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Mt Gambier vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 63-68
22-20 12-13 13-13 16-22
Position#4
Record16-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Knox 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record19-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game76.8
AustraliaNBL1 SouthNBL1 South - Semi-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Knox
05 Jul 2024
MT G93
KNOX85
04 Aug 2023
MT G63
KNOX68
27 May 2023
MT G63
KNOX77
06 Aug 2022
MT G81
KNOX80
15 May 2021
MT G118
KNOX93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#15
W
105-98
105
98
+7
A17/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
105-85
105
85
+20
A18/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H23/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H30/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H02/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
87-102
87
102
-15
A07/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A08/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A15/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
97-96 OT
97
96
+1
A22/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
32-27
30-20
25-28
24-26
30-19
28-16
23-24
28-19
23-30
20-23
29-18
29-19
22-9
17-24
26-13
25-13
24-22
25-12
16-24
26-37
19-23
18-22
24-20
27-28
20-18
18-18
16-16
20-25
22-13
20-23
21-17
27-24
21-24
22-27
18-20
17-30
27-20
14-18
26-16
179.0Avg total
93.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)93.286.5179.7+6.770%
Season at home (11)90.079.4169.4+10.673%
Season away (12)96.193.1189.2+3.067%
Last 10 (10)93.086.0179.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)87.290.2177.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)63.077.0140.0-14.00%
vs Similar (9)95.893.0188.8+2.856%
vs Weaker (20)91.281.5172.6+9.780%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A09/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
103-69
103
69
+34
H17/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
103-67
103
67
+36
A24/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H01/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H07/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
112-87
112
87
+25
A09/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
96-59
96
59
+37
H16/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
H22/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H29/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
22-18
23-16
24-15
27-20
27-20
21-15
28-14
27-17
21-16
26-16
29-18
13-8
30-15
20-29
22-28
25-9
27-17
24-23
23-21
25-21
25-24
39-13
23-29
28-18
23-26
17-16
19-26
19-10
27-17
26-17
24-15
24-27
21-21
23-23
22-26
26-21
20-17
25-18
13-25
172.6Avg total
95.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.776.8166.5+12.979%
Season at home (13)86.877.2164.0+9.769%
Season away (11)93.176.5169.5+16.691%
Last 10 (10)95.477.2172.6+18.290%
Last 5 (5)93.882.0175.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.081.0161.0-1.00%
vs Similar (1)102.0109.0211.0-7.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)88.976.8165.7+12.181%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Mt GambierKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A17/06
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A18/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H23/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H02/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A07/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A15/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A16/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A22/07
NBL1 South
93.0Avg total
48.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.843.990.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.939.986.9+7.080%-
Last 30 away (15)46.747.994.5-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)48.144.993.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.248.493.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)30.038.068.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (9)48.149.797.8-1.633%-
vs Weaker (20)47.041.688.7+5.470%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#6
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A09/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H17/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A24/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H01/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H07/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/07
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H29/07
NBL1 South
85.2Avg total
48.3Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.182.0+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.579.6+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.740.784.4+3.173%-
Last 10 (10)48.336.985.2+11.490%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.488.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.029.067.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar (1)50.048.098.0+2.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.939.082.9+4.967%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mt Gambier wins
1
Knox wins
DateGameScore
27/05/23Mt Gambier v Knox63-77
06/08/22Mt Gambier v Knox81-80
15/05/21Mt Gambier v Knox118-93
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23AFrankston97-96 OT
16/07/23AEltham88-95
15/07/23AWaverley83-78
08/07/23ANW Tasmania81-80
07/07/23AHobart Chargers87-102
02/07/23HDandenong90-71
30/06/23HBendigo Braves94-65
23/06/23HGeelong100-90
18/06/23ABallarat105-85
17/06/23ARingwood105-98
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/07/23HEltham84-81
22/07/23HSandringham Sabres90-97
16/07/23HBendigo Braves96-59
15/07/23AKilsyth87-86
09/07/23ADandenong112-87
07/07/23HDiamond Valley99-70
01/07/23HNW Tasmania85-80
24/06/23AEltham103-67
17/06/23HKeilor Thunder103-69
09/06/23ANunawading95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game93.290.096.1
Allowed / game86.579.493.1
Point differential+6.7+10.6+3.0
Avg total179.7169.4189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%73%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Knox
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %79%69%91%
Points / game89.786.893.1
Allowed / game76.877.276.5
Point differential+12.9+9.7+16.6
Avg total166.5164.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%46%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2419579%89.776.8+12.9
2 Sandringham Sabres2316770%92.785.3+7.3
3 Mt Gambier2316770%93.286.5+6.7
4 Frankston2416867%93.585.6+7.9
5 Eltham2415962%88.982.2+6.6
6 Diamond Valley24141058%87.088.5-1.5
7 Nunawading23131057%90.986.7+4.2
8 Hobart Chargers22121055%86.185.9+0.2
9 Waverley23121152%85.286.0-0.8
10 Geelong22111150%90.087.6+2.4
11 Ballarat22111150%93.794.1-0.4
12 Melbourne Tigers22101245%83.085.8-2.7
13 Bendigo Braves22101245%86.294.0-7.8
14 Kilsyth2291341%87.288.8-1.6
15 Ringwood2281436%89.593.0-3.5
16 Keilor Thunder2281436%86.294.5-8.3
17 NW Tasmania2271532%80.888.5-7.6
18 Dandenong2241818%85.792.0-6.3
19 Casey Cavaliers2241818%75.586.2-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier2212131663
Knox2013132268
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