Mt Gambier vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 May 2024

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 89-91

26-27 21-21 22-21 20-22

Position#1

Record9-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.5

Allowed / game81.4

Mt Gambier

Eltham 🏆

Position#2

Record5-5

FormLLLWL

Points / game90.0

Allowed / game83.2

NBL1 South

Other2024

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Eltham

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Eltham winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley

#12

67-63

A07/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

93-87

H13/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

94-105

105

-11

H14/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

91-84

H19/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

83-96

-13

H26/04

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

93-81

+12

A04/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

90-75

+15

A05/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

96-78

+18

H10/05

NBL1 South

Knox

98-77

+21

A18/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

82-70

+12

A19/05

NBL1 South

18-17

16-17

16-9

17-20

19-38

26-14

23-17

25-18

28-30

26-23

20-26

19-28

26-16

27-25

19-15

24-27

26-26

10-25

23-18

18-10

19-28

36-23

20-20

23-19

18-15

23-17

26-24

20-21

25-24

24-18

27-15

32-13

19-17

22-31

25-16

26-14

23-16

13-26

20-14

170.3Avg total

88.7Scored

81.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	89.5	81.4	170.8	+8.1	82%
Season at home (5)	91.4	90.0	181.4	+1.4	60%
Season away (6)	87.8	74.2	162.0	+13.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.7	81.6	170.3	+7.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	91.8	76.2	168.0	+15.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	63.0	72.5	135.5	-9.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	95.2	90.6	185.9	+4.6	62%
vs Weaker (20)	88.7	82.2	170.9	+6.5	75%

This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Eltham

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#18

109-73

109

+36

H06/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

91-104

104

-13

A07/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

85-75

+10

A10/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

96-75

+21

H13/04

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

99-59

+40

H20/04

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

81-89

-8

A27/04

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

77-86

-9

H04/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

82-95

-13

A11/05

NBL1 South

Knox

95-86 OT

H12/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

85-90

-5

H18/05

NBL1 South

44-20

23-16

19-17

23-20

21-29

22-27

33-25

15-23

19-18

19-20

25-22

22-15

25-22

33-18

18-18

20-17

24-11

29-17

20-20

26-11

22-24

13-24

24-17

22-24

20-15

19-28

19-25

19-18

24-20

19-32

23-17

16-26

23-27

20-17

14-21

25-17

27-21

16-21

24-22

18-26

173.2Avg total

90.0Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	90.0	83.2	173.2	+6.8	50%
Season at home (6)	93.5	78.2	171.7	+15.3	67%
Season away (4)	84.8	90.8	175.5	-6.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	83.2	173.2	+6.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	89.2	173.2	-5.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	74.0	93.5	167.5	-19.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	85.6	91.4	177.0	-5.9	29%
vs Weaker (21)	91.6	80.0	171.6	+11.5	67%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierEltham

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	23.3	46.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	23.2	45.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	23.4	46.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	15.4	39.2	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.8	27.1	51.9	-2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.4	22.2	44.5	+0.2	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.0	43.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.7	19.1	44.8	+6.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	23.2	42.9	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	20.7	45.6	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	21.4	44.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	26.5	45.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.6	25.6	47.1	-4.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.7	19.0	42.7	+4.7	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	20.0	43.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	19.6	42.9	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	16.5	29.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	24.8	22.0	46.8	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	23.7	19.6	43.2	+4.1	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	24.4	41.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.4	20.7	44.1	+2.7	62%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Waverley

#12

34-34

A07/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

45-52

-7

H13/04

NBL1 South

Ballarat

54-53

H14/04

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

45-44

H19/04

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

50-53

-3

H26/04

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

37-38

-1

A04/05

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

41-34

A05/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

45-45

H10/05

NBL1 South

Knox

51-30

+21

A18/05

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

49-30

+19

A19/05

NBL1 South

86.4Avg total

45.1Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.0	43.3	89.3	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	42.8	88.5	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	46.4	43.8	90.2	+2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	41.3	86.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	35.4	80.0	+9.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	32.0	35.5	67.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	49.5	49.1	98.6	+0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (20)	46.0	41.8	87.8	+4.3	65%	-

