Mt Gambier vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jun 2023

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 94-65

29-19 22-9 17-24 26-13

Position#4

Record11-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game95.2

Allowed / game87.7

Mt Gambier 🏆

Bendigo Braves

Position#13

Record8-9

FormLWWLW

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game93.1

NBL1 South

Other2023

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Bendigo Braves

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bendigo Braves winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#10

105-106

105

106

-1

A06/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

76-100

100

-24

A07/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

71-77

-6

H12/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

84-95

-11

H19/05

NBL1 South

Knox

63-77

-14

H27/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

102-80

102

+22

H02/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

91-77

+14

H09/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

105-98

105

A17/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

105-85

105

+20

A18/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

100-90

100

+10

H23/06

NBL1 South

27-32

30-33

22-22

26-19

18-28

24-25

14-28

20-19

17-19

22-17

18-25

14-16

20-36

25-27

20-18

19-14

17-18

13-20

14-14

19-25

24-23

28-18

23-22

27-17

22-22

30-13

22-21

17-21

18-23

32-27

30-20

25-28

24-26

30-19

28-16

23-24

28-19

23-30

20-23

29-18

178.7Avg total

90.2Scored

88.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	95.2	87.7	182.9	+7.5	69%
Season at home (9)	89.6	81.9	171.4	+7.7	67%
Season away (7)	102.4	95.1	197.6	+7.3	71%
Last 10 (10)	90.2	88.5	178.7	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	100.6	86.0	186.6	+14.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	63.0	77.0	140.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	94.9	92.2	187.1	+2.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	90.7	83.2	174.0	+7.5	71%

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo Braves Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

79-106

106

-27

H06/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

89-85

H13/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

93-107

107

-14

A20/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

109-97

109

+12

H27/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

107-93

107

+14

A28/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

80-97

-17

H03/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

78-65

+13

H04/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

91-84 OT

H18/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

82-83 OT

-1

H23/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

89-88

A25/06

NBL1 South

23-29

20-31

14-23

22-23

29-16

17-28

15-24

28-17

17-32

25-21

26-30

25-24

30-27

21-28

30-27

28-15

28-20

26-22

29-26

24-25

19-21

27-20

15-30

19-26

22-14

19-17

17-17

20-17

26-15

15-23

19-21

15-16

21-25

13-15

21-13

18-20

20-21

25-14

19-29

25-24

180.2Avg total

89.7Scored

90.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	88.3	93.1	181.4	-4.8	47%
Season at home (10)	88.4	90.9	179.3	-2.5	50%
Season away (7)	88.1	96.3	184.4	-8.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	89.7	90.5	180.2	-0.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	83.4	167.4	+0.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	90.1	94.5	184.6	-4.4	43%
vs Similar (9)	85.4	86.6	172.0	-1.1	56%
vs Weaker (7)	82.4	73.6	156.0	+8.9	86%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierBendigo Braves

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.9	43.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	24.6	46.1	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.6	45.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.8	25.8	49.5	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	52%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.5	21.7	45.2	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	22.6	44.0	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	22.0	45.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	23.6	23.9	47.6	-0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.6	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	21.2	43.9	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.6	23.5	48.2	+1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	22.9	48.6	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.6	21.4	50.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.4	24.2	47.6	-0.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	24.1	21.5	45.7	+2.6	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	22.2	43.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.6	23.6	45.2	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	71%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#10

57-65

-8

A06/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

42-53

-11

A07/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

39-36

H12/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

45-63

-18

H19/05

NBL1 South

Knox

30-38

-8

H27/05

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#14

52-41

+11

H02/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

52-35

+17

H09/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

50-50

A17/06

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#11

54-45

A18/06

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

51-49

H23/06

NBL1 South

94.7Avg total

47.2Scored

47.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.4	44.1	89.4	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.2	42.3	87.5	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.6	46.4	92.0	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.2	47.5	94.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	44.0	95.8	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	30.0	38.0	68.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	47.1	50.0	97.1	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.4	42.1	87.5	+3.3	62%	-

