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Morphou vs AEL Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 24 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.0
Morphou
Cyprus
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.8/10
Below normal
AEL
Cyprus
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.0
CyprusDivision ARound 12· Lefkotheo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Morphou v AEL
24 Dec 2026
MORP v AEL
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
MORP75
AEL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morphou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEL win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 59
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
51avg 59
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 59
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 59
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
68avg 59
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
23avg 59
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 59
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 59
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
49-71
49
71
-22
35avg 59
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
no box
H08/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
26-16
17-20
18-30
17-24
20-23
18-17
14-11
24-21
27-21
22-24
20-25
12-32
19-15
20-23
22-26
21-24
16-19
17-24
19-22
17-19
14-9
17-22
17-26
22-24
21-19
18-35
21-13
24-20
16-20
23-22
13-12
11-20
15-22
13-19
10-10
10-29
18-25
33-21
17-28
159.1Avg total
73.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Season at home (2)77.088.5165.5-11.550%
Season away (3)65.379.3144.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)73.385.8159.1-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)74.888.3163.1-13.513%
vs Similar (6)74.875.0149.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)92.588.5181.0+4.0100%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
60-92
60
92
-32
45avg 73
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
79-61
79
61
+18
79avg 73
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
69avg 73
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 73
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
76-58
76
58
+18
74avg 73
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
74-70
74
70
+4
72avg 73
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
71-49
71
49
+22
68avg 73
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-30
11-20
13-20
22-9
19-15
18-21
20-16
25-19
17-24
17-14
14-23
20-22
22-22
24-20
23-13
20-11
14-17
20-14
22-16
23-14
18-10
21-24
12-22
20-11
22-15
19-13
10-10
23-16
16-16
19-21
16-14
24-19
19-22
23-16
16-17
16-22
27-28
21-14
17-19
147.0Avg total
75.9Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.0147.8+7.880%
Season at home (2)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)76.374.7151.0+1.767%
Last 10 (10)75.971.1147.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)76.468.6145.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.684.0154.6-13.422%
vs Similar (9)87.379.9167.2+7.489%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.169.8149.8+10.383%
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
MorphouAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H08/11
Division A
79.2Avg total
36.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)36.143.579.6-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.542.579.1-6.027%-
Last 30 away (12)35.744.380.0-8.78%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.879.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.642.878.4-7.220%-
vs Similar (6)33.042.875.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keravnos
#2
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A02/05
Division A
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A06/10
ENBL
Apoel BC
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A12/10
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H17/10
Division A
Fyllingen
#16
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H21/10
ENBL
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A26/10
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H30/10
Division A
Tal Tech
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H03/11
ENBL
Anorthosis
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/11
Division A
Donar Groningen
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
ENBL
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.277.0+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.535.577.0+5.985%-
Last 30 away (17)38.538.577.0-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.676.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.940.676.4-4.744%-
vs Similar (9)41.838.780.4+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.233.774.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.8
47.1%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.4
28.4%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
72.9%11.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.3
54.6%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.5
28.8%
34.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws21.815.4
70.6%
72.9%15.4
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Morphou
LLWLLLLWLL
AEL
LWWWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#3
-6.8
Net rating
+2.4
85.6
Offensive rating
92.1
92.4
Defensive rating
89.7
45.2%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
28.4%
3-point %
28.8%
65.5%
Assist %
62.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 92.1Defence92.4 · 89.7Shooting45.2% · 50.3%3-point %28.4% · 28.8%Ball care14.9% · 14.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Morphou   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morphou wins
3
AEL wins
DateGameScore
30/10/26AEL v Morphou71-49
24/01/26Morphou v AEL75-92
09/11/25AEL v Morphou90-86
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-103
30/10/26AAEL49-71
25/10/26HAnorthosis76-74
18/10/26AKeravnos82-91
09/10/26AETHA Engomi65-76
07/03/26AParalimni73-89
14/02/26AKeravnos73-96
08/02/26HETHA Engomi93-91
02/02/26AApoel BC69-75
24/01/26HAEL75-92
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ADonar Groningen81-83
07/11/26AAnorthosis82-74
03/11/26HTal Tech74-67
30/10/26HMorphou71-49
26/10/26AETHA Engomi74-70
21/10/26HFyllingen76-58
17/10/26HParalimni89-77
12/10/26AApoel BC73-80
06/10/26ASpartak Pleven79-61
02/05/26AKeravnos60-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morphou
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game70.077.065.3
Allowed / game83.088.579.3
Point differential-13.0-11.5-14.0
Avg total153.0165.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEL
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game77.880.076.3
Allowed / game70.063.074.7
Point differential+7.8+17.0+1.7
Avg total147.8143.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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