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Mt Gambier vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 89-51
26-15 23-16 23-7 17-13
Position#2
Record13-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game96.7
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#16
Record8-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game94.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Bendigo Braves
11 Jul 2025
MT G89
BEND51
30 Jun 2023
MT G94
BEND65
17 Apr 2021
MT G82
BEND95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo Braves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
116-69
116
69
+47
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
100-70
100
70
+30
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
96-98
96
98
-2
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
100-99
100
99
+1
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
105-106 OT
105
106
-1
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
107-74
107
74
+33
A05/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-25
16-31
17-18
24-14
42-11
31-18
20-19
23-21
27-19
31-12
19-24
23-15
35-24
16-27
27-20
18-27
29-25
21-17
33-32
17-25
20-20
20-26
27-30
22-13
24-16
19-25
19-40
22-14
24-20
23-21
26-16
23-19
19-19
23-20
31-17
14-21
36-21
24-19
26-14
21-20
183.7Avg total
98.5Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)96.784.6181.3+12.168%
Season at home (8)91.681.9173.5+9.862%
Season away (11)100.486.6187.0+13.773%
Last 10 (10)98.585.2183.7+13.370%
Last 5 (5)95.885.6181.4+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)78.083.7161.7-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)95.782.3178.0+13.474%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A18/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
68-98
68
98
-30
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
70-100
70
100
-30
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
109-112
109
112
-3
H31/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A06/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
59-91
59
91
-32
A21/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H28/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A29/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
69-113
69
113
-44
A06/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
16-14
28-22
20-23
26-22
10-23
14-23
18-30
19-27
12-31
24-19
15-23
27-33
31-31
30-20
21-28
19-19
19-27
21-30
22-21
21-27
26-17
22-15
23-27
18-25
8-27
12-18
21-21
15-23
19-26
22-16
21-24
26-17
16-17
13-20
11-31
14-34
17-25
14-28
24-26
173.7Avg total
78.2Scored
95.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.694.2177.8-10.740%
Season at home (11)87.194.9182.0-7.836%
Season away (9)79.393.4172.8-14.144%
Last 10 (10)78.295.5173.7-17.320%
Last 5 (5)72.692.8165.4-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)82.793.0175.6-10.333%
vs Similar (6)83.291.5174.7-8.333%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.3+9.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.8-5.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.3+9.3Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -6.4-6.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -5.8-5.8
Mt GambierBendigo Braves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#17
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H18/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
73-29
73
29
+44
A24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A25/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H30/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A14/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A15/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A05/07
NBL1 South
93.3Avg total
51.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.840.789.5+8.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.341.086.3+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)51.940.592.4+11.481%-
Last 10 (10)51.741.693.3+10.170%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.487.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.038.373.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)50.341.091.3+9.374%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A18/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H25/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H31/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A06/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A21/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A29/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
31-59
31
59
-28
A06/07
NBL1 South
87.6Avg total
38.6Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.947.689.5-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.647.390.9-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)40.247.988.1-7.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.649.087.6-10.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.047.683.6-11.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.847.689.4-5.938%-
vs Similar (6)42.547.590.0-5.017%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mt Gambier wins
1
Bendigo Braves wins
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25ANW Tasmania107-74
04/07/25AHobart Chargers87-77
27/06/25HDiamond Valley96-76
20/06/25HMelbourne Tigers84-95
15/06/25AKnox105-106 OT
14/06/25AKilsyth100-99
30/05/25HDandenong96-98
25/05/25ABendigo Braves100-70
24/05/25ABallarat116-69
18/05/25HGeelong94-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/25ARingwood69-113
29/06/25AMelbourne Tigers66-85
28/06/25HCasey Cavaliers77-89
21/06/25ANunawading59-91
14/06/25AEltham92-86
06/06/25AKilsyth81-97
31/05/25HBallarat109-112
25/05/25HMt Gambier70-100
24/05/25HDiamond Valley68-98
18/05/25AFrankston91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW68%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWWLWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %68%62%73%
Points / game96.791.6100.4
Allowed / game84.681.986.6
Point differential+12.1+9.8+13.7
Avg total181.3173.5187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%38%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL40%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLWLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%36%44%
Points / game83.687.179.3
Allowed / game94.294.993.4
Point differential-10.7-7.8-14.1
Avg total177.8182.0172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1915479%90.882.9+7.9
2 Mt Gambier1913668%96.784.6+12.1
3 Sandringham Sabres1811761%91.288.8+2.4
4 Melbourne Tigers1911858%86.480.9+5.5
5 Kilsyth1911858%87.185.2+1.9
6 Casey Cavaliers1810856%88.985.8+3.1
7 Hobart Chargers1810856%86.984.5+2.4
8 Eltham1810856%87.686.6+0.9
9 Ballarat1810856%88.291.6-3.4
10 Ringwood2011955%94.889.3+5.5
11 Frankston189950%91.988.2+3.7
12 Nunawading1991047%86.587.0-0.5
13 Waverley1991047%92.994.6-1.7
14 Bendigo Braves2081240%83.694.2-10.7
15 Geelong1871139%83.788.5-4.8
16 Keilor Thunder1871139%83.288.7-5.4
17 NW Tasmania1851328%85.689.7-4.1
18 Dandenong1851328%89.796.0-6.3
19 Diamond Valley1851328%85.394.6-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2623231789
Bendigo Braves151671351
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