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Morehead State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 78-64
46-29 32-35
Position#112
Record3-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#295
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game79.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morehead State v UALR
16 Dec 2025
MORE78
UALR64
08 Feb 2025
MORE62
UALR76
26 Jan 2023
MORE76
UALR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Midway
#519
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
81-120
81
120
-39
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A12/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
121-51
121
51
+70
H16/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A29/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
52-84
52
84
-32
A03/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
57-40
31-44
34-37
42-64
39-56
20-39
36-44
60-26
61-25
31-38
31-39
38-44
45-36
30-33
50-52
28-33
24-51
42-39
30-41
158.6Avg total
76.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.182.5158.6-6.430%
Season at home (2)105.067.5172.5+37.5100%
Season away (8)68.986.2155.1-17.412%
Last 10 (10)76.182.5158.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)69.881.2151.0-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)60.772.8133.5-12.127%
vs Similar (14)64.670.5135.1-5.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.472.6166.0+20.880%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas Baptist
#405
W
92-63
92
63
+29
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
49-89
49
89
-40
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A16/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A19/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A30/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
47-85
47
85
-38
A04/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H07/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
58-90
58
90
-32
A10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-42
55-21
38-41
34-51
29-46
20-43
37-35
31-27
23-43
45-46
26-28
30-37
33-29
32-45
19-53
28-32
39-46
39-44
23-47
35-43
145.2Avg total
65.3Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.379.9145.2-14.620%
Season at home (2)85.076.5161.5+8.550%
Season away (8)60.480.8141.1-20.412%
Last 10 (10)65.379.9145.2-14.620%
Last 5 (5)60.880.8141.6-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)61.077.7138.7-16.711%
vs Similar (10)73.775.6149.3-1.940%
vs Weaker (11)70.962.1133.0+8.873%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -10.6-10.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -10.6-10.62nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -4.0-4.0
Morehead StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Midway
#519
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
42-64
42
64
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A12/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H16/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/12
NCAA
75.8Avg total
35.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.164.0-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.432.364.6+0.145%-
Last 30 away (19)30.133.663.7-3.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.440.475.8-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.471.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.334.462.6-6.136%-
vs Similar (14)30.431.561.9-1.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)38.234.873.0+3.440%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas Baptist
#405
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H05/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A16/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A19/11
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A30/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#83
L
19-53
19
53
-34
A04/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H07/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A10/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
30.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.735.767.4-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (12)32.234.666.8-2.317%-
Last 30 away (18)31.336.567.8-5.239%-
Last 10 (10)30.441.071.4-10.620%-
Last 5 (5)28.040.668.6-12.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)27.237.464.7-10.222%-
vs Similar (10)35.238.173.3-2.930%-
vs Weaker (11)32.232.264.4+0.036%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Morehead State wins
3
UALR wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25Morehead State v UALR62-76
09/01/25UALR v Morehead State53-59
10/03/24UALR v Morehead State55-69
16/02/24UALR v Morehead State69-68
10/02/23UALR v Morehead State72-68
27/01/23Morehead State v UALR76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25APresbyterian72-80
03/12/25AMurray State52-84
29/11/25AIU Indy80-85
23/11/25ALouisiana Monroe83-80
22/11/25AEast Tennessee St62-77
16/11/25HKentucky Christian121-51
12/11/25AClemson56-83
09/11/25AGeorgia81-120
08/11/25AWake Forest65-81
04/11/25HMidway89-84
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25AWest Virginia58-90
07/12/25HArkansas State78-90
04/12/25ACentral Arkansas47-85
30/11/25ASouthern Illinois65-74
22/11/25ATexas State56-65
19/11/25AMurray State68-89
16/11/25ABall State68-62
13/11/25AMarquette49-89
11/11/25AWisc. Milwaukee72-92
05/11/25HArkansas Baptist92-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %30%100%12%
Points / game76.1105.068.9
Allowed / game82.567.586.2
Point differential-6.4+37.5-17.4
Avg total158.6172.5155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1028
Win %20%50%12%
Points / game65.385.060.4
Allowed / game79.976.580.8
Point differential-14.6+8.5-20.4
Avg total145.2161.5141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin118373%75.965.5+10.5
2 Siu Edwardsville117464%78.366.1+12.2
3 Lindenwood106460%81.473.1+8.3
4 Tennessee State106460%79.575.1+4.4
5 Tennessee Tech115645%80.877.9+2.9
6 Southeast Missouri State115645%78.575.6+2.8
7 Western Illinois114736%68.274.5-6.3
8 Southern Indiana103730%73.777.7-4.0
9 Morehead State103730%76.182.5-6.4
10 UALR102820%65.379.9-14.6
11 Eastern Illinois102820%60.976.8-15.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State463278
UALR293564
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