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Mt Gambier vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 93-85
12-17 26-19 30-22 25-27
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#7
Record11-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game82.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Mt Gambier v Knox
05 Jul 2024
MT G93
KNOX85
04 Aug 2023
MT G63
KNOX68
27 May 2023
MT G63
KNOX77
06 Aug 2022
MT G81
KNOX80
15 May 2021
MT G118
KNOX93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
82-70
82
70
+12
A19/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A07/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
A16/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H21/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A29/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A30/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-13
19-17
22-31
25-16
26-14
23-16
13-26
20-14
26-27
21-21
22-21
20-22
19-20
25-19
12-20
21-25
27-18
21-18
19-18
13-10
23-18
27-24
21-22
19-17
24-20
30-14
23-18
19-29
26-25
27-17
20-14
23-14
23-28
27-14
25-20
22-18
19-20
23-15
28-21
16-16
166.1Avg total
89.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)89.279.9169.1+9.379%
Season at home (8)89.986.9176.8+3.050%
Season away (11)88.774.8163.5+13.9100%
Last 10 (10)89.177.0166.1+12.180%
Last 5 (5)93.076.8169.8+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.068.0131.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)94.687.9182.4+6.771%
vs Weaker (22)89.280.1169.4+9.182%
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
H18/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H19/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
99-84
99
84
+15
H01/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
L
89-93
89
93
-4
H07/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H15/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
110-68
110
68
+42
A16/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
88-100
88
100
-12
H22/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H23/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
99-47
99
47
+52
A30/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-32
17-19
31-22
16-25
12-19
25-21
31-17
23-23
20-13
17-16
21-27
18-20
22-15
31-21
23-20
23-28
21-20
24-18
19-23
25-32
30-21
23-17
20-20
24-14
32-18
22-24
23-13
33-13
23-29
23-22
24-25
18-24
29-17
26-24
15-16
25-13
36-12
24-8
25-12
14-15
173.2Avg total
93.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)94.482.2176.6+12.258%
Season at home (9)92.786.4179.1+6.256%
Season away (10)96.078.4174.4+17.660%
Last 10 (10)93.180.1173.2+13.060%
Last 5 (5)97.871.4169.2+26.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)90.096.5186.5-6.525%
vs Weaker (26)95.779.4175.1+16.377%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +6.8+6.8Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
Mt GambierKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#7
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A19/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H24/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A07/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A15/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A16/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A29/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A30/06
NBL1 South
86.6Avg total
48.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.041.688.6+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.343.490.8+3.967%-
Last 30 away (18)46.740.487.2+6.367%-
Last 10 (10)48.837.886.6+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)49.839.088.8+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)48.744.793.4+4.043%-
vs Weaker (22)47.041.088.0+6.073%-
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
H18/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H19/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A25/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H01/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H07/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H15/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A16/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H22/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H23/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
60-20
60
20
+40
A30/06
NBL1 South
85.6Avg total
47.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.239.487.6+8.880%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.240.587.7+6.671%-
Last 30 away (13)49.537.987.5+11.692%-
Last 10 (10)47.038.685.6+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)53.638.492.0+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)45.548.093.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (26)48.638.186.7+10.585%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mt Gambier wins
2
Knox wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24Knox v Mt Gambier77-98
04/08/23Mt Gambier v Knox63-68
27/05/23Mt Gambier v Knox63-77
06/08/22Mt Gambier v Knox81-80
15/05/21Mt Gambier v Knox118-93
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24ADandenong86-72
29/06/24ANunawading97-80
21/06/24HHobart Chargers96-70
16/06/24ADiamond Valley96-81
15/06/24AKilsyth90-81
07/06/24AKeilor Thunder80-64
31/05/24HGeelong77-84
24/05/24HEltham89-91
19/05/24ACasey Cavaliers82-70
18/05/24AKnox98-77
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/06/24ANunawading99-47
23/06/24HNW Tasmania95-70
22/06/24HFrankston88-100
16/06/24ACasey Cavaliers110-68
15/06/24HBendigo Braves97-72
07/06/24HDiamond Valley89-93
01/06/24HKilsyth99-84
25/05/24ABallarat86-89 OT
19/05/24HHobart Chargers91-80
18/05/24HMt Gambier77-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %79%50%100%
Points / game89.289.988.7
Allowed / game79.986.974.8
Point differential+9.3+3.0+13.9
Avg total169.1176.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%25%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%56%60%
Points / game94.492.796.0
Allowed / game82.286.478.4
Point differential+12.2+6.2+17.6
Avg total176.6179.1174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%56%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %16%11%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier1915479%89.279.9+9.3
2 Ballarat2014670%91.586.0+5.5
3 Sandringham Sabres1913668%93.681.5+12.1
4 Frankston1912763%93.183.6+9.5
5 Dandenong1912763%85.283.6+1.5
6 Keilor Thunder1912763%89.589.8-0.3
7 Hobart Chargers2012860%82.880.9+1.9
8 Knox1911858%94.482.2+12.2
9 Eltham1911858%89.383.4+5.9
10 Waverley1911858%93.487.8+5.5
11 Nunawading20101050%85.085.3-0.3
12 Geelong189950%79.784.2-4.4
13 NW Tasmania1981142%82.589.8-7.3
14 Melbourne Tigers1971237%75.482.5-7.1
15 Bendigo Braves2071335%80.487.3-6.9
16 Ringwood2161529%84.190.3-6.1
17 Kilsyth1951426%77.886.9-9.2
18 Diamond Valley1951426%85.295.5-10.3
19 Casey Cavaliers1931616%78.789.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mt Gambier1226302593
Knox1719222785
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