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Morgan State vs Mercyhurst Lakers Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#83
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Position#317
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Morgan State v Mercyhurst Lakers
05 Dec 2026
MORG v MERC
upcoming
06 Nov 2024
MORG73
MERC78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morgan State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
59-84
59
84
-25
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
90-84
90
84
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
70-75 OT
70
75
-5
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#433
W
103-52
103
52
+51
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
95-58
95
58
+37
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A07/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
W
63-61 OT
63
61
+2
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-40
48-43
22-30
37-54
45-29
45-55
34-32
36-34
15-27
45-33
50-25
53-27
47-26
48-32
42-34
31-33
39-42
31-43
30-35
27-22
149.8Avg total
78.3Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.864.6145.4+16.280%
Season at home (2)99.055.0154.0+44.0100%
Season away (3)68.771.0139.7-2.367%
Last 10 (10)78.371.5149.8+6.870%
Last 5 (5)80.864.6145.4+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.585.1154.6-15.638%
vs Similar (7)64.779.6144.3-14.914%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.968.1152.0+15.787%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#146
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
89-50
89
50
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-38
30-34
48-46
30-30
32-32
35-28
35-33
23-19
33-32
40-42
30-37
14-36
29-42
23-38
33-45
44-25
45-25
29-33
28-39
139.4Avg total
68.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.270.8132.0-9.525%
Season at home (1)89.050.0139.0+39.0100%
Season away (3)52.077.7129.7-25.70%
Last 10 (10)68.570.9139.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)63.072.4135.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.077.7129.7-25.70%
vs Similar (16)67.867.6135.4+0.250%
vs Weaker (10)74.968.6143.5+6.360%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -1.0-1.0
Morgan StateMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#336
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
15-27
15
27
-12
H11/03
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#433
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H05/11
NCAA
Niagara
#383
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A07/11
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#261
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#335
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A14/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.371.4-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.731.769.3+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)32.541.073.5-8.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.068.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.474.0+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.139.670.8-8.512%-
vs Similar (7)28.640.769.3-12.114%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.232.572.7+7.773%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#146
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A12/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
31.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.163.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.663.8+8.579%-
Last 30 away (16)28.934.162.9-5.219%-
Last 10 (10)31.333.064.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.864.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)22.035.757.7-13.70%-
vs Similar (16)30.631.662.2-1.138%-
vs Weaker (10)36.929.466.3+7.570%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morgan State wins
2
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ALoyola Maryland63-61 OT
12/11/26AUMBC Retrievers70-85
07/11/26ANiagara73-67
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg95-58
03/11/26HCheyney Wolves103-52
11/03/26HDelaware State70-75 OT
06/03/26HCoppin State70-66
02/03/26HNorfolk State90-84
28/02/26HHoward59-84
25/02/26ASouth Carolina St90-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26APenn State57-72
07/11/26HPenn State-Shenango89-50
06/11/26ANotre Dame56-83
03/11/26AMarquette43-78
10/03/26ALIU Sharks70-79
07/03/26HStonehill56-51
05/03/26HFairleigh Dickinson70-61
28/02/26AStonehill75-72 OT
27/02/26ACentral Connecticut State78-80
21/02/26HLIU Sharks91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morgan State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game80.899.068.7
Allowed / game64.655.071.0
Point differential+16.2+44.0-2.3
Avg total145.4154.0139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game61.289.052.0
Allowed / game70.850.077.7
Point differential-9.5+39.0-25.7
Avg total132.0139.0129.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State54180%80.864.6+16.2
2 South Carolina St43175%78.272.8+5.5
3 Howard53260%72.070.6+1.4
4 Norfolk State42250%69.872.8-3.0
5 Delaware State41325%68.068.2-0.2
6 Coppin State51420%62.467.6-5.2
7 Md.-East. Shore51420%58.670.0-11.4
8 N. Carolina Central4040%63.574.2-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State53260%66.876.6-9.8
2 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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