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Tennessee State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 93-67
0-0 55-34 0-0 38-33
Position#51
Record22-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game73.5
Tennessee State 🏆
USA
vs
Morehead State
USA
Position#112
Record20-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tennessee State v Morehead State
16 Jan 2027
TENN v MORE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TENN93
MORE67
15 Jan 2026
TENN105
MORE100
27 Feb 2025
TENN64
MORE55
01 Feb 2024
TENN49
MORE68
29 Dec 2022
TENN75
MORE83
15 Jan 2022
TENN64
MORE71
11 Feb 2021
TENN66
MORE79
04 Mar 2020
TENN74
MORE67
16 Jan 2020
TENN64
MORE48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
67-42
67
42
+25
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-46
0-0
54-44
0-0
33-30
0-0
44-38
0-0
43-27
0-0
40-29
0-0
29-37
0-0
44-34
0-0
41-37
0-0
45-57
0-0
42-42
0-0
47-38
0-0
40-26
0-0
40-27
0-0
33-38
0-0
46-33
0-0
35-21
0-0
32-21
0-0
36-28
0-0
32-27
146.7Avg total
78.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.173.5153.7+6.671%
Season at home (14)85.971.2157.1+14.786%
Season away (17)75.475.5150.8-0.159%
Last 10 (10)78.768.0146.7+10.780%
Last 5 (5)76.660.2136.8+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)77.274.5151.7+2.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.974.2155.2+6.778%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#162
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-36
0-0
39-43
0-0
29-43
0-0
41-39
0-0
23-22
0-0
38-33
0-0
34-22
0-0
39-44
0-0
37-41
0-0
57-45
0-0
29-28
0-0
44-42
0-0
43-27
0-0
38-32
0-0
29-29
0-0
35-34
0-0
37-24
0-0
39-46
0-0
29-36
0-0
37-25
142.7Avg total
73.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.574.2149.7+1.462%
Season at home (14)80.668.8149.4+11.886%
Season away (18)71.678.3149.9-6.744%
Last 10 (10)73.669.1142.7+4.580%
Last 5 (5)72.064.6136.6+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.181.4154.5-8.336%
vs Similar (9)69.672.2141.8-2.767%
vs Weaker (9)79.866.4146.2+13.389%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.6+7.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +7.6+7.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
Tennessee StateMorehead State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H21/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A27/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/03
NCAA
69.5Avg total
36.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.672.2+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.835.474.2+3.562%-
Last 30 away (17)35.035.770.7-0.741%-
Last 10 (10)36.333.269.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)37.231.068.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)35.736.472.1-0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)37.335.072.3+2.361%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#162
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H13/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/03
NCAA
63.7Avg total
32.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.770.4+1.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.232.271.4+6.954%-
Last 30 away (17)33.136.569.6-3.435%-
Last 10 (10)32.930.863.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)33.428.862.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.539.172.6-5.527%-
vs Similar (9)32.733.766.3-1.044%-
vs Weaker (9)38.730.869.4+7.956%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee State wins
8
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Morehead State v Tennessee State94-86
16/01/26Tennessee State v Morehead State105-100 OT
28/02/25Tennessee State v Morehead State64-55
21/12/24Morehead State v Tennessee State74-68
02/02/24Tennessee State v Morehead State49-68
06/01/24Morehead State v Tennessee State78-68
17/02/23Morehead State v Tennessee State74-64
30/12/22Tennessee State v Morehead State75-83
25/01/22Morehead State v Tennessee State67-54
15/01/22Tennessee State v Morehead State64-71
Tennessee Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HUT Martin68-55
28/02/26AUT Martin67-42
27/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State79-71
21/02/26HSiu Edwardsville80-53
20/02/26HLindenwood89-80
14/02/26AMorehead State86-94
13/02/26ASouthern Indiana73-71
07/02/26HWestern Illinois83-56
06/02/26HEastern Illinois77-68
03/02/26HTennessee Tech85-90
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HSoutheast Missouri State66-61
27/02/26AUALR76-70
25/02/26HSouthern Indiana64-63
21/02/26AWestern Illinois81-59
20/02/26AEastern Illinois73-70
14/02/26HTennessee State94-86
13/02/26HTennessee Tech73-66
07/02/26AUT Martin61-55
06/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State70-82
31/01/26HLindenwood78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %71%86%59%
Points / game80.185.975.4
Allowed / game73.571.275.5
Point differential+6.6+14.7-0.1
Avg total153.7157.1150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %62%86%44%
Points / game75.580.671.6
Allowed / game74.268.878.3
Point differential+1.4+11.8-6.7
Avg total149.7149.4149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%21%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (14)88% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State3122971%80.173.5+6.6
2 UT Martin33221167%69.863.2+6.6
3 Morehead State32201262%75.574.2+1.4
4 Southeast Missouri State33201361%74.570.6+3.9
5 Siu Edwardsville32191359%71.064.7+6.3
6 Lindenwood33181555%77.872.7+5.1
7 Tennessee Tech31131842%73.374.5-1.2
8 Eastern Illinois33132039%67.170.3-3.2
9 UALR32122038%70.574.1-3.6
10 Southern Indiana3072323%68.773.7-5.0
11 Western Illinois3152616%64.976.8-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tennessee State05503893
Morehead State03403367
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