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Morphou vs AEL Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-92
14-26 26-16 17-20 18-30
Position#8
Record5-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game84.2
Morphou
Cyprus
vs
AEL 🏆
Cyprus
Position#3
Record8-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game81.0
CyprusDivision ARound 14· Lefkotheo
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morphou v AEL
24 Dec 2026
MORP v AEL
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
MORP75
AEL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morphou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEL winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
L
73-101
73
101
-28
62avg 69
A26/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
68avg 69
H01/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
77avg 69
A09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
69avg 69
H15/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
92-86
92
86
+6
80avg 69
A20/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
82-99
82
99
-17
70avg 69
H08/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
54avg 69
H21/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 69
A04/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
64avg 69
H10/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A17/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
20-24
17-27
21-21
15-25
11-17
23-23
22-17
16-26
24-22
21-22
25-20
18-28
12-16
33-20
11-12
22-32
25-27
24-13
21-14
17-21
30-23
14-28
21-27
17-23
23-22
10-20
20-20
14-16
18-21
24-9
15-19
17-18
20-16
24-30
19-22
20-26
14-17
26-23
12-25
163.2Avg total
77.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.784.2162.8-5.538%
Season at home (7)77.984.6162.4-6.729%
Season away (6)79.783.7163.3-4.050%
Last 10 (10)77.186.1163.2-9.020%
Last 5 (5)75.085.2160.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.790.4169.1-11.714%
vs Similar (5)76.075.0151.0+1.060%
vs Weaker (1)92.086.0178.0+6.0100%
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAEL
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
77-96
77
96
-19
63avg 72
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
88-79
88
79
+9
83avg 72
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
77avg 72
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
66avg 72
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 72
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 72
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
62-87
62
87
-25
54avg 72
H19/12
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
63-65
63
65
-2
48avg 72
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
103-89
103
89
+14
106avg 72
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
105-83
105
83
+22
no box
H17/01
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
25-26
14-22
19-17
18-21
31-18
22-23
17-17
26-16
22-24
22-21
20-25
13-21
33-19
20-16
13-21
12-15
20-12
21-22
25-23
21-26
25-14
22-18
16-24
12-20
18-21
14-25
18-21
22-13
14-17
11-20
16-15
28-14
17-20
34-21
24-34
22-23
27-15
28-18
28-27
164.5Avg total
82.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.481.0162.4+0.462%
Season at home (7)82.183.3165.4-1.157%
Season away (6)80.578.3158.8+2.267%
Last 10 (10)82.981.6164.5+1.370%
Last 5 (5)83.481.2164.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.583.3157.8-8.718%
vs Similar (5)84.681.2165.8+3.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.973.6160.5+13.293%
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
MorphouAEL
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A26/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H01/11
Division A
AEL
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A09/11
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H15/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A20/11
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H08/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H21/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A04/01
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H10/01
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A17/01
Division A
81.7Avg total
36.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)35.844.079.8-8.215%-
Last 30 at home (7)34.741.476.1-6.729%-
Last 30 away (6)37.247.084.2-9.80%-
Last 10 (10)36.844.981.7-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.678.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.943.380.1-6.429%-
vs Similar (5)32.242.074.2-9.80%-
vs Weaker (1)47.059.0106.0-12.00%-
This opponent (AEL) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AELLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H24/10
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/11
Division A
Morphou
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/11
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/11
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A05/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/12
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H19/12
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A04/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A12/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H17/01
Division A
81.1Avg total
42.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.581.1+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.382.6+4.173%-
Last 30 away (15)41.937.779.6+4.367%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.681.1+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.677.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.040.078.0-2.045%-
vs Similar (5)45.240.886.0+4.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.436.481.8+8.986%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.0
47.6%
51.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
32.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws27.818.1
65.1%
71.5%18.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AELtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEL: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.6
52.5%
51.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.1
32.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
71.5%13.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Morphou
LLWLLWLLLL
AEL
WWLLWWWWWL
#8
League position
#3
-7.5
Net rating
-2.3
98.8
Offensive rating
105.6
106.3
Defensive rating
107.8
45.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
17.1%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.1%
3-point %
32.7%
56.9%
Assist %
60.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 105.6Defence106.3 · 107.8Shooting45.5% · 51.1%3-point %28.1% · 32.7%Ball care17.1% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.0% · 30.3%Free throws0.42 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Morphou   ■ AEL
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morphou wins
1
AEL wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25AEL v Morphou90-86
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AAEK Larnaca72-91
10/01/26HApollon80-86
04/01/26AAchilleas K.71-65
21/12/25HAnorthosis70-85
08/12/25HKeravnos82-99
20/11/25AETHA Engomi92-86
15/11/25HApoel BC74-76
09/11/25AAEL86-90
01/11/25HAEK Larnaca71-82
26/10/25AApollon73-101
AELlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HETHA Engomi105-83
12/01/26AApoel BC103-89
04/01/26AKeravnos63-65
19/12/25HAEK Larnaca62-87
12/12/25HAnorthosis84-82
05/12/25AAchilleas K.78-72
15/11/25AParalimni79-77
09/11/25HMorphou90-86
01/11/25AETHA Engomi88-79
24/10/25HApoel BC77-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morphou
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%29%50%
Points / game78.777.979.7
Allowed / game84.284.683.7
Point differential-5.5-6.7-4.0
Avg total162.8162.4163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
AEL
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game81.482.180.5
Allowed / game81.083.378.3
Point differential+0.4-1.1+2.2
Avg total162.4165.4158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca14140100%89.270.7+18.5
2 Keravnos1312192%86.771.8+14.8
3 AEL138562%81.481.0+0.4
4 Apollon136746%86.485.5+0.9
5 Paralimni146843%80.879.9+0.9
6 Anorthosis135838%72.275.8-3.5
7 Morphou135838%78.784.2-5.5
8 Apoel BC135838%77.885.3-7.5
9 ETHA Engomi1331023%82.292.3-10.1
10 Achilleas K.1321115%70.881.3-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Morphou1426171875
AEL2616203092
← all games of the day
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