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Morehead State vs Southern Indiana Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:45
Scheduled
Position#237
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#299
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Morehead State v Southern Indiana
13 Jan 2027
MORE v SOUT
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MORE64
SOUT63
28 Jan 2025
MORE66
SOUT65
20 Feb 2024
MORE73
SOUT80
05 Jan 2023
MORE84
SOUT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Indiana win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
67-93
67
93
-26
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#97
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
114-60
114
60
+54
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#157
L
57-107
57
107
-50
A07/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
44-42
43-27
38-32
29-29
35-34
37-24
39-46
29-36
37-25
34-55
33-38
28-38
30-45
58-24
56-36
33-46
24-61
32-28
47-47
147.6Avg total
73.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.081.2158.2-4.250%
Season at home (2)96.567.5164.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)57.595.0152.5-37.50%
Last 10 (10)73.574.1147.6-0.670%
Last 5 (5)75.083.6158.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.281.1153.2-8.942%
vs Similar (9)69.672.2141.8-2.767%
vs Weaker (8)78.565.9144.4+12.688%
This opponent (Southern Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IndianaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#51
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H14/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A20/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A21/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A28/02
NCAA
Belmont
#119
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A03/11
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#534
W
112-42
112
42
+70
H05/11
NCAA
Evansville
#230
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A08/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
34-44
32-35
42-47
30-29
47-41
36-20
34-48
29-29
34-35
31-51
39-38
14-27
40-45
58-17
54-25
35-30
34-39
31-30
39-44
144.9Avg total
73.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.066.5144.5+11.525%
Season at home (1)112.042.0154.0+70.0100%
Season away (3)66.774.7141.3-8.00%
Last 10 (10)73.771.2144.9+2.530%
Last 5 (5)76.471.0147.4+5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)64.173.4137.5-9.26%
vs Similar (9)66.273.7139.9-7.422%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)83.070.7153.7+12.367%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.9-0.9
Morehead StateSouthern Indiana
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#97
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
58-24
58
24
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#157
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H15/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
35.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.069.5+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.531.870.3+6.757%-
Last 30 away (16)32.935.968.9-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.568.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.638.071.6-4.433%-
vs Similar (9)32.733.766.3-1.044%-
vs Weaker (8)38.528.967.4+9.662%-
This opponent (Southern Indiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern IndianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#51
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
36-20
36
20
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A28/02
NCAA
Belmont
#119
L
14-27
14
27
-13
A03/11
NCAA
SMWC Pomeroys
#534
W
58-17
58
17
+41
H05/11
NCAA
Evansville
#230
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A11/11
NCAA
63.0Avg total
33.3Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.665.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.830.066.8+6.867%-
Last 30 away (18)30.934.465.3-3.439%-
Last 10 (10)33.329.763.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.831.064.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.434.466.8-1.938%-
vs Similar (9)29.032.861.8-3.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)38.730.068.7+8.7100%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Morehead State wins
1
Southern Indiana wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HIU Indy79-75
07/11/26ALouisville57-107
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg114-60
03/11/26AWestern Kentucky58-83
08/03/26ATennessee State67-93
07/03/26HSoutheast Missouri State66-61
27/02/26AUALR76-70
25/02/26HSouthern Indiana64-63
21/02/26AWestern Illinois81-59
20/02/26AEastern Illinois73-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AIU Indy70-74
08/11/26AEvansville76-78 OT
05/11/26HSMWC Pomeroys112-42
03/11/26ABelmont54-72
28/02/26AUALR70-89
25/02/26AMorehead State63-64
21/02/26AEastern Illinois70-68
20/02/26AWestern Illinois77-70
14/02/26HTennessee Tech74-82
13/02/26HTennessee State71-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.096.557.5
Allowed / game81.267.595.0
Point differential-4.2+29.0-37.5
Avg total158.2164.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Indiana
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game78.0112.066.7
Allowed / game66.542.074.7
Point differential+11.5+70.0-8.0
Avg total144.5154.0141.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
2 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
3 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
4 Tennessee Tech42250%92.090.0+2.0
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois41325%69.080.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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