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Mt Gambier vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 63-77
17-18 13-20 14-14 19-25
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Knox 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game77.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Knox
05 Jul 2024
MT G93
KNOX85
04 Aug 2023
MT G63
KNOX68
27 May 2023
MT G63
KNOX77
06 Aug 2022
MT G81
KNOX80
15 May 2021
MT G118
KNOX93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
119-89
119
89
+30
A01/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A02/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
103-94
103
94
+9
A16/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
106-82
106
82
+24
H22/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H29/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
105-106
105
106
-1
A06/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
76-100
76
100
-24
A07/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H12/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
84-95
84
95
-11
H19/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
27-28
39-20
22-18
26-24
33-19
25-24
20-27
27-19
26-17
24-23
20-21
18-27
24-16
32-23
29-28
31-26
30-22
16-19
29-15
21-15
22-22
26-17
23-25
27-32
30-33
22-22
26-19
18-28
24-25
14-28
20-19
17-19
22-17
18-25
14-16
20-36
25-27
20-18
19-14
185.3Avg total
95.7Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.789.6185.3+6.160%
Season at home (5)90.082.6172.6+7.460%
Season away (5)101.496.6198.0+4.860%
Last 10 (10)95.789.6185.3+6.160%
Last 5 (5)85.691.4177.0-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)96.092.4188.4+3.650%
vs Weaker (22)89.981.3171.2+8.668%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#14
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H15/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
100-62
100
62
+38
A21/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A13/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A14/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
H20/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H21/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
17-35
27-12
23-15
27-15
20-15
23-20
30-12
13-25
22-17
27-20
11-14
11-22
18-12
17-9
28-17
10-24
26-14
24-19
21-14
21-18
20-21
29-23
17-14
23-38
30-30
22-8
24-16
25-26
26-13
29-12
13-29
23-15
13-17
21-21
17-21
25-26
22-22
25-19
14-23
163.4Avg total
86.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)85.477.5162.9+7.967%
Season at home (7)81.778.1159.9+3.657%
Season away (5)90.676.6167.2+14.080%
Last 10 (10)86.177.3163.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)90.483.2173.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.592.0173.5-10.50%
vs Similar (5)88.282.2170.4+6.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.076.4160.4+7.768%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.3-4.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
Mt GambierKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A01/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
A02/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H22/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H29/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A06/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A07/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H19/05
NBL1 South
97.4Avg total
49.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.043.288.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.341.185.4+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)45.745.791.4+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)49.947.597.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.250.896.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (8)48.249.697.9-1.438%-
vs Weaker (22)43.840.984.7+2.959%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#14
L
31-61
31
61
-30
H15/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A21/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A13/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A14/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/05
NBL1 South
83.7Avg total
40.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.981.2-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.881.1+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.442.081.4-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.183.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.290.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (5)45.440.686.0+4.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.041.082.0-0.050%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mt Gambier wins
0
Knox wins
DateGameScore
06/08/22Mt Gambier v Knox81-80
15/05/21Mt Gambier v Knox118-93
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/23HSandringham Sabres84-95
12/05/23HWaverley71-77
07/05/23AMelbourne Tigers76-100
06/05/23AGeelong105-106
29/04/23HRingwood92-79
22/04/23HKeilor Thunder106-82
16/04/23AFrankston103-94
14/04/23HCasey Cavaliers97-80
02/04/23ANunawading104-94
01/04/23ASandringham Sabres119-89
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23HWaverley86-90
20/05/23HFrankston87-78 OT
14/05/23AMelbourne Tigers93-80
13/05/23ABallarat99-92
07/05/23HSandringham Sabres87-76
06/05/23HRingwood81-71
29/04/23HCasey Cavaliers74-60
22/04/23AHobart Chargers73-76
21/04/23ANW Tasmania100-62
15/04/23HKilsyth81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game95.790.0101.4
Allowed / game89.682.696.6
Point differential+6.1+7.4+4.8
Avg total185.3172.6198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%57%80%
Points / game85.481.790.6
Allowed / game77.578.176.6
Point differential+7.9+3.6+14.0
Avg total162.9159.9167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%43%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston129375%94.784.6+10.1
2 Eltham129375%91.381.3+10.0
3 Sandringham Sabres139469%92.086.7+5.3
4 Nunawading128467%91.082.2+8.8
5 Knox128467%85.477.5+7.9
6 Mt Gambier106460%95.789.6+6.1
7 Diamond Valley127558%87.986.3+1.6
8 Geelong116555%88.487.5+0.9
9 Waverley116555%84.186.1-2.0
10 Ballarat126650%92.292.8-0.6
11 Hobart Chargers126650%82.683.9-1.3
12 Kilsyth125742%87.590.1-2.6
13 NW Tasmania125742%82.990.6-7.7
14 Ringwood114736%89.290.8-1.6
15 Keilor Thunder114736%86.394.5-8.3
16 Bendigo Braves114736%88.597.5-9.0
17 Melbourne Tigers124833%80.886.7-5.8
18 Casey Cavaliers123925%77.985.3-7.4
19 Dandenong1431121%86.891.4-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier1713141963
Knox1820142577
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