Mt Gambier vs Nunawading Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Aug 2017

Tip-off: 10:30

Final 92-81

27-22 22-20 23-19 20-20

Position#1

Record21-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game92.9

Allowed / game79.2

Mt Gambier 🏆

Nunawading

Position#3

Record17-7

FormLWLWW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game81.8

SEABL

Other2017

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Nunawading

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nunawading winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

104-94

104

+10

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

100-75

100

+25

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

92-81

+11

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

113-69

113

+44

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

94-63

+31

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-82

103

+21

H21/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

99-89

+10

H28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

110-83

110

+27

A30/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

80-88

-8

A04/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

92-73

+19

A05/08

SEABL

41-27

35-21

6-19

22-27

25-27

35-11

13-19

27-18

23-19

24-18

20-21

25-23

32-20

23-12

29-21

29-16

19-19

24-16

27-11

24-17

22-22

25-23

27-20

29-17

20-24

25-25

27-20

27-26

30-18

26-23

27-16

22-33

20-20

18-16

20-19

26-19

25-22

22-12

19-20

178.4Avg total

98.7Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	92.9	79.2	172.2	+13.7	88%
Season at home (12)	95.6	78.9	174.5	+16.7	100%
Season away (12)	90.2	79.6	169.8	+10.7	75%
Last 10 (10)	98.7	79.7	178.4	+19.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.8	83.0	179.8	+13.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	83.2	78.6	161.8	+4.6	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	92.6	78.0	170.5	+14.6	92%

This opponent (Nunawading) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nunawading Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

73-79

-6

H03/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

91-82

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

93-96

-3

A24/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

97-80

+17

A01/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

81-92

-11

A07/07

SEABL

Dandenong

75-87

-12

A15/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

96-86

+10

H22/07

SEABL

Geelong

76-96

-20

A28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

79-63

+16

H29/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

87-69

+18

H05/08

SEABL

24-18

18-22

13-14

18-25

19-24

33-17

19-21

20-20

35-21

15-27

19-22

24-26

25-23

22-18

28-17

22-22

19-23

18-24

21-20

23-25

23-19

20-24

17-17

15-27

17-19

32-22

26-27

21-18

23-27

19-20

11-27

23-22

18-12

18-15

22-17

21-19

22-11

25-25

17-11

23-22

167.8Avg total

84.8Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	88.5	81.8	170.2	+6.8	71%
Season at home (12)	88.3	76.9	165.2	+11.4	83%
Season away (12)	88.7	86.6	175.2	+2.1	58%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	83.0	167.8	+1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	80.2	162.8	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	78.0	83.0	161.0	-5.0	20%
vs Similar (7)	84.1	82.3	166.4	+1.9	57%
vs Weaker (18)	92.7	79.6	172.2	+13.1	89%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierNunawading

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.0	20.6	45.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.6	19.4	46.0	+7.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.4	21.8	45.2	+1.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	23.6	49.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	24.8	48.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	25.6	20.1	45.8	+5.5	68%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.0	41.9	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.2	17.5	38.8	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.9	20.1	43.9	+3.8	61%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.7	42.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.6	20.9	43.4	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.7	18.6	42.2	+5.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.5	40.6	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	18.3	41.7	+5.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.7	39.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.6	18.6	45.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	21.6	46.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.5	18.6	41.1	+4.0	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.8	19.1	43.8	+5.7	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	24.2	18.8	42.9	+5.4	78%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

76-48

+28

H23/06

SEABL

Ballarat

60-38

+22

H01/07

SEABL

Nunawading

47-37

+10

H07/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

55-32

+23

A15/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

43-35

A16/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

47-45

H21/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

45-49

-4

H28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

57-44

+13

A30/07

SEABL

Hobart Chargers

42-53

-11

A04/08

SEABL

Kilsyth

51-41

+10

A05/08

SEABL

94.5Avg total

52.3Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.1	39.1	86.2	+8.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	50.0	37.7	87.7	+12.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	40.5	84.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	52.3	42.2	94.5	+10.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	46.4	94.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	48.2	38.7	86.8	+9.5	88%	-

This opponent (Nunawading) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NunawadingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