This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#18

67-36

+31

H06/04

NBL1 South

Frankston

43-56

-13

A07/04

NBL1 South

Dandenong

38-38

A10/04

NBL1 South

Nunawading

58-40

+18

H13/04

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

53-28

+25

H20/04

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

35-48

-13

A27/04

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

39-43

-4

H04/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

43-52

-9

A11/05

NBL1 South

Knox

43-44

-1

H12/05

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

43-42

H18/05

NBL1 South

88.9Avg total

46.2Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	42.1	87.2	+3.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.1	39.5	89.6	+10.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	45.1	84.4	-5.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	42.7	88.9	+3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.8	86.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	47.0	82.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	41.7	47.9	89.6	-6.1	14%	-
vs Weaker (21)	47.1	39.7	86.8	+7.4	62%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	21.5	42.5	-0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.7	43.1	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	23.0	46.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	13.5	13.5	27.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.9	25%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	20.8	42.9	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	19.9	41.4	+1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	25.5	42.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	22.4	22.6	45.0	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.9	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.1	40.5	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	19.6	41.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.8	41.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	23.5	41.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.8	17.8	41.5	+6.0	88%	-
vs Weaker (20)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	40.1	82.3	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	39.1	80.6	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.0	41.1	84.1	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.6	40.3	83.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	40.8	88.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.0	37.0	68.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	44.1	40.0	84.1	+4.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (20)	42.6	40.5	83.1	+2.1	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	39.9	82.2	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	40.1	84.1	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	39.6	80.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	40.1	82.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.6	83.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.5	46.5	85.0	-8.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	42.0	43.0	85.0	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.8	38.2	81.0	+4.6	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Eltham wins

Date	Game	Score
16/07/23	Eltham v Mt Gambier	95-88
02/07/22	Mt Gambier v Eltham	95-100

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/05/24	A	Casey Cavaliers	82-70
18/05/24	A	Knox	98-77
10/05/24	H	Nunawading	96-78
05/05/24	A	Bendigo Braves	90-75
04/05/24	A	Geelong	93-81
26/04/24	H	Keilor Thunder	83-96
19/04/24	H	NW Tasmania	91-84
14/04/24	H	Ballarat	94-105
13/04/24	H	Frankston	93-87
07/04/24	A	Waverley	67-63

Elthamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/05/24	H	Sandringham Sabres	85-90
12/05/24	H	Knox	95-86 OT
11/05/24	A	Ballarat	82-95
04/05/24	H	Ringwood	77-86
27/04/24	A	Melbourne Tigers	81-89
20/04/24	H	Kilsyth	99-59
13/04/24	H	Nunawading	96-75
10/04/24	A	Dandenong	85-75
07/04/24	A	Frankston	91-104
06/04/24	H	Diamond Valley	109-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	82%
Home	WLWLW	60%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	82%	60%	100%
Points / game	89.5	91.4	87.8
Allowed / game	81.4	90.0	74.2
Point differential	+8.1	+1.4	+13.7
Avg total	170.8	181.4	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	55%	20%	83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Eltham

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	50%
Home	WWLWL	67%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	50%	67%	25%
Points / game	90.0	93.5	84.8
Allowed / game	83.2	78.2	90.8
Point differential	+6.8	+15.3	-6.0
Avg total	173.2	171.7	175.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	10%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	11	9	2	82%	89.5	81.4	+8.1
2	Ballarat	10	7	3	70%	94.2	83.2	+11.0
3	Waverley	11	7	4	64%	90.9	84.8	+6.1
4	Dandenong	13	8	5	62%	85.5	81.6	+3.9
5	Sandringham Sabres	10	6	4	60%	91.7	82.0	+9.7
6	Frankston	10	6	4	60%	93.2	83.8	+9.4
7	Keilor Thunder	12	7	5	58%	92.2	97.5	-5.2
8	Knox	11	6	5	55%	93.7	85.4	+8.4
9	Nunawading	11	6	5	55%	86.0	83.5	+2.5
10	Hobart Chargers	11	6	5	55%	80.1	79.5	+0.5
11	Eltham	10	5	5	50%	90.0	83.2	+6.8
12	Ringwood	13	6	7	46%	86.6	88.2	-1.5
13	Melbourne Tigers	11	5	6	45%	77.7	83.2	-5.5
14	NW Tasmania	11	5	6	45%	83.0	89.1	-6.1
15	Bendigo Braves	12	5	7	42%	79.5	86.1	-6.6
16	Geelong	11	4	7	36%	79.8	86.8	-7.0
17	Kilsyth	12	3	9	25%	79.3	89.6	-10.2
18	Diamond Valley	9	2	7	22%	83.4	96.9	-13.4
19	Casey Cavaliers	11	2	9	18%	77.9	86.2	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	26	21	22	20	89
Eltham	27	21	21	22	91

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Eltham Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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