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Morehead State vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 94-86
37-41 57-45
Position#112
Record14-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.5
Morehead State 🏆
USA
vs
Tennessee State
USA
Position#51
Record17-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morehead State v Tennessee State
14 Feb 2026
MORE94
TENN86
21 Dec 2024
MORE74
TENN68
06 Jan 2024
MORE78
TENN68
16 Feb 2023
MORE74
TENN64
24 Jan 2022
MORE67
TENN54
25 Feb 2021
MORE74
TENN60
22 Feb 2020
MORE66
TENN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H10/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
A16/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A17/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
41-31
36-46
50-40
38-29
38-41
39-32
32-34
35-35
38-33
27-33
40-32
39-36
39-43
29-43
41-39
23-22
38-33
34-22
39-44
146.5Avg total
74.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.575.5151.0-0.054%
Season at home (11)82.268.5150.6+13.782%
Season away (15)70.680.7151.3-10.133%
Last 10 (10)74.072.5146.5+1.570%
Last 5 (5)69.869.4139.2+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.776.7145.3-8.033%
vs Similar (10)67.974.0141.9-6.140%
vs Weaker (7)83.770.0153.7+13.786%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H17/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A24/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
85-90
85
90
-5
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
37-32
46-36
40-50
38-33
35-34
34-34
32-40
43-39
53-47
30-35
40-28
31-46
54-44
33-30
44-38
43-27
40-29
29-37
44-34
154.7Avg total
79.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.675.4156.0+5.268%
Season at home (11)87.873.5161.4+14.382%
Season away (14)74.976.9151.8-1.957%
Last 10 (10)79.874.9154.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)77.669.6147.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)76.583.0159.5-6.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.770.4150.0+9.382%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: +4.3+4.3
Morehead StateTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H10/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A16/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H23/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H30/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
23-22
23
22
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H13/02
NCAA
66.6Avg total
33.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.568.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.231.670.8+7.767%-
Last 30 away (18)31.236.467.6-5.328%-
Last 10 (10)33.033.666.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.261.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.536.568.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (10)32.232.664.8-0.450%-
vs Weaker (7)38.734.473.1+4.343%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H16/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A23/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A24/01
NCAA
UALR
#295
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H03/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
36.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.771.0+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.132.470.5+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)34.936.671.5-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.971.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.068.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)34.240.574.8-6.212%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.132.569.7+4.668%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Morehead State wins
2
Tennessee State wins
DateGameScore
16/01/26Tennessee State v Morehead State105-100 OT
28/02/25Tennessee State v Morehead State64-55
21/12/24Morehead State v Tennessee State74-68
02/02/24Tennessee State v Morehead State49-68
06/01/24Morehead State v Tennessee State78-68
17/02/23Morehead State v Tennessee State74-64
30/12/22Tennessee State v Morehead State75-83
25/01/22Morehead State v Tennessee State67-54
15/01/22Tennessee State v Morehead State64-71
26/02/21Morehead State v Tennessee State74-60
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HTennessee Tech73-66
07/02/26AUT Martin61-55
06/02/26ASoutheast Missouri State70-82
31/01/26HLindenwood78-79
30/01/26HSiu Edwardsville67-65
24/01/26HEastern Illinois73-68
23/01/26HWestern Illinois71-66
17/01/26ATennessee Tech76-70
16/01/26ATennessee State100-105 OT
10/01/26HSoutheast Missouri State71-69
Tennessee Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26ASouthern Indiana73-71
07/02/26HWestern Illinois83-56
06/02/26HEastern Illinois77-68
03/02/26HTennessee Tech85-90
30/01/26HUALR70-63
24/01/26ALindenwood96-86
23/01/26ASiu Edwardsville66-74
17/01/26HSouthern Indiana73-67
16/01/26HMorehead State105-100 OT
10/01/26AEastern Illinois70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW54%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayWLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %54%82%33%
Points / game75.582.270.6
Allowed / game75.568.580.7
Point differential-0.0+13.7-10.1
Avg total151.0150.6151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%13%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %68%82%57%
Points / game80.687.874.9
Allowed / game75.473.576.9
Point differential+5.2+14.3-1.9
Avg total156.0161.4151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin2619773%72.263.0+9.2
2 Tennessee State2517868%80.675.4+5.2
3 Siu Edwardsville2617965%72.164.3+7.8
4 Lindenwood26161062%79.772.8+6.8
5 Southeast Missouri State26151158%75.871.8+4.0
6 Morehead State26141254%75.575.5-0.0
7 Tennessee Tech26101638%74.475.8-1.5
8 Eastern Illinois26101638%66.870.2-3.4
9 UALR26101638%70.574.7-4.2
10 Southern Indiana2552020%68.373.5-5.2
11 Western Illinois2752219%65.476.5-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State375794
Tennessee State414586
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