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Tennessee State vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 75-83
33-40 42-43
Position#151
Record8-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#82
Record7-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Tennessee State v Morehead State
16 Jan 2027
TENN v MORE
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TENN93
MORE67
15 Jan 2026
TENN105
MORE100
27 Feb 2025
TENN64
MORE55
01 Feb 2024
TENN49
MORE68
29 Dec 2022
TENN75
MORE83
15 Jan 2022
TENN64
MORE71
11 Feb 2021
TENN66
MORE79
04 Mar 2020
TENN74
MORE67
16 Jan 2020
TENN64
MORE48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A18/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H21/11
NCAA
High Point
#244
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H23/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
63-80
63
80
-17
A01/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A03/12
NCAA
Boyce
#656
W
103-49
103
49
+54
H07/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H11/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H15/12
NCAA
Bryan
#421
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H17/12
NCAA
Brescia
#536
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
17-21
40-41
34-32
37-38
35-39
26-36
37-44
36-30
25-47
46-16
57-33
33-40
57-45
42-50
45-41
53-37
46-41
55-50
43-33
154.1Avg total
79.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.274.0154.2+6.262%
Season at home (10)87.574.8162.3+12.780%
Season away (3)56.071.3127.3-15.30%
Last 10 (10)79.175.0154.1+4.150%
Last 5 (5)95.477.2172.6+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.677.2138.8-15.60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.070.3142.3+1.760%
vs Weaker (14)75.267.8143.0+7.464%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#157
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A16/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
43-76
43
76
-33
A19/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
114-49
114
49
+65
H23/11
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
59-83
59
83
-24
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
109-62
109
62
+47
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H03/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H11/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A15/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
52-79
52
79
-27
A17/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#585
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
29-38
13-38
30-38
49-26
65-23
31-37
28-46
58-34
51-28
41-25
34-56
27-36
34-21
34-20
40-51
25-41
27-38
36-25
30-25
139.3Avg total
71.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.168.0139.1+3.154%
Season at home (7)83.758.9142.6+24.986%
Season away (6)56.378.7135.0-22.317%
Last 10 (10)71.068.3139.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)65.667.6133.2-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.272.0133.2-10.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)59.870.0129.8-10.240%
vs Weaker (16)79.261.4140.6+17.888%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +0.4+0.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.1+2.11st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +0.4+0.4
Tennessee StateMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A18/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H21/11
NCAA
High Point
#244
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H23/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/12
NCAA
Boyce
#656
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H07/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H15/12
NCAA
Bryan
#421
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H17/12
NCAA
Brescia
#536
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H20/12
NCAA
76.9Avg total
39.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.434.770.1+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.935.674.4+3.350%-
Last 30 away (12)30.233.463.7-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.476.9+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.684.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.839.670.4-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.334.668.9-0.340%-
vs Weaker (14)36.632.969.5+3.850%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Virginia
#157
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#127
L
13-38
13
38
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H30/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H03/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H11/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A15/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A17/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#585
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H21/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
34.2Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.529.964.4+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.828.166.9+10.787%-
Last 30 away (15)30.231.761.9-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)34.231.966.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.629.462.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.232.062.2-1.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.031.461.4-1.450%-
vs Weaker (16)38.428.566.9+9.975%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tennessee State wins
5
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HBrescia98-83
17/12/22HBryan99-78
15/12/22HCharleston Southern87-91
11/12/22HLipscomb90-85
07/12/22HBoyce103-49
03/12/22AAustin Peay61-77
01/12/22ASt. Louis Billikens63-80
23/11/22HHigh Point72-77
21/11/22HCS Northridge74-73
18/11/22ASouthern Illinois44-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HAlice Loyd66-50
17/12/22AMercer52-79
15/12/22AGeorgia Southern74-71
11/12/22HEast Tennessee St61-57
03/12/22HNorth Alabama75-81
30/11/22HKentucky Christian109-62
27/11/22AMarshall59-83
23/11/22HKentucky State114-49
19/11/22AVanderbilt43-76
16/11/22AWest Virginia57-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tennessee State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %62%80%0%
Points / game80.287.556.0
Allowed / game74.074.871.3
Point differential+6.2+12.7-15.3
Avg total154.2162.3127.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW54%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%86%17%
Points / game71.183.756.3
Allowed / game68.058.978.7
Point differential+3.1+24.9-22.3
Avg total139.1142.6135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville1410471%75.468.1+7.4
2 Tennessee State138562%80.274.0+6.2
3 Western Illinois138562%76.771.2+5.5
4 UT Martin148657%84.174.6+9.5
5 Southern Indiana148657%76.871.4+5.4
6 Morehead State137654%71.168.0+3.1
7 Eastern Illinois145936%67.967.9-0.1
8 Southeast Missouri State145936%71.872.4-0.6
9 Lindenwood145936%68.871.6-2.9
10 UALR145936%73.778.4-4.7
11 Tennessee Tech1441029%70.973.0-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Tennessee State334275
Morehead State404383
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