This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

43-60

-17

H06/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#18

46-44

H13/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

42-53

-11

A20/05

NBL1 South

Geelong

#10

51-55

-4

H27/05

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#15

54-42

+12

A28/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

46-41

H03/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

41-31

+10

H04/06

NBL1 South

Eltham

41-38

H18/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#12

34-40

-6

H23/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#16

45-35

+10

A25/06

NBL1 South

88.2Avg total

44.3Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	43.5	87.2	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	43.9	89.1	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	43.0	85.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.3	43.9	88.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.0	78.4	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	45.2	47.6	92.8	-2.4	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.4	36.3	78.7	+6.1	86%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.5	22.7	47.2	+1.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	20.4	45.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.5	21.8	46.2	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.4	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	21.5	40.8	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	20.9	44.5	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.5	24.1	45.6	-2.6	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	20.8	40.7	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.7	16.1	38.9	+6.6	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	19.7	42.6	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.2	21.7	44.9	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.6	45.8	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.2	20.5	43.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.8	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	23.4	43.6	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.7	43.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	17.3	21.1	38.4	-3.9	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.5	41.4	86.9	+4.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.9	39.1	82.9	+4.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	47.7	44.4	92.1	+3.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	41.0	84.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	42.0	90.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	33.0	39.0	72.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	47.8	42.2	90.0	+5.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	45.3	41.1	86.4	+4.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.5	84.2	-0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	40.9	80.8	-1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.9	44.3	88.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	44.7	87.6	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	42.6	80.2	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	43.1	45.6	88.6	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.0	41.8	82.8	-0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	40.0	37.3	77.3	+2.7	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Bendigo Braves wins

Date	Game	Score
30/07/22	Bendigo Braves v Mt Gambier	86-91
17/04/21	Mt Gambier v Bendigo Braves	82-95

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/06/23	H	Geelong	100-90
18/06/23	A	Ballarat	105-85
17/06/23	A	Ringwood	105-98
09/06/23	H	Diamond Valley	91-77
02/06/23	H	Kilsyth	102-80
27/05/23	H	Knox	63-77
19/05/23	H	Sandringham Sabres	84-95
12/05/23	H	Waverley	71-77
07/05/23	A	Melbourne Tigers	76-100
06/05/23	A	Geelong	105-106

Bendigo Braveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/06/23	A	Keilor Thunder	89-88
23/06/23	H	Melbourne Tigers	82-83 OT
18/06/23	H	Eltham	91-84 OT
04/06/23	H	Casey Cavaliers	78-65
03/06/23	H	Waverley	80-97
28/05/23	A	Ringwood	107-93
27/05/23	H	Geelong	109-97
20/05/23	A	Diamond Valley	93-107
13/05/23	H	Dandenong	89-85
06/05/23	H	Hobart Chargers	79-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	69%
Home	LLWWW	67%
Away	WLLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	69%	67%	71%
Points / game	95.2	89.6	102.4
Allowed / game	87.7	81.9	95.1
Point differential	+7.5	+7.7	+7.3
Avg total	182.9	171.4	197.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	67%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bendigo Braves

NBL1 South 2023

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	47%
Home	WLWWL	50%
Away	LLLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	47%	50%	43%
Points / game	88.3	88.4	88.1
Allowed / game	93.1	90.9	96.3
Point differential	-4.8	-2.5	-8.1
Avg total	181.4	179.3	184.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	20%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (4)	100% (1)
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Knox	17	13	4	76%	88.2	75.5	+12.7
2	Frankston	17	13	4	76%	93.1	83.8	+9.2
3	Sandringham Sabres	18	13	5	72%	92.6	85.2	+7.4
4	Mt Gambier	16	11	5	69%	95.2	87.7	+7.5
5	Nunawading	18	11	7	61%	90.7	84.6	+6.2
6	Eltham	18	11	7	61%	89.9	84.2	+5.7
7	Waverley	17	10	7	59%	86.5	85.2	+1.4
8	Diamond Valley	17	10	7	59%	87.9	87.5	+0.4
9	Melbourne Tigers	18	9	9	50%	83.5	86.2	-2.7
10	Geelong	17	8	9	47%	88.3	87.7	+0.6
11	Bendigo Braves	17	8	9	47%	88.3	93.1	-4.8
12	Ballarat	18	8	10	44%	93.1	95.2	-2.1
13	Kilsyth	17	7	10	41%	88.2	89.8	-1.6
14	Hobart Chargers	17	7	10	41%	83.6	86.9	-3.2
15	Keilor Thunder	17	7	10	41%	86.9	93.2	-6.4
16	NW Tasmania	17	7	10	41%	81.6	89.1	-7.5
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	90.2	94.9	-4.7
18	Casey Cavaliers	17	3	14	18%	74.3	86.8	-12.5
19	Dandenong	18	3	15	17%	86.4	91.4	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	29	22	17	26	94
Bendigo Braves	19	9	24	13	65

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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