Point differential+5.2+8.8+1.8
Avg total149.0147.2150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
4 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
5 South Sudan110100%79.055.0+24.0
6 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
7 Cape Verde110100%82.077.0+5.0
8 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
9 Switzerland108280%75.962.3+13.6
10 Ukraine43175%78.871.8+7.0
11 Netherlands43175%78.271.8+6.5
12 Romania86275%77.171.9+5.2
13 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
14 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
15 Hungary42250%80.270.5+9.8
16 Denmark42250%78.880.0-1.2
17 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
18 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
19 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
20 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
21 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
22 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
23 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
24 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
25 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
26 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
27 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
28 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
29 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
30 Cameroon1010%77.082.0-5.0
31 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
32 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
33 Libya1010%55.079.0-24.0
34 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 34 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece2619232391
Romania1217152064
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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