42-40

H03/06

SEABL

Frankston

#12

52-41

+11

H17/06

SEABL

Southern Sabres

#10

50-48

A24/06

SEABL

Canberra

#14

47-41

A01/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

37-47

-10

A07/07

SEABL

Dandenong

43-43

A15/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

49-41

H22/07

SEABL

Geelong

42-47

-5

A28/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

36-27

H29/07

SEABL

Canberra

#14

47-36

+11

H05/08

SEABL

85.6Avg total

44.5Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.7	38.3	84.0	+7.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	46.0	36.6	82.6	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 away (18)	45.6	39.4	85.0	+6.1	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	41.1	85.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	38.8	82.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	40.6	36.8	77.4	+3.8	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	44.0	41.9	85.9	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	47.8	37.3	85.2	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	20.0	42.3	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	19.9	43.2	+3.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	18.2	42.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.0	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	22.8	20.5	43.3	+2.3	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.0	19.2	40.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.2	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.2	42.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	19.3	44.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.4	42.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	21.1	42.4	+0.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.2	21.1	43.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.0	20.2	37.2	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.4	21.6	45.0	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.6	21.2	43.8	+1.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	39.0	82.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	39.3	83.7	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.3	38.7	82.0	+4.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	37.5	83.9	+8.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	36.6	85.0	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	41.2	37.6	78.8	+3.6	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	44.4	39.3	83.7	+5.1	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.9	84.2	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.3	40.3	82.7	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.3	42.9	85.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	41.9	82.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	41.4	80.6	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.4	42.8	79.2	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.1	40.4	80.6	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.8	42.2	87.1	+2.6	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Nunawading wins

Date	Game	Score
07/07/17	Mt Gambier v Nunawading	92-81
07/05/17	Nunawading v Mt Gambier	81-84
14/05/16	Nunawading v Mt Gambier	84-78
16/08/15	Nunawading v Mt Gambier	59-66
10/04/15	Mt Gambier v Nunawading	74-88

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/08/17	A	Kilsyth	92-73
04/08/17	A	Hobart Chargers	80-88
30/07/17	A	Melbourne Tigers	110-83
28/07/17	H	Hobart Chargers	99-89
21/07/17	H	Albury	103-82
16/07/17	A	BA CoE	94-63
15/07/17	A	Canberra	113-69
07/07/17	H	Nunawading	92-81
01/07/17	H	Ballarat	100-75
23/06/17	H	Geelong	104-94

Nunawadinglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/08/17	H	Canberra	87-69
29/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	79-63
28/07/17	A	Geelong	76-96
22/07/17	H	Albury	96-86
15/07/17	A	Dandenong	75-87
07/07/17	A	Mt Gambier	81-92
01/07/17	A	Canberra	97-80
24/06/17	A	Southern Sabres	93-96
17/06/17	H	Frankston	91-82
03/06/17	H	Geelong	73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

SEABL 2017

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	92.9	95.6	90.2
Allowed / game	79.2	78.9	79.6
Point differential	+13.7	+16.7	+10.7
Avg total	172.2	174.5	169.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	92%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Nunawading

SEABL 2017

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	71%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LWLLL	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	71%	83%	58%
Points / game	88.5	88.3	88.7
Allowed / game	81.8	76.9	86.6
Point differential	+6.8	+11.4	+2.1
Avg total	170.2	165.2	175.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	54%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	24	21	3	88%	92.9	79.2	+13.7
2	Nunawading	24	17	7	71%	88.5	81.8	+6.8
3	Hobart Chargers	24	16	8	67%	93.9	81.4	+12.5
4	Geelong	24	16	8	67%	88.2	81.5	+6.7
5	Ballarat	24	16	8	67%	88.6	84.0	+4.6
6	Dandenong	24	16	8	67%	83.1	79.6	+3.5
7	NW Tasmania	24	13	11	54%	83.6	83.7	-0.0
8	Southern Sabres	24	11	13	46%	83.6	84.0	-0.4
9	Bendigo	24	11	13	46%	87.0	87.7	-0.8
10	Kilsyth	24	11	13	46%	79.6	81.2	-1.6
11	Albury	24	9	15	38%	91.0	94.6	-3.6
12	Frankston	24	7	17	29%	81.1	87.9	-6.8
13	Melbourne Tigers	24	7	17	29%	76.5	88.8	-12.2
14	Canberra	24	3	21	12%	79.1	91.9	-12.8
15	BA CoE	16	2	14	12%	74.8	89.0	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	27	22	23	20	92
Nunawading	22	20	19	20	81

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Nunawading Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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