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Murcia vs Gran Canaria Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 May 2019
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#14
Record11-22
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#11
Record14-19
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game84.6
SpainACBRound 34
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Murcia v Gran Canaria
14 Mar 2026
MUR87
GKA76
01 Dec 2024
MUR63
GKA83
21 Oct 2023
MUR95
GKA69
17 Dec 2022
MUR99
GKA85
10 Apr 2022
MUR86
GKA75
07 Nov 2020
MUR74
GKA78
26 May 2019
MUR v GKA
upcoming
14 Jan 2018
MUR84
GKA78
25 Jan 2017
MUR67
GKA83
29 Oct 2016
MUR57
GKA76
20 Dec 2015
MUR71
GKA75
30 Dec 2014
MUR85
GKA89
16 Feb 2014
MUR71
GKA78
18 Nov 2012
MUR97
GKA99
07 Mar 2012
MUR76
GKA60
27 Dec 2009
MUR86
GKA83
30 Apr 2009
MUR72
GKA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#16
W
110-86
110
86
+24
A24/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H07/04
ACB
Tenerife
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
H02/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H05/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H11/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A18/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
28-27
29-19
21-23
24-18
23-27
24-31
22-25
16-24
22-19
17-23
20-20
21-19
15-11
11-31
29-22
31-20
20-26
21-21
24-19
18-19
19-20
19-24
24-19
20-23
14-17
8-19
19-15
30-17
24-15
11-28
29-26
17-17
19-21
20-19
22-19
20-13
15-30
24-23
14-18
168.0Avg total
83.6Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.282.1160.2-3.933%
Season at home (16)77.277.2154.4+0.044%
Season away (17)79.186.6165.7-7.624%
Last 10 (10)83.684.4168.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)77.280.4157.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.782.1158.8-5.427%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.384.8168.1-1.540%
vs Weaker (4)70.258.8129.0+11.5100%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
111-92
111
92
+19
H30/03
ACB
Bayern
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A05/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H07/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A14/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H20/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
96-86
96
86
+10
A27/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
H05/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A09/05
ACB
Breogan
#18
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A12/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H19/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
30-16
32-25
23-28
20-26
15-18
18-29
24-11
18-14
17-13
14-24
22-26
24-20
18-19
24-23
27-26
21-21
18-16
20-31
17-16
21-25
22-20
34-24
19-17
13-21
19-28
14-24
31-24
28-19
18-22
27-18
23-23
17-24
31-22
21-19
23-12
20-26
15-21
24-18
25-14
171.9Avg total
87.3Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.484.6167.9-1.242%
Season at home (17)86.283.4169.6+2.953%
Season away (16)80.385.9166.2-5.631%
Last 10 (10)87.384.6171.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)89.084.2173.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.791.3169.0-13.513%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.882.5167.3+2.358%
vs Weaker (3)90.085.0175.0+5.067%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.7+3.7
MurciaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#16
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A24/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/04
ACB
Tenerife
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A28/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H05/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H11/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/05
ACB
82.8Avg total
42.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.775.1+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.435.273.6+3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.538.276.7+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.082.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.477.6+0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.835.570.3-0.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.740.682.3+1.147%-
vs Weaker (4)36.225.561.8+10.875%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H30/03
ACB
Bayern
#12
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A05/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H07/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A14/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/04
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/04
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H05/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A09/05
ACB
Breogan
#18
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A12/05
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H19/05
ACB
82.5Avg total
41.1Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.082.1-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.579.6+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)40.144.284.3-4.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.482.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.842.881.6-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.141.681.7-1.567%-
vs Weaker (3)46.739.786.3+7.0100%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.2
51.6%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.213.6
70.8%
74.6%13.6
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.3
56.3%
52.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.8
41.4%
36.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws14.911.7
78.5%
74.6%11.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWWLLWLLLW
Gran Canaria
WWWLWLWLLW
#14
League position
#11
-1.3
Net rating
+3.7
110.3
Offensive rating
118.9
111.6
Defensive rating
115.2
53.2%
Effective FG%
58.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
20.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
37.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.0%
3-point %
41.4%
42.5%
Assist %
58.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 118.9Defence111.6 · 115.2Shooting53.2% · 58.7%3-point %37.0% · 41.4%Ball care20.1% · 15.7%Off. rebounds37.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
8
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
20/01/19Gran Canaria v Murcia90-82
15/04/18Gran Canaria v Murcia83-71
14/01/18Murcia v Gran Canaria84-78
07/05/17Gran Canaria v Murcia74-64
25/01/17Murcia v Gran Canaria67-83
17/01/17Gran Canaria v Murcia94-85
29/10/16Murcia v Gran Canaria57-76
13/03/16Gran Canaria v Murcia87-75
20/12/15Murcia v Gran Canaria71-75
19/04/15Gran Canaria v Murcia80-92
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/19ASan Pablo Burgos73-84
11/05/19HUnicaja78-76
09/05/19AJoventut Badalona94-86
05/05/19HGipuzkoa61-74
02/05/19HReal Madrid80-82
28/04/19AManresa96-86
13/04/19ATenerife76-83
07/04/19HBaskonia75-86
31/03/19AFuenlabrada93-101
24/03/19AEstudiantes110-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza84-79
12/05/19ABreogan92-77
09/05/19AObradoiro CAB96-82
05/05/19HBarcelona77-97
27/04/19AEstudiantes96-86
20/04/19HManresa76-84
14/04/19AFuenlabrada93-88
07/04/19HReal Madrid71-77
05/04/19ABayern77-84
30/03/19HValencia111-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLLWWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%44%24%
Points / game78.277.279.1
Allowed / game82.177.286.6
Point differential-3.9+0.0-7.6
Avg total160.2154.4165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeWLLLW53%
AwayLWWWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %42%53%31%
Points / game83.486.280.3
Allowed / game84.683.485.9
Point differential-1.2+2.9-5.6
Avg total167.9169.6166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3226681%89.078.9+10.1
2 Barcelona3326779%86.876.6+10.2
3 Baskonia3225778%86.274.2+12.0
4 Valencia32221069%82.078.4+3.6
5 Unicaja33201361%84.082.0+1.9
6 Joventut Badalona32171553%80.880.2+0.6
7 Tenerife33171652%81.579.5+2.0
8 Manresa33171652%80.582.2-1.6
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza33171652%83.085.5-2.5
10 MoraBanc Andorra33161748%83.382.2+1.1
11 Gran Canaria33141942%83.484.6-1.2
12 San Pablo Burgos33141942%82.583.7-1.3
13 Fuenlabrada33122136%81.889.0-7.2
14 Murcia33112233%78.282.1-3.9
15 Obradoiro CAB33112233%78.283.0-4.8
16 Estudiantes33112233%82.987.7-4.8
17 Gipuzkoa33102330%75.281.7-6.5
18 Breogan3392427%77.284.0-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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