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Motilones del Norte vs Cafeteros Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 84-80
22-19 23-14 21-24 18-23
Position#6
Record6-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#3
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game65.7
ColombiaLBPLBP - Quarter-finals· Toto Hernandez Coliseum
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Motilones del Norte v Cafeteros
11 Jun 2023
MOTI84
CAFE80
23 Oct 2021
MOTI62
CAFE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Motilones del Norte winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cafeteros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Motilones del NorteColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorte
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 63
A16/05
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
44avg 63
A17/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
63-92
63
92
-29
44avg 63
A25/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
88-98
88
98
-10
76avg 63
A26/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
58avg 63
A28/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 63
A30/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
90-52
90
52
+38
79avg 63
H02/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
84-69
84
69
+15
80avg 63
H02/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
72avg 63
H06/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
78-54
78
54
+24
75avg 63
H07/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
26-19
13-25
17-17
21-20
22-22
17-21
15-20
22-24
15-17
6-21
20-30
22-24
32-28
14-25
20-21
22-24
15-22
21-20
16-17
19-19
25-25
18-24
17-21
20-12
19-9
30-15
21-16
22-15
20-15
21-22
21-17
15-13
19-20
24-17
21-11
18-18
18-21
26-5
16-10
154.1Avg total
78.3Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.873.8148.6+1.138%
Season at home (8)74.671.2145.9+3.450%
Season away (8)75.076.2151.2-1.225%
Last 10 (10)78.375.8154.1+2.540%
Last 5 (5)82.065.0147.0+17.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.086.2160.2-12.20%
vs Similar (16)73.675.1148.8-1.544%
vs Weaker (9)82.759.3142.0+23.3100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-59
90
59
+31
no box
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
101-54
101
54
+47
103avg 77
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
65-50
65
50
+15
59avg 77
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
55-63
55
63
-8
46avg 77
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
88-51
88
51
+37
82avg 77
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 77
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-64
106
64
+42
112avg 77
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
88avg 77
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
90avg 77
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
52avg 77
H09/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
24-21
25-10
17-15
20-18
29-15
31-7
21-14
16-21
14-7
16-15
19-7
16-19
14-10
13-17
12-17
25-12
19-18
19-9
25-12
19-20
24-18
20-14
27-29
31-16
27-11
29-13
19-24
15-15
28-22
22-24
25-20
35-15
25-27
23-14
16-17
18-16
16-16
22-16
13-19
149.6Avg total
85.3Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.065.7148.7+17.383%
Season at home (6)89.564.2153.7+25.3100%
Season away (6)76.567.2143.7+9.367%
Last 10 (10)85.364.3149.6+21.090%
Last 5 (5)90.873.2164.0+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.683.6161.2-6.00%
vs Similar (4)80.269.2149.5+11.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)88.073.9161.9+14.186%
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
Motilones del NorteCafeteros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Motilones del NorteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bucaros
#5
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/05
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A25/05
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A26/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A28/05
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/05
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/06
LBP
Corsarios Cartagena
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H02/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H06/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/06
LBP
79.2Avg total
40.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.836.474.2+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.135.171.3+1.047%-
Last 30 away (15)39.537.777.1+1.860%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.379.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.472.4+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.843.680.4-6.80%-
vs Similar (16)36.139.075.1-2.944%-
vs Weaker (9)41.427.869.2+13.7100%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A18/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H27/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-27
58
27
+31
A03/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/06
LBP
76.9Avg total
43.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.937.180.0+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.837.783.5+8.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.936.576.5+3.460%-
Last 10 (10)43.933.076.9+10.9100%-
Last 5 (5)47.635.282.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
vs Similar (4)38.035.273.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.336.280.5+8.171%-
This opponent (Motilones del Norte) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Motilones del Nortetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Motilones del Norte: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.9
51.6%
48.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.913.7
76.5%
66.7%13.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.4
52.5%
48.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.5
31.8%
31.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.314.6
68.5%
66.7%14.6
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Motilones del Norte
WWWWLLLLLL
Cafeteros
WWWWWWLWWW
#6
League position
#3
+10.3
Net rating
+25.9
108.9
Offensive rating
105.6
98.6
Defensive rating
79.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
38.9%
13.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.7%
3-point %
31.8%
46.5%
Assist %
53.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 105.6Defence98.6 · 79.7Shooting50.5% · 50.6%3-point %32.7% · 31.8%Ball care13.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 34.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Motilones del Norte   ■ Cafeteros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Motilones del Norte wins
1
Cafeteros wins
DateGameScore
23/10/21Motilones del Norte v Cafeteros62-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/23HBucaros78-54
06/06/23HBucaros79-61
02/06/23HCorsarios Cartagena84-69
02/06/23HCorsarios Cartagena90-52
30/05/23ATitanes de Barranquilla79-89
28/05/23ATitanes de Barranquilla74-83
26/05/23APiratas de Bogota88-98
25/05/23APiratas de Bogota63-92
17/05/23ABucaros75-83
16/05/23ABucaros73-77
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/23HCimarrones del Choco69-67
07/06/23HCimarrones del Choco99-73
04/06/23ASabios de Manizales90-81
03/06/23ASabios de Manizales106-64
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands90-81
27/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands88-51
18/05/23ACimarrones del Choco55-63
17/05/23ACimarrones del Choco65-50
14/05/23HSabios de Manizales101-54
13/05/23HSabios de Manizales90-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Motilones del Norte
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW38%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.874.675.0
Allowed / game73.871.276.2
Point differential+1.1+3.4-1.2
Avg total148.6145.9151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game83.089.576.5
Allowed / game65.764.267.2
Point differential+17.3+25.3+9.3
Avg total148.7153.7143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cafeteros1210283%83.065.7+17.3
2 Titanes de Barranquilla1613381%83.568.1+15.4
3 Caribbean Storm Islands129375%72.363.9+8.4
4 Piratas de Bogota1711665%79.272.1+7.2
5 Bucaros1610662%75.969.4+6.4
6 Cimarrones del Choco135838%66.870.4-3.6
7 Motilones del Norte1661038%74.873.8+1.1
8 Sabios de Manizales121118%64.986.2-21.2
9 Corsarios Cartagena160160%53.084.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Motilones del Norte2223211884
Cafeteros1914242380
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