PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Morehead State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 62-76
34-39 28-37
Position#232
Record14-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game68.6
vs
UALR 🏆
USA
Position#145
Record15-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Morehead State v UALR
16 Dec 2025
MORE78
UALR64
08 Feb 2025
MORE62
UALR76
26 Jan 2023
MORE76
UALR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
55-74
55
74
-19
A04/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
26-34
26-20
33-33
27-26
40-30
21-26
30-21
40-38
42-27
37-26
36-40
33-30
21-35
35-26
31-39
26-34
38-38
22-38
29-42
126.5Avg total
62.2Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)67.768.6136.3-1.058%
Season at home (12)71.664.7136.2+6.975%
Season away (12)63.872.6136.3-8.842%
Last 10 (10)62.264.3126.5-2.160%
Last 5 (5)61.669.6131.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)63.573.3136.8-9.842%
vs Similar (9)65.966.7132.6-0.867%
vs Weaker (8)77.462.4139.8+15.088%
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#232
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H12/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
78-46
78
46
+32
A25/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
75-57
75
57
+18
H01/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
20-26
33-33
28-28
50-30
37-29
36-42
34-35
43-36
35-26
27-25
42-29
36-17
23-21
31-35
31-31
39-41
35-36
40-21
37-24
37-32
129.1Avg total
69.4Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)68.965.5134.4+3.462%
Season at home (11)69.561.1130.5+8.464%
Season away (13)68.569.2137.7-0.862%
Last 10 (10)69.459.7129.1+9.770%
Last 5 (5)70.257.4127.6+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.478.8137.2-20.420%
vs Similar (11)73.665.4139.0+8.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)71.458.7130.1+12.883%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.8-0.81st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +6.0+6.0
Morehead StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/01
NCAA
UALR
#145
W
26-20
26
20
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
21-26
21
26
-5
H17/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H07/02
NCAA
60.0Avg total
29.6Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.031.363.3+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.228.760.9+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)31.833.965.7-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)29.630.460.0-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)30.630.861.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.733.863.5-4.242%-
vs Similar (9)32.131.663.7+0.656%-
vs Weaker (8)33.827.961.6+5.988%-
This opponent (UALR) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#232
L
20-26
20
26
-6
H09/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H12/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#94
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A15/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#229
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A25/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
23-21
23
21
+2
H27/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A07/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
32.2Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.863.5+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.128.562.5+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)31.433.164.5-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)32.228.560.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.628.261.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.635.463.0-7.820%-
vs Similar (11)33.732.065.7+1.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)32.827.059.8+5.867%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Morehead State wins
2
UALR wins
DateGameScore
09/01/25UALR v Morehead State53-59
10/03/24UALR v Morehead State55-69
16/02/24UALR v Morehead State69-68
10/02/23UALR v Morehead State72-68
27/01/23Morehead State v UALR76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HSoutheast Missouri State51-80
31/01/25HTennessee Tech64-72
29/01/25HSouthern Indiana66-65
25/01/25ASiu Edwardsville54-65
24/01/25AEastern Illinois73-66
18/01/25HLindenwood82-65
17/01/25HWestern Illinois51-47
11/01/25ASoutheast Missouri State67-56
09/01/25AUALR59-53
04/01/25ATennessee Tech55-74
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25ASouthern Indiana74-56
01/02/25HUT Martin75-57
31/01/25HTennessee State70-72
27/01/25HEastern Illinois54-56
25/01/25ALindenwood78-46
24/01/25AWestern Illinois62-51
18/01/25ATennessee Tech77-71
15/01/25ASoutheast Missouri State73-71
12/01/25HSouthern Indiana78-58
09/01/25HMorehead State53-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL58%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game67.771.663.8
Allowed / game68.664.772.6
Point differential-1.0+6.9-8.8
Avg total136.3136.2136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
UALR
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWLLW64%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%64%62%
Points / game68.969.568.5
Allowed / game65.561.169.2
Point differential+3.4+8.4-0.8
Avg total134.4130.5137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%45%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville2517868%72.565.0+7.5
2 UALR2415962%68.965.5+3.4
3 Southeast Missouri State24141058%74.868.0+6.8
4 Morehead State24141058%67.768.6-1.0
5 Tennessee Tech24121250%72.874.5-1.7
6 Tennessee State24111346%80.075.3+4.7
7 Lindenwood24111346%70.169.7+0.4
8 Southern Indiana2391439%72.372.7-0.5
9 UT Martin2491538%75.572.3+3.2
10 Western Illinois2481633%66.970.4-3.5
11 Eastern Illinois2481633%67.471.2-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State342862
UALR393776
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.