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Mt Gambier vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 89-80
25-20 26-19 21-21 17-20
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game94.2
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#6
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game77.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Eltham
12 Apr 2025
MT G89
ELTH80
27 Jul 2024
MT G82
ELTH91
24 May 2024
MT G89
ELTH91
02 Jul 2022
MT G95
ELTH100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A30/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H05/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
117-75
117
75
+42
H12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
108-58
108
58
+50
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H11/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
23-15
28-21
16-16
12-17
26-19
30-22
25-27
29-34
16-16
17-18
24-23
28-12
29-17
36-26
24-20
13-17
17-18
18-22
11-18
19-25
18-19
23-21
22-26
32-12
26-19
23-11
27-16
28-15
24-19
27-20
21-22
26-22
13-20
19-21
22-18
17-11
26-25
21-19
25-9
166.8Avg total
90.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.269.8164.0+24.575%
Season at home (2)84.572.5157.0+12.050%
Season away (2)104.067.0171.0+37.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.076.8166.8+13.260%
Last 5 (5)91.874.0165.8+17.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
vs Similar (8)88.585.1173.6+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.477.6168.0+12.876%
This opponent (Eltham) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
98-67
98
67
+31
A11/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
93-75
93
75
+18
H13/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A27/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A03/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-12
24-15
25-20
22-20
32-23
23-20
17-17
21-15
11-19
23-12
32-19
20-31
25-19
19-18
21-23
26-22
14-15
23-19
23-16
16-24
12-24
20-15
32-21
15-10
13-13
17-13
10-21
29-16
20-24
15-22
16-22
15-22
21-22
15-16
20-22
16-22
25-30
18-7
31-21
20-14
158.0Avg total
82.4Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.077.0160.0+6.050%
Season at home (1)72.082.0154.0-10.00%
Season away (1)94.072.0166.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.475.6158.0+6.880%
Last 5 (5)76.075.4151.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)66.090.0156.0-24.00%
vs Similar (9)84.483.9168.3+0.667%
vs Weaker (20)89.178.2167.2+10.970%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
Mt GambierEltham
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A30/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H11/04
NBL1 South
81.3Avg total
44.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.685.3+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.142.686.7+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)47.536.183.6+11.479%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.281.3+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.483.2+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (8)43.441.484.8+2.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.139.286.3+8.071%-
This opponent (Eltham) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
51-27
51
27
+24
A11/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H13/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A27/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/04
NBL1 South
75.5Avg total
39.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.582.7+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.139.486.5+7.769%-
Last 30 away (17)40.339.579.8+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.875.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.272.4-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)35.046.081.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (9)40.340.981.2-0.656%-
vs Weaker (20)45.038.583.5+6.565%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mt Gambier wins
4
Eltham wins
DateGameScore
27/07/24Mt Gambier v Eltham82-91
24/05/24Mt Gambier v Eltham89-91
16/07/23Eltham v Mt Gambier95-88
02/07/22Mt Gambier v Eltham95-100
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25HSandringham Sabres89-64
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers80-81
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder100-76
29/03/25AGeelong108-58
27/07/24HEltham82-91
20/07/24HSandringham Sabres59-75
12/07/24HRingwood117-75
06/07/24HMelbourne Tigers86-91
05/07/24HKnox93-85
30/06/24ADandenong86-72
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ADandenong94-72
29/03/25HRingwood72-82
17/08/24AKnox66-90
16/08/24AForestville Eagles69-63
10/08/24ABallarat79-70
03/08/24AFrankston76-74
27/07/24AMt Gambier91-82
20/07/24HGeelong86-81
13/07/24HBallarat93-75
11/07/24AKeilor Thunder98-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game94.284.5104.0
Allowed / game69.872.567.0
Point differential+24.5+12.0+37.0
Avg total164.0157.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Eltham
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game83.072.094.0
Allowed / game77.082.072.0
Point differential+6.0-10.0+22.0
Avg total160.0154.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox330100%100.778.7+22.0
2 Mt Gambier43175%94.269.8+24.5
3 Ballarat43175%89.084.8+4.2
4 Casey Cavaliers43175%84.280.2+4.0
5 Hobart Chargers43175%83.079.0+4.0
6 Waverley43175%94.292.2+2.0
7 Melbourne Tigers32167%85.072.0+13.0
8 Ringwood32167%91.381.3+10.0
9 Frankston32167%90.383.3+7.0
10 Eltham21150%83.077.0+6.0
11 NW Tasmania42250%87.890.8-3.0
12 Bendigo Braves42250%83.589.8-6.2
13 Kilsyth52340%81.882.6-0.8
14 Dandenong41325%90.897.2-6.5
15 Nunawading41325%82.890.2-7.5
16 Keilor Thunder41325%86.895.0-8.2
17 Geelong41325%83.291.8-8.5
18 Diamond Valley51420%79.494.6-15.2
19 Sandringham Sabres4040%72.293.0-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2526211789
Eltham2019212080